Turning cooler across PEI over the next couple days.

Thursday Aug 28th 5:45pm..  A NE-SW oriented cold front crossed PEI last night with associated showers. A low pressure system developed along the front as expected and is now located over eastern PEI. Heavy showers and thundershowers developed this afternoon over PEI behind the frontal system with severe thunderstorm watches issued for parts if the island by EC. This system will move off to the east tonight allowing high pressure to build in from the west tomorrow. Brisk northerly winds and cool temps are expected as this system approaches. The high will crest over the island late tomorrow night into early Saturday morning. Clear skies and calm winds will allow inland temps to fall into the single digits by Saturday morning. Fog patches will also develop in low lying areas and near water sources. Clouds will begin to roll in later Saturday as a complex frontal system approaches from the northwest. Shower activity should spread across the island Sunday morning as this frontal system crosses. The beginning of next week continues to be problematic as the computer models are still having difficulty with the frontal system as it pushes off to the east.

Precipitation.. Environment Canada issued a special weather statement for PEI earlier today with the potential for localized heavy rainfall in slow moving strong showers. Showers still possible tonight but should be ending early tomorrow morning. Dry conditions expected for later Friday and Saturday then more showers expected on Sunday.

Thunderstorms. Severe thunderstorm watches were issued for parts of PEI this afternoon. Strong cell develop develop over central PEI and tracked over Charlottetown. Unconfirmed reports of street and parking low flooding associated with this cell. Thundershower activity should diminish during the overnight hours.

Temperatures.. Should be a few degrees below normal through the weekend. Friday night should be especially cool with lows by Saturday morning in the single digits inland.

Shania Twain concert.. Should be dry but windy. Brisk SW winds expected with temps near 18

Hurricane Cristobal is located well south of NS late this afternoon with max sustained winds near 70 kts. The storm is moving NE and expected to pass well south and east of Atlantic Canada. Indirect effects will be a strong ocean swells along the east coasts of NS and Newfoundland over the next couple days.

Forecast..

Tonight.. Cloudy with chance of showers. Any thundershowers should end this evening. Increasing northerly winds, lows near 15

Friday.. Showers ending early then mix of sun and cloud, brisk north winds diminishing late in the day, highs 17

Friday night. Clear, calm and cool. Fog patches developing inland and near water sources, lows 10 but 6 in low lying areas.

Saturday. Sunny start with increasing clouds during the day, brisk SW winds, developing, highs 20

Sunday. Cloud and showers

Monday/Tuesday. ?????

Late summer heat ends tonight across PEI..

Wednesday Aug 27th 9:00am.. A few showers are occurring this morning  ahead of a cold front approaching from the west. This front is expected to sweep across PEI from west to east this evening with showers and thundershowers. The front will actually slow down it’s eastward progression due to Hurricane Cristobal well off the coast so as a result cloud and showers are now expected to continue into early Friday. High pressure will build in from the west later Friday cresting over PEI late Friday night/early Saturday then move east of the island Saturday afternoon. Clouds will begin to increase later Saturday as a complex frontal system begins to approach from the west. The forecast computer models are not handling this system very well with lots of discrepancies. Should have a better idea later in the week.

Precipitation.. There are a few scattered showers around this morning and they could continue through the day. Showers will become more frequent later this afternoon as the cold front approaches then linger for tomorrow and early Friday as this front slows down across the eastern Maritimes. Dry conditions expected for later Friday into Saturday then showers redevelop ahead of another frontal system approaching from the west late Saturday into Sunday.

Thunderstorms..  Thunderstorms are expected to develop today ahead of the front and continue into tonight and tomorrow. Some of these storms could become strong across eastern NB today and may drift over to western PEI.

Temperatures.. One more day of warm weather but the warm and humid temperatures of late will end tonight with the passage of the cold front. Temperatures will actually be cool for Friday then a return to seasonal vales expected for Saturday and Sunday.

Hurricane Cristobal.. Is located between Bermuda and the east coast of the US this morning and tracking north. The storm is then expected to turn NE later today passing well southeast of Atlantic Canada tomorrow night, The only effect it should have on the region will be large waves along the east coast of NS.

Shania Twain Concert.. Conditions look dry but clouds will be rolling in and showers should develop after midnight. Brisk Southwest winds with temperatures near 19

Forecast...

Today.. Cloudy periods, chance of a shower/thundershower, brisk SW winds, highs 26

Tonight, Cloudy with showers/thundershowers, winds diminishing to light westerlies with lows near 18

Thursday.. Cloudy with showers and possible thundershowers, light westerlies shifting to northerlies late in the day, highs 22

Friday,, Morning cloud and showers clearing from west to east, brisk north winds, temperatures steady near 17

Saturday.. Sunny early becoming cloudy late in the day, light-brisk SW winds, highs 20.

Sunday.. Cloud and showers

The heat continues today and tomorrow across PEI..

Tuesday Aug 26th 9:00am.. A ridge of high pressure oriented NE-SW is located off the east coast of NS this morning and continues to move westward away from the Maritimes, meanwhile a NE-SW oriented cold front will be approaching from the NW later today. This front should move into northwestern NB tomorrow morning then sweep across PEI overnight Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Showers and possible thundershowers will accompany this frontal passage. There is a possibility that a low pressure system will develop along the cold front over the Gulf of Saint Lawrence on Thursday which would bring a bit more rainfall to the region. At any rate, this system should move away to the east late Thursday bringing an end to the recent warm weather. High pressure is then expected to move into the Maritimes Friday morning and crest over the island Friday night or Saturday morning. Another complex frontal system is then expected to approach western NB late Saturday. This system should move into PEI by Sunday morning with another round of showers which continuous into Sunday night. High pressure returns again for Monday.

Precipitation..Showers should begin to move into western PEI late Wednesday afternoon then spread across the remainder of the island Wednesday evening/overnight. Showers should continue on Thursday ending from west to east Thursday night into Friday morning. Models are giving a large spread on rainfall amounts due to the possible low formation in the Gulf on Thursday. Generally 5-10 mms expected but could be higher down east if the low develops. Dry conditions for Friday afternoon and Saturday then redevelop on Sunday as another frontal system approaches.

Temperatures.. The heat continues for today and tomorrow with highs in the upper 20’s which will be approaching the record high temperature for Charlottetown today (28.0 set in 1990). Humidity levels will be increasing today as well with humidex levels in the low-mid 30’s. Much cooler air returns for Thursday and continues through the remainder of the period.

Thunderstorms.. Chance of storms beginning later Wednesday and continues during the overnight hours into Thursday.

Wind..Brisk SW winds today tonight and tomorrow becoming westerly later tomorrow diminishing to light Wednesday night into Thursday morning then shifting and increasing to brisk northerly Thursday afternoon. Brisk northerlies then continue into Friday morning diminishing during the day. Calm winds by Friday night then shifting and increasing to light-brisk for Saturday.

Hurricane Cristobal. The  center of the storm is located NE of the Bahamas this morning and is expected to track north today then turn NE late Wednesday remaining well Southeast of the Maritimes on Thursday/Friday.

Shania Twain Concert.. At this point conditions look dry but skies should be clouding up. Winds expected to be light-brisk Southwesterly with temperatures near 19.

Forecast.

Today..Sunny, light-brisk SW winds, highs 28

Tonight.. Few clouds, brisk SW winds, lows 18

Wednesday.. Sunny becoming cloudy from west to east during the day with showers (Thundershowers ??) spreading from west to east late afternoon, brisk SW winds shifting and diminishing to light westerly late in the day, highs 27

Thursday.. Cloudy with showers, brisk north winds developing, temperatures steady near 19

Friday..Showers ending early then clearing, brisk north winds diminishing during the day, highs 19

Saturday. Sunny start becoming cloudy during the late afternoon, brisk SW winds developing, highs 19

Sunday.. Cloud and showers, light-brisk SW winds, highs 22

Monday.. Sunny, light NW winds, highs 19

 

Warming trend begins tomorrow across PEI…

Sunday Aug 24th 7:25am..An area of high pressure will cross the Maritimes today then stall off the east coast for tomorrow and Tuesday. Afternoon cloudy periods with chance of showers today and tomorrow with temperatures trending warmer each day. A cold front will begin to approach the region on Wednesday and should cross the island either late Wednesday evening or Thursday morning. Cloud showers and even a thundershower will be possible with the frontal passage. Much cooler air will flood in behind the front on Thursday and into the weekend.

Precipitation… Chance of an afternoon hit or miss shower today and tomorrow. A better chance of showers will occur with the frontal passage Wednesday evening or Thursday morning.

Temperatures...Are expected to be well above normal for Monday-Wednesday with temps in the mid-high 20’s. Cooler air will return on Thursday thanks to the cold frontal passage with afternoon highs in the highs teens.

Wind,, very light/calm winds expected today shifting to light southerlies this evening. Light-brisk southerlies then expected for Monday-Wednesday shifting to brisk northwesterly behind the cold front either late Wednesday or early Thursday shifting to brisk northerly on Friday diminishing to light for the weekend.

Thunderstorms..Very slight chance through NB today then Next chance appears to be with the frontal passage late Wednesday or early Thursday.

Tropical storms. Tropical depression 4 continues to slowly organize in the Bahamas. The system is expected slowly track northward today then turn northeastward during mid week. The storm is expected to stay out-to-sea but bears watching as it moves off the east coast.

Forecast..

Today.. Sunny with cloudy periods and a chance of a shower, light northwest winds, highs 21

Tonight.. Clear, calm with fog patches developing. low 13 but cooler inland low lying areas.

Monday.. Sunny, Afternoon cloudy periods with a chance of a shower, light SW winds, highs 26

Tuesday.. Sunny, light SW winds, highs upper 20’s

Wednesday.. Mix of sun and cloud becoming cloudy as the front approaches (possible showers late in the day) brisk SW winds highs 26.

Thursday.. Cloudy with showers and much cooler. Brisk NW winds, highs 20

Friday.. Mix of sun and cloud, chance of a shower, brisk north winds, highs 18

Weekend… Sunny

 

High pressure dominates the east coast into early next week.

Thursday Aug 21st 9:30am..The low pressure system that has plagued the region over the past few days is now located over eastern Newfoundland and continues to move away to the east but some cloud associated with this system  and maybe a brief shower continues to effect the region, meanwhile a NW-SE ridge of high pressure is approaching from the west and should be located through NB by Friday morning. This high pressure should dominate the east coast into the middle of next week with lots of sunshine and warm temperatures. Clouds will begin to advance into the Maritimes during the day on Wednesday as a cold front approaches.

Precipitation.. Still a chance of a shower today through tonight into early tomorrow then dry weather expected for Friday through the weekend and into early next week. Afternoon hit and miss showers could develop. The next real organized rain will most likely be with the cold front late Wednesday.

Temperatures.. Will be at or slightly below normal through the weekend due to a northerly winds then a warming trend begins on Monday as winds become southerly with the departing high pressure system.

Wind..Light northerlies continue through Saturday then very light or calm on Sunday as the high pressure system crests over the region. Light southerlies develop on Monday.

Thunderstorms.. Don’t see any real risk as the air will not be very unstable but can’t rule out a rumble or two if some heavy build-ups develop through the weekend.

Forecast.

Today.. Mix of sun and cloud, slight chance of a shower, light north winds, highs 20

Tonight.. Cloudy periods,  chance of a shower, calm or light north winds, lows 15

Friday.. Mix of sun and cloud, slight chance of a shower, highs 20

Weekend-Tuesday.. Sunny

A return to drier weather across PEI…

Wednesday Aug 20th 7:40am..An area of low pressure continues to spin over southwestern Newfoundland this morning. This system will continue to weaken but a could also give cloudy periods and a slight chance of a shower to the region today. With the cool air aloft, conditions are still favorable for the formation of waterspouts over the waters surrounding PEI today. High pressure will be  building in from the west tonight and should dominate the weather pattern through the weekend. Air will remain cool aloft which could result in afternoon cloud development with a isolated brief shower.

Precipitation.. Chance of a shower especially eastern region associated with the weakening system in Newfoundland. Chance of an afternoon shower throughout the remainder of the week.

Temperatures..A few degrees below normal with a warmer trend beginning early next week.

Thunderstorms… A very slim chance of a quick thundershower over the next few days.

Wind..A light-brisk NW-NE winds expected for the remainder of the week shifting to southerly for the beginning of next week.

Forecast..

Today.. Sunny with a few cloudy periods, slight chance of a shower, light NW winds, highs 19

Tonight.. Mainly clear, very light NW winds, lows 14

Thursday-Sunday.. Mainly sunny with a few afternoon cloudy periods and very slight chance of an afternoon shower, light-brisk N-NE winds, highs 19/20

Monday-Tuesday.. Sunny, light south winds Monday increasing to brisk on Tuesday, highs 22

 

Showers should continue today across PEI

Tuesday Aug 19th 10:25am...A low pressure system drifted across PEI yesterday giving showers at times heavy to the region. Thundershowers were also reported over the eastern part of the island as well. Rainfall amounts varied across the island due to the convective nature of the system with the higher amounts being recorded over the eastern half of the province. Here in Elmwood, I recorded 37 mms as of 8:00am this morning, The low pressure system responsible is now moving into southwestern Newfoundland but cloud and showers with a risk of thundershowers will continue through tomorrow morning, There is still a risk of waterspouts over the waters surrounding PEI as well. An area of high pressure will begin to push into eastern Canada later Wednesday and dominate the east coast though the weekend but a weak system may track by giving cloudy periods and chance of showers on Saturday. Models start to disagree for the beginning of next week so will wait and see.

Precipitation.. Chance of showers or drizzle today into early tomorrow. Could see local brief downpours under bigger cloud build-ups. Dry conditions expected later Wednesday into early Saturday then maybe a shower or two later Saturday into early Sunday.

Temperatures..Should be running a couple degrees below normal into the weekend.

Wind..Basically a light-brisk NW-NE wind expected through Friday shifting to light easterly for the weekend becoming southeasterly for early next week.

Thunderstorms.. Slight chance today and tonight. Any storms could give some small hail. Chance of waterspouts over the water..

Forecast..

Today.. Cloudy with sunny breaks, chance of a shower/thundershower, light-brisk NW winds, highs 20

Tonight.. Cloudy with chance of showers, light NW winds, lows 15

Wednesday.. Cloudy periods with a chance of showers, improving later in the day, light-brisk NW winds, highs 20

Thursday-Friday.. Sunny with cloudy periods, light-brisk northerly winds, highs 20

Saturday.. Cloudy with chance of a shower, light east winds, highs 21

Sunday.. Chance of showers early then improving, light east winds, highs 21