Showers expected later today across PEI..

Sunday Aug31st 10:10am..A NE-SW oriented cold front is located along the St Lawrence river valley this morning will move SE today and crossing PEI tomorrow morning. Showers and a chanced of a few thundershowers will accompany this feature. An upper level disturbance is then expected to cross the Maritimes later Monday with more shower activity. A weak ridge of high should then slide through the area on Tuesday morning giving some sunshine but yet another cold front will be approaching from the west late Tuesday with showers and thundershowers developing out ahead of the front. This front should cross PEI early Wednesday allowing high pressure to return for Later Wednesday through Friday.Another cold front will be crossing the region on the weekend bringing another rough of cloud and showers.

Precipitation..Showers are falling across northern NB this morning and should sink south into western PEI this morning then spread across the remainder of the island later today as the front approaches. Showers should continue into tomorrow as the front continues to drop south and the upper air disturbance swings though. dry conditions expected for late tomorrow into early Tuesday then redevelop later Tuesday into early Wednesday associated with the second frontal system. Sunshine for later Wednesday though Friday then showers again for the weekend.

Temperatures.. Should be at or slightly above normal through the period.

Wind.. Brisk SW winds continue today diminishing tonight then shifting to NE tomorrow morning with the passage of the front. Light NE winds for Monday becoming easterly for Tuesday then southerly on Wednesday shifting to westerly with the passage of the second front later Wednesday. Back to southerlies for Thursday and Friday.

Thunderstorms.. Chance of a rumble tonight and tomorrow.

Forecast..

Today.. Cloudy with a few showers developing during the day, brisk SW winds, highs 22

Tonight.. Showers with a chance of thundershowers, light SW winds, lows 18

Monday. Cloudy with a chance of showers and thundershowers, Light SW winds early shifting to NE near noon, highs 20

Tuesday.. Sunny early becoming cloudy with chance of showers later in the day, light east winds, highs 22

Wednesday,, Showers ending early then clearing, light-brisk south winds, highs 24

Thursday/Friday.. Mostly sunny, south winds, 23

Weekend.. Cloud and showers

Clear calm and cool tonight expected across PEI..

Friday Aug 29th 5:45pm.. The low pressure that gave the cloud and showers to the region yesterday has now moved east meanwhile an area of high pressure is approaching from the west. Brisk northerly winds ahead of this feature will diminish tonight as the high pressure area area crests over the Maritimes. Temperatures overnight will be quite cool under clear skies and clam winds dipping down into the single digits inland with even a risk of frost of low lying areas. A series of complex frontal systems and low pressure areas will begin to approach from the northwest late Saturday and effect the region well into next week. Hard to nail down the timing of these systems but looks like an unsettled weather pattern ahead.

Precipitation.. Showers are expected to spread across the Island on Sunday from west to east and basically continue into at least the middle of next week. There is a potential for significant amounts of rain early next week but details on placement and timing of the heavier rain areas become more clear.

Temperatures.. A cold night tonight across inland regions of PEI especially in low lying areas with even a risk of frost. Temperatures should rebound back to normal tomorrow.

Thunderstorms.. Next chance appears to be on Sunday..

Wind.. Brisk northerlies will diminish this evening becoming calm by midnight. Southwest winds will then develop tomorrow morning increasing to brisk by late afternoon and continue into Sunday. Winds for next week will all depend on the progress of the frontal/low pressure systems approaching from the west and should have a better handle on this in later posts.

Post Tropical Storm Cristobal.. The storm is now located over the eastern Grand Banks and continues to race away to the ENE over the north Atlantic through the weekend.

Shania Twain concert.. Conditions should be dry with some high cloudiness. Brisk SW winds expected with temps near 18 at concert time.

Forecast..

Tonight. Becoming clear, brisk North winds diminishing to calm by midnight, fog patches developing in low lying areas and near moisture sources. Cool with lows near 10 along the coast but 5 inland low lying areas giving a risk of frost.

Saturday.. Sunny with increasing high clouds during the day, brisk SW winds developing, highs 21

Sunday.. Cloudy with possible showers especially up west. brisk SW winds, highs 22

Monday-Wednesday… ??? unsettled with cloud and showers

Turning cooler across PEI over the next couple days.

Thursday Aug 28th 5:45pm..  A NE-SW oriented cold front crossed PEI last night with associated showers. A low pressure system developed along the front as expected and is now located over eastern PEI. Heavy showers and thundershowers developed this afternoon over PEI behind the frontal system with severe thunderstorm watches issued for parts if the island by EC. This system will move off to the east tonight allowing high pressure to build in from the west tomorrow. Brisk northerly winds and cool temps are expected as this system approaches. The high will crest over the island late tomorrow night into early Saturday morning. Clear skies and calm winds will allow inland temps to fall into the single digits by Saturday morning. Fog patches will also develop in low lying areas and near water sources. Clouds will begin to roll in later Saturday as a complex frontal system approaches from the northwest. Shower activity should spread across the island Sunday morning as this frontal system crosses. The beginning of next week continues to be problematic as the computer models are still having difficulty with the frontal system as it pushes off to the east.

Precipitation.. Environment Canada issued a special weather statement for PEI earlier today with the potential for localized heavy rainfall in slow moving strong showers. Showers still possible tonight but should be ending early tomorrow morning. Dry conditions expected for later Friday and Saturday then more showers expected on Sunday.

Thunderstorms. Severe thunderstorm watches were issued for parts of PEI this afternoon. Strong cell develop develop over central PEI and tracked over Charlottetown. Unconfirmed reports of street and parking low flooding associated with this cell. Thundershower activity should diminish during the overnight hours.

Temperatures.. Should be a few degrees below normal through the weekend. Friday night should be especially cool with lows by Saturday morning in the single digits inland.

Shania Twain concert.. Should be dry but windy. Brisk SW winds expected with temps near 18

Hurricane Cristobal is located well south of NS late this afternoon with max sustained winds near 70 kts. The storm is moving NE and expected to pass well south and east of Atlantic Canada. Indirect effects will be a strong ocean swells along the east coasts of NS and Newfoundland over the next couple days.

Forecast..

Tonight.. Cloudy with chance of showers. Any thundershowers should end this evening. Increasing northerly winds, lows near 15

Friday.. Showers ending early then mix of sun and cloud, brisk north winds diminishing late in the day, highs 17

Friday night. Clear, calm and cool. Fog patches developing inland and near water sources, lows 10 but 6 in low lying areas.

Saturday. Sunny start with increasing clouds during the day, brisk SW winds, developing, highs 20

Sunday. Cloud and showers

Monday/Tuesday. ?????

Late summer heat ends tonight across PEI..

Wednesday Aug 27th 9:00am.. A few showers are occurring this morning  ahead of a cold front approaching from the west. This front is expected to sweep across PEI from west to east this evening with showers and thundershowers. The front will actually slow down it’s eastward progression due to Hurricane Cristobal well off the coast so as a result cloud and showers are now expected to continue into early Friday. High pressure will build in from the west later Friday cresting over PEI late Friday night/early Saturday then move east of the island Saturday afternoon. Clouds will begin to increase later Saturday as a complex frontal system begins to approach from the west. The forecast computer models are not handling this system very well with lots of discrepancies. Should have a better idea later in the week.

Precipitation.. There are a few scattered showers around this morning and they could continue through the day. Showers will become more frequent later this afternoon as the cold front approaches then linger for tomorrow and early Friday as this front slows down across the eastern Maritimes. Dry conditions expected for later Friday into Saturday then showers redevelop ahead of another frontal system approaching from the west late Saturday into Sunday.

Thunderstorms..  Thunderstorms are expected to develop today ahead of the front and continue into tonight and tomorrow. Some of these storms could become strong across eastern NB today and may drift over to western PEI.

Temperatures.. One more day of warm weather but the warm and humid temperatures of late will end tonight with the passage of the cold front. Temperatures will actually be cool for Friday then a return to seasonal vales expected for Saturday and Sunday.

Hurricane Cristobal.. Is located between Bermuda and the east coast of the US this morning and tracking north. The storm is then expected to turn NE later today passing well southeast of Atlantic Canada tomorrow night, The only effect it should have on the region will be large waves along the east coast of NS.

Shania Twain Concert.. Conditions look dry but clouds will be rolling in and showers should develop after midnight. Brisk Southwest winds with temperatures near 19

Forecast...

Today.. Cloudy periods, chance of a shower/thundershower, brisk SW winds, highs 26

Tonight, Cloudy with showers/thundershowers, winds diminishing to light westerlies with lows near 18

Thursday.. Cloudy with showers and possible thundershowers, light westerlies shifting to northerlies late in the day, highs 22

Friday,, Morning cloud and showers clearing from west to east, brisk north winds, temperatures steady near 17

Saturday.. Sunny early becoming cloudy late in the day, light-brisk SW winds, highs 20.

Sunday.. Cloud and showers

The heat continues today and tomorrow across PEI..

Tuesday Aug 26th 9:00am.. A ridge of high pressure oriented NE-SW is located off the east coast of NS this morning and continues to move westward away from the Maritimes, meanwhile a NE-SW oriented cold front will be approaching from the NW later today. This front should move into northwestern NB tomorrow morning then sweep across PEI overnight Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Showers and possible thundershowers will accompany this frontal passage. There is a possibility that a low pressure system will develop along the cold front over the Gulf of Saint Lawrence on Thursday which would bring a bit more rainfall to the region. At any rate, this system should move away to the east late Thursday bringing an end to the recent warm weather. High pressure is then expected to move into the Maritimes Friday morning and crest over the island Friday night or Saturday morning. Another complex frontal system is then expected to approach western NB late Saturday. This system should move into PEI by Sunday morning with another round of showers which continuous into Sunday night. High pressure returns again for Monday.

Precipitation..Showers should begin to move into western PEI late Wednesday afternoon then spread across the remainder of the island Wednesday evening/overnight. Showers should continue on Thursday ending from west to east Thursday night into Friday morning. Models are giving a large spread on rainfall amounts due to the possible low formation in the Gulf on Thursday. Generally 5-10 mms expected but could be higher down east if the low develops. Dry conditions for Friday afternoon and Saturday then redevelop on Sunday as another frontal system approaches.

Temperatures.. The heat continues for today and tomorrow with highs in the upper 20’s which will be approaching the record high temperature for Charlottetown today (28.0 set in 1990). Humidity levels will be increasing today as well with humidex levels in the low-mid 30’s. Much cooler air returns for Thursday and continues through the remainder of the period.

Thunderstorms.. Chance of storms beginning later Wednesday and continues during the overnight hours into Thursday.

Wind..Brisk SW winds today tonight and tomorrow becoming westerly later tomorrow diminishing to light Wednesday night into Thursday morning then shifting and increasing to brisk northerly Thursday afternoon. Brisk northerlies then continue into Friday morning diminishing during the day. Calm winds by Friday night then shifting and increasing to light-brisk for Saturday.

Hurricane Cristobal. The  center of the storm is located NE of the Bahamas this morning and is expected to track north today then turn NE late Wednesday remaining well Southeast of the Maritimes on Thursday/Friday.

Shania Twain Concert.. At this point conditions look dry but skies should be clouding up. Winds expected to be light-brisk Southwesterly with temperatures near 19.

Forecast.

Today..Sunny, light-brisk SW winds, highs 28

Tonight.. Few clouds, brisk SW winds, lows 18

Wednesday.. Sunny becoming cloudy from west to east during the day with showers (Thundershowers ??) spreading from west to east late afternoon, brisk SW winds shifting and diminishing to light westerly late in the day, highs 27

Thursday.. Cloudy with showers, brisk north winds developing, temperatures steady near 19

Friday..Showers ending early then clearing, brisk north winds diminishing during the day, highs 19

Saturday. Sunny start becoming cloudy during the late afternoon, brisk SW winds developing, highs 19

Sunday.. Cloud and showers, light-brisk SW winds, highs 22

Monday.. Sunny, light NW winds, highs 19

 

Warming trend begins tomorrow across PEI…

Sunday Aug 24th 7:25am..An area of high pressure will cross the Maritimes today then stall off the east coast for tomorrow and Tuesday. Afternoon cloudy periods with chance of showers today and tomorrow with temperatures trending warmer each day. A cold front will begin to approach the region on Wednesday and should cross the island either late Wednesday evening or Thursday morning. Cloud showers and even a thundershower will be possible with the frontal passage. Much cooler air will flood in behind the front on Thursday and into the weekend.

Precipitation… Chance of an afternoon hit or miss shower today and tomorrow. A better chance of showers will occur with the frontal passage Wednesday evening or Thursday morning.

Temperatures...Are expected to be well above normal for Monday-Wednesday with temps in the mid-high 20’s. Cooler air will return on Thursday thanks to the cold frontal passage with afternoon highs in the highs teens.

Wind,, very light/calm winds expected today shifting to light southerlies this evening. Light-brisk southerlies then expected for Monday-Wednesday shifting to brisk northwesterly behind the cold front either late Wednesday or early Thursday shifting to brisk northerly on Friday diminishing to light for the weekend.

Thunderstorms..Very slight chance through NB today then Next chance appears to be with the frontal passage late Wednesday or early Thursday.

Tropical storms. Tropical depression 4 continues to slowly organize in the Bahamas. The system is expected slowly track northward today then turn northeastward during mid week. The storm is expected to stay out-to-sea but bears watching as it moves off the east coast.

Forecast..

Today.. Sunny with cloudy periods and a chance of a shower, light northwest winds, highs 21

Tonight.. Clear, calm with fog patches developing. low 13 but cooler inland low lying areas.

Monday.. Sunny, Afternoon cloudy periods with a chance of a shower, light SW winds, highs 26

Tuesday.. Sunny, light SW winds, highs upper 20’s

Wednesday.. Mix of sun and cloud becoming cloudy as the front approaches (possible showers late in the day) brisk SW winds highs 26.

Thursday.. Cloudy with showers and much cooler. Brisk NW winds, highs 20

Friday.. Mix of sun and cloud, chance of a shower, brisk north winds, highs 18

Weekend… Sunny

 

High pressure dominates the east coast into early next week.

Thursday Aug 21st 9:30am..The low pressure system that has plagued the region over the past few days is now located over eastern Newfoundland and continues to move away to the east but some cloud associated with this system  and maybe a brief shower continues to effect the region, meanwhile a NW-SE ridge of high pressure is approaching from the west and should be located through NB by Friday morning. This high pressure should dominate the east coast into the middle of next week with lots of sunshine and warm temperatures. Clouds will begin to advance into the Maritimes during the day on Wednesday as a cold front approaches.

Precipitation.. Still a chance of a shower today through tonight into early tomorrow then dry weather expected for Friday through the weekend and into early next week. Afternoon hit and miss showers could develop. The next real organized rain will most likely be with the cold front late Wednesday.

Temperatures.. Will be at or slightly below normal through the weekend due to a northerly winds then a warming trend begins on Monday as winds become southerly with the departing high pressure system.

Wind..Light northerlies continue through Saturday then very light or calm on Sunday as the high pressure system crests over the region. Light southerlies develop on Monday.

Thunderstorms.. Don’t see any real risk as the air will not be very unstable but can’t rule out a rumble or two if some heavy build-ups develop through the weekend.

Forecast.

Today.. Mix of sun and cloud, slight chance of a shower, light north winds, highs 20

Tonight.. Cloudy periods,  chance of a shower, calm or light north winds, lows 15

Friday.. Mix of sun and cloud, slight chance of a shower, highs 20

Weekend-Tuesday.. Sunny