Coldest air of the season expected tonight and tomorrow across PEI..

Thursday Sept 18th 8:00am.. A frontal boundary oriented east-west is located just north of PEI this morning. A low pressure system rippled eastward along this front and is now located over northeastern NB/Gaspe region. The low pressure system will continue to move east today across the northern Gulf and will drag the cold front through the Maritimes later today. Cloud and showers will accompany this frontal passage. Cold high pressure will begin to push into the region tonight and tomorrow with the coldest air of the season and Frost/freeze advisories are issued for all of NB. Unstable conditions tomorrow may also lead to some shower activity and can’t rule out a risk of waterspouts. The high pressure system will pass south of the Maritimes Friday night allowing the winds to shift to the SW for the weekend resulting in warm Saturday and Sunday. The long range models continue to show a strong trough of low pressure pushing into the Maritimes  later Sunday and stalling over the east coast into at least Monday/Tuesday. The various computer models are not in good agreement with the evolution of this system so confidence is not very high. Will need to wait for updated data to get a better handle on this system.

Precipitation.. Few showers expected later today with the passage of the cold front. The cold air tomorrow will be very unstable especially over the water. Cloud will mostly likely develop tomorrow with possible localized showers. Rain will be approaching for late Sunday and into Monday but too early to go into details on timings or amounts especially when the computer models are at odds.

Temperatures.. Warm again today with highs expected near 18 by early afternoon ahead of the cold front. Temperatures will then drop quickly behind the front later this afternoon dipping to the low single digits inland away from the coast. I think the wind will be strong enough to keep the frost away with a better chance tomorrow night with lighter winds. Friday stays cold with highs near 11. Warm-up begins on Saturday and continues into early next week.

Wind.. Light SW winds early this afternoon will shift to the NW later this afternoon. Light-brisk NW continue tonight into tomorrow diminishing tomorrow evening. Very light west/calm Friday night into Saturday morning may set the stage for some frost then increasing SW winds develop on Saturday and continue into Sunday and Monday.

Thunderstorms.. Nil

Watches/warnings..  Nil at this time but may see frost advisories posted for Friday night/Saturday morning.

Tropics.. Hurricane Edouard is passing well southeast of the Maritimes with no impact expected other than some larger swells along the coastal sections of NS/NL.

Space.. All quiet for the moment.

Forecast..

Today.. Sunny start becoming cloudy by noon with a chance of showers, light SW winds shifting to NW by mid afternoon, highs 18 by early/mid aftn then falling with the wind shift.

Tonight.. Showers ending early then partial clearing, light-brisk NW winds, lows 5 but warmer along the north shore.

Friday.. Cloudy periods and chance of a shower, diminishing NW winds, highs 11

Saturday.. Sunny, light-brisk SW winds, highs 16

Sunday.. Sunny with increasing clouds late in the day, light-brisk SW winds, highs 21

Monday/Tuesday.. ?????? rain possible

Showers expected tonight and tomorrow across PEI.. Cold on Friday

Wednesday Sept 17th 8:00am.. A cold front crossed the region yesterday and brought some cloud and showers to the region although PEI remained fairly dry throughout . A second cold front situated along the Saint Lawrence River Valley this morning will move eastward today then stall over the Maritimes tonight. The front itself is fairly dry and really only expect cloudy conditions but can’t rule out a stray shower tonight. An area of low pressure will develop along this stalled front over Quebec then track eastward and show pass north of the Maritimes tomorrow. This will give a better chance at some rainfall. As this low pressure system pulls away it will drag the cold front across the remainder of the Maritimes. The coldest air of the season will then move into the region for Friday as high pressure begins to build in from the west. This high pressure area will crest over the southern Maritimes Friday night then move east if the region on Saturday. Winds will shift to the south as the high moves away allowing temperatures to bounce back as a warming trend develops. A frontal boundary will be slowly approaching Saturday night and into Sunday with clouds and showers associated but difficult to go into details on rainfall amounts at this time. This frontal boundary could be slow to move through and we could see a couple days of west weather

Precipitation.. Chance of a shower tonight as the cold front approaches. Chance of showers later tomorrow as the low pressure system tracks by north of the island and cold front swings through ending before dawn on Friday morning. Dry conditions then expected for Friday and most of Saturday with another round of showers slowly approaching from the west Saturday evening. As mentioned earlier, the frontal boundary could bring a couple days of wet weather to the region beginning Saturday night but too difficult to go into details at this time.

Temperatures.. Normal today and tomorrow with highs near 17/18. The coolest air of the season arrives Friday with afternoon temps of only 12. Warm-up begins on Saturday and continues into early next week.

Wind.. Light west today becoming light and variable tonight. Light SW early tomorrow shifting to NW with the passage of the low/cold front in the afternoon. Brisk cold NW winds early Friday morning should then diminish to light/calm by evening. Light-brisk SW winds then develop on Saturday and continues into Sunday.

Thunderstorms.. nil

Watches/warnings... NIL at this time but could see frost advisories issued for Thursday night into Friday morning but will depend on the wind speed. Calm/very light winds could allow frost to form.

Tropics..Hurricane Edouard is spinning in the central Atlantic with winds of 90 MPH or 150 KMH. The storm is now moving NE over colder waters but the long range outlook has the storm turning south again just west of the Azores..  Interesting !!!

Space.. All quiet.

Forecast..

Today.. Mix of sun and cloud, light west winds, highs 18

Tonight.. Cloudy with a slight chance of a shower, light winds, lows 10

Thursday.. Cloudy with showers developing later in the day, light SW winds shifting to NW in the afternoon, highs 17 which should occur around noon then falling to 11 by suppertime.

Thursday night.. Clearing, brisk NW winds, cold with morning lows 5 but cooler in low lying areas.

Friday.. Sunny, brusk NW winds early then diminishing by evening, highs 12

Saturday.. Sunny early becoming cloudy with showers possible late in the day, brisk SW winds, highs 16

Sunday/Monday..  ????? could be wet. SW winds, warm with highs near 20/21

Showers possible later today across PEI

Tuesday Sept 16th 8:30am..An area of high pressure is passing south of the Maritimes this morning meanwhile showers are falling over northern NB as a cold front begins to drop through. Clouds should build across PEI later today with a few showers as the front approaches. A second cold front will move into the region on Wednesday night then stall over the Maritimes. An area of low  pressure will then ripple along this front and track into the region during the day on Thursday. As the low pressure system pulls away to the east, it’s cold front will cross the area allowing cold high pressure to build in for Friday and Saturday. This high pressure system should crest over the area Friday night setting the stage for the coldest day/night of the season so far with frost or freeze conditions a good possibility especially through NB.  The long range charts are hinting at another frontal system draped across the northern Gulf of Saint Lawrence for Saturday night but differ on its effects for the Maritimes for Sunday.

Precipitation.. Chance of showers later this afternoon ending this evening. More showers expected on Thursday as the area of low pressure ripples along a stalled front into the region.  Chance of showers on Sunday with a frontal system draped to the north of PEI.

Temperatures... At or below normal for the period. Warmest days appear to be Thursday (18) and Sunday (20). Coldest day Friday (13).

Wind.. Light SW today, westerly tomorrow, Light-brisk early Thursday followed by a wind shift to the NW later Thursday. Diminishing NW winds on Friday becoming calm by evening. Light-brisk south westerlies develop on Saturday.

Watches/Warnings.. Nil at this time

Tropics.. Hurricane Edouard is currently a CAT 2 hurricane located about 700 KMS ESE of Bermuda and is moving NNW. The system is expected to turn NE tomorrow staying well out to sea.

Space… All quiet..

Forecast..

Today.. Sunny early becoming cloudy with showers possible this afternoon, light SW winds, highs 15

Tonight.. Clearing, light west winds, lows 8-10

Wednesday.. Sunny start becoming cloudy with chance of showers, light west winds, highs 17

Thursday.. Cloudy with showers, light SW winds shifting to NW, highs 18

Friday.. Cloudy periods, diminishing NW winds, cool with highs 13

Saturday.. Sunny start. Need to watch the frontal system to the NW

Sunday.. ???? Showers

Monday.. RAIN

More showers expected tomorrow across PEI

Monday Sept 15th 9:00am.. An area of high pressure will pass just south of the Maritmes today resulting in cloudy but dry conditions across PEI, meanwhile a couple of cold fronts will be approaching from the west. The first front is expected to cross the island Tuesday afternoon accompanied by cloud and showers, the second cold front is expected to sweep across the island later Wednesday. This second front is fairly dry and don’t expect much in the way of precipitation rather just cloudy conditions. On Thursday, a low pressure system will be approaching from the west and should begin to push some shower activity into the region by the afternoon. This system pulls away to the NE late in the day allowing high pressure to build in for Friday. This high will crest over the region Friday night giving clear skies and calm winds which will be the perfect conditions for frost and I expect this will be the coldest night of the season so far. A frontal system then begins to approach from the west late Saturday and into Sunday with cloud and showers associated.

Precipitation.. Showers expected with the first frontal passage during the day on Tuesday. Showers should redevelop with the low pressure system on Thursday then more showers towards the end of the weekend.

Temperatures… Expected to be at or slightly below normal through the period although a slight warm-up is expected in the weekend.

Wind..Light westerly today shifting to SW tomorrow then back to westerly on Wednesday. Thursday will see increasing SW winds as the low pressure system approaches then shifting to the NW as it moves away later n the day. Diminishing NW winds on Friday drop off to calm Friday night into Saturday morning as the highs pressure system crests over the region. Increasing SW winds later Saturday into Sunday as a warm front approaches.

Watches/Warnings.. Nil at this time.

Thunderstorms… Nil expected

Tropics.. Hurricane Edouard is located in the tropical Atlantic and is expected to turn NE tomorrow passing SE of Bermuda on Tuesday.

Space.. Relatively quiet as conditions continue to settle down after the solar storm over the weekend.

Forecast..

Today.. Mix of sun and cloud, light west winds, highs 16

Tonight.. Few clouds, light W/SW winds, lows 5 giving a risk of frost in low lying areas.

Tuesday.. Cloudy with showers, light SW winds, highs 16

Wednesday.. Cloudy periods, light West winds, highs 17

Thursday. Cloud and showers, brisk SW winds shifting to NW, highs 17

Friday.. Sunny, light NW winds, highs 14

Saturday.. Sunny, light SW winds, highs 18

Sunday.. Becoming cloudy with possible rain later in the day, brisk SW winds, highs 20

Rain ending today across PEI..

Sunday Sept 14th 6:30am.. A couple of systems will be effecting PEI over the next 12 hours or so. First a coastal low pressure located just south of NS this morning is tracking NE and should pass east of NS during the day today, meanwhile another low pressure system with a cold front extending south is located near Rivera Du Loupe. This system will continue to move east passing north of the island today but the cold front will swing through today. This all means mainly cloudy conditions over PEI with periods of rain or showers ending this evening. Weak high pressure will begin to build in over the region tonight and tomorrow resulting in clearing skies but another cold front will sweep across the Maritimes later Tuesday with cloud and showers. This front should cross PEI during the overnight hours Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. A weak ridge of high pressure builds in for Wednesday afternoon then yet another cold front will be dropping down form the NW later Wednesday. This front is fairly dry so only cloudy conditions are expected with only slight chance of a shower. High pressure returns for Thursday and should dominate the Maritimes though Saturday into early Sunday. Long range models are hinting at a fairly significant system approaching the region late Sunday into Monday morning so will keep on eye on that to see how things unfold for the beginning of next week.

Precipitation.. Showers today should end this evening giving another 5-10 mms. Showers develop again late Tuesday ending Wednesday morning. Then failrly dry conditions expected into the weekend. Rain possible by the beginning of next week.

Temperatures.. At or below normal expected through the period with the warmest days being today then again on Tuesday/Wednesday then again on Sunday. Temperatures will be cool for Thursday-Saturday.

Wind... Light-brisk SE winds this morning will shift to NW later this afternoon with the passage of the cold front. Light W/NW winds on Monday becoming SW on Tuesday. Light-brisk NW winds then expected for Wednesday-Saturday.

Thunderstorms.. Nil

Watches/warnings.. Nil at this time.

Tropical.. TS Edouard is spinning in the central tropical Atlantic this morning and is expected to turn northward today remaining over the open ocean, meanwhile 2 other areas are being monitored for possible development.

Space..Solar activity is beginning to settle down after a pair of CME’s swept past the earth on Thursday/Friday sparking northern lights.

Forecast..

Today.. Periods of rain or showers ending this evening, light-brisk SE winds will shift to the NW this afternoon, highs 18

Tonight.. clearing, light NW winds, lows 9

Monday..Cloudy periods, light west winds, highs 15

Tuesday.. Sunny start becoming cloud with showers possible late in the day, Light-brisk SW winds, highs 16

Wednesday.. Showers ending early then partial clearing, SW winds shifting to NW, highs 16

Thursday.. Cloudy, light north winds, highs 14

Friday.. Sunny, light-brisk north winds, highs 12

Saturday.. Sunny, light west winds, highs 15

Sunday.. Sunny becoming cloudy, increasing SW winds, highs 18

Rain expected by midnight tonight across PEI

Saturday Sept 13th 6:45am..An area of high pressure will cross the region late this morning but skies will quickly cloud over as a complex weather system approaches from the west. First a low pressure system over the Great Lakes will begin to move towards the region, then a secondary low pressure system will develop near Cape Cod and track NE towards southern NS. This coastal system will then become the primary storm system on Sunday as it tracks just east of NS giving rain and windy conditions to eastern areas. This system pulls away to the NE later Sunday allowing high pressure to build in for Monday. A couple of cold fronts are then expected to cross the Maritimes on Tuesday afternoon then the second Wednesday evening.

Precipitation.. Rain should begin near midnight tonight ending Sunday afternoon. Rainfall amounts will be highest along the Atlantic coast of NS. On PEI, the highest amounts will occur over southeastern Kings county where 20-30 mms possible, lesser amounts of Queens with 10-20 mms and even lesser amounts over Prince with 5-10 mms expected.  More showers expected for Tuesday afternoon then again on Wednesday evening.

Wind..Very light SE winds will develop this morning increasing to brisk this evening then increasing to brisk-strong E/NE tomorrow morning. Strongest winds will occur along coastal sections of Kings county with gusts 60 KMH possible. Light northerly then westerly on Monday, Brisk SW on Tuesday, then back to W/NW on Wednesday.

Temperatures... Expected to be slightly below normal through the period.

Watches/warnings.. None at this time.

Thunderstorms… None expected..

Tropical... TS Edouard formed yesterday in the central tropical Atlantic is ix expected to stay well out to sea. 3 other areas are being monitored for possible development.

Space.. The effects form a strong solar flare impacted the earth yesterday afternoon and continued into sunset. Northern lights were visible across PEI for a few hours right after sunset.

Forecast..

Today.. Sunny early then becoming cloudy, light SE winds, highs 17

Tonight.. Rain beginning near midnight, brisk SE winds, lows 14

Sunday.. Rain tapering to showers then ending in the afternoon, brisk E/NE winds, highs 19

Monday.. Mix of sun and cloud, light W/NW winds, highs 16

Tuesday… becoming cloudy with afternoon showers, brisk SW winds, highs 18

Wednesday.. Sunny start, cloud and showers by evening, light-brisk SW-NW winds, highs 17

Thursday. Clearing, light NW winds, highs 14

Clearing skies expected for PEI today..

Friday Sept 12th 8:30am.. A cold front swept across the island early this morning and is currently over extreme eastern PEI. The showers have basically come to and end and skies will be clearing. Brisk NW winds will today will make for a chilly day. An area of high pressure will now build in from the  west and should crest over the island Saturday afternoon. Sunshine and diminishing winds will accompany this feature.  An interesting set-up is developing for later Saturday into Sunday as an area of low pressure approaches from the Great Lakes. A secondary low pressure system is also expected to develop in the Gulf of Maine and track towards eastern NS. The coastal low then becomes the dominate system as it tracks along the east coast of NS on Sunday with rain and wind on the menu with eastern PEI receiving the highest rainfall amounts and strongest winds. This system pulls away late Sunday allowing high pressure to build in over the region for Monday. Another cold front sweeps across the Maritimes on Tuesday with more showers.

Precipitation.. I received 4.4 mms rain from the overnight showers here in the Bonshaw area. Showers have basically ended now and dry conditions expected for the remainder of the day and into tomorrow. Rain will redevelop late Saturday evening and continue into Sunday afternoon with the heaviest amounts in southeastern Kings county of 20-30 mms. Lesser amounts through Queens county ( 10-20) and even lesser amounts through Prince county (5-10).  Dry conditions for Sunday evening into Monday then more showers on Tuesday.

Temperatures.. Slightly below normal temps are expected through the period.

Wind.. Brisk NW winds today diminishing overnight to light northerly by dawn tomorrow then shifting to easterly tomorrow morning then increasing to brisk southeasterly by Sunday morning as the coastal system approaches.  Winds shifting back to the NE as this system tracks by. Light W/SW winds expected on Monday and westerly on Tuesday.

Thunderstorms.. Nil

Watches/Warnings. Nil at this time.

Tropical.. TS Edouard has formed in the central tropical Atlantic and poses no threat to land at this time. 2 more acreas are being monitored for possible development.1) near the Bahamas 2) off the west coast of Africa.

Solar.. The effects form a strong solar flare are expected to impact the earth tonight. A G3 solar watch is in effect with Possible northern lights and some degraded TV Satellite and GPS signals

Forecast..

Today.. Clearing, brisk NW winds, highs 17

Tonight.. Mainly clear, brisk NW winds diminishing to light by dawn, lows 8

Saturday.. Sunny early then increasing clouds with showers possible by midnight, light E/SE winds, highs 17

Sunday.. Periods of rain, brisk E/NE winds, highs 17

Monday.. Mix of sun and cloud, light west winds, highs 17

Tuesday.. Showers