Heavy rain event for tonight and Monday across PEI

Sunday 5:40pm.. A complicated weather situation across eastern Canada today. A stalled/slow moving frontal trough is located in a NE-SW line across the Maritimes this afternoon, meanwhile Low pressure will move north along this front tonight. Tropical storm Leslie currently passing east of Bermuda and will continue to track north towards Newfoundland merging with this trough off the east coast. This trough may tap Moisture from Leslie enhancing rainfall amount s across eastern regions. The trough will finally exit the Maritimes on Tuesday as high pressure builds in from the west giving cooler and dryer weather through mid week. A weak cold front is expected to cross the region late Friday or early Saturday.

Precipitation.  With all the action taking place off the east coast, Environment Canada has issued heavy rainfall warnings for Queens and Kings county of PEI and for all of NS, although latest model runs are hinting at the heaviest axis of rain may occur further to the northwest. In any event, trying to pin point the exact areas is very difficult with all the players but a swath of 30-75 mms of rainfall possible across the island with the heavier amounts down east and lower amount sup west. Rain should taper to showers Monday afternoon then end after midnight.

Wind.. Diminishing southwest winds tonight shifting to northerly near midnight tonight then increasing to strong northerly on Tuesday morning. Winds will diminish to light westerly on Wednesday then southwesterly Wednesday evening. Winds will shift back to the northwest later Friday as the cold front crosses.

Thunderstorms. Risk of storm tonight and tomorrow.

Temperatures.. Dropping to 15 by dawn tomorrow then holding steady near 15 on Monday. Little warmer on Tuesday then back to normal on Wednesday-Friday.

Tropical Storms..Tropical Storm Leslie is located about 230 kms east of Bermuda this afternoon and moving north at 17 KMH. Max sustained winds of 100 KMH. Leslie is expected to continue moving northward and expected to intensify back to a hurricane as it moves over warmer waters then interact with a frontal trough off the east coast. Leslie is forecast to make landfall on the south coast of Newfoundland near the Burin Penn at noon on Tuesday. The strongest winds will occur to the east of track while the heaviest rains will occur to the west. Interests in the Maritimes still need to monitor the progress of this storm for any unexpected westward shift in forecasted track.

Forecast..

Tonight.. Overcast with rain at times heavy . Risk of thundershowers. Light southwest winds shifting to northwest after midnight . Lows near 15 by dawn.

Monday.. Rain at time heavy tapering to showers in the evening with risk of thundershowers. Brisk northerly winds,  Temperatures steady near 15.

Monday night.. Cloudy with showers ending after midnight, brisk north winds, lows near 15

Tuesday.. Mostly cloudy, strong north winds peaking near noon then slowly diminishing. Highs 17

Wednesday. Sunny, light west winds, highs 20

Thursday.. Sunny, light southwest winds, highs 21

Friday.. Cloudy periods, winds shifting to northerly late in the day, highs 20

 

About these ads

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s