Becoming sunny today but cool across PEI..

Tuesday Sept 1st 6:40am..  Good morning and welcome to the first day of September and the 1st day of meteorological fall. A low pressure system tracked across the northern Gulf overnight and is now located just west of Newfoundland. A cold front extended SW from this low and also crossed the island yesterday evening and that was responsible for the band of heavy thundershowers which rolled through. Skies should clear this morning as the low moves further away and a ridge of high pressure builds in. This feature will cross the island this evening with clear skies and the coolest temperatures we have seen in quite a while. Another cold front is then expected to sweep across the region Wednesday afternoon with another band of showers and possible thundershowers. High pressure returns for Thursday and should remain in place over the Maritimes through Saturday. Looks like a cold front will be trying to drop down from the north on Sunday spreading some cloud and showers.

Precipitation.. That heavy rain yesterday evening was a surprise. I recorded 17.2 mms here in the New Haven area. Could still be a stray showers this morning but a drying trend is in store today. Dry again tomorrow then showers beginning Wednesday afternoon. Dry for Thursday through Saturday then watching another round of showers spreading across the island during the day on Sunday.

Temperatures.. Today and tonight will be cool. The heat returns on Wednesday then a slight cool down for Thursday and Friday. Temps at or above normal into the weekend.

Wind..Diminishing NW winds today dropping off to calm this evening then shifting to the south after midnight. Light SW winds tomorrow shifting to the west behind the cold front later Wednesday. Light northerlies for Thursday and Friday turning to westerlies on the weekend.

Thunderstorms.. The storms yesterday evening were a real surprise as the front was expected to be weak but i think the low pressure system tracked a little further south than expected. The storms did not extend much further south than northern NS. The next chance of thunder appears to be on Wednesday.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time.

Forecast..

Today.. Cloudy with a slight chance of a showers this morning then clearing, light-brisk north winds, highs 16

Tonight.. Clear, calm cool. inland lows 8-10 with fog patched developing in low lying areas.

Tomorrow.  Sunny start becoming cloudy with showers/thundershowers in the afternoon, light-brisk south winds, highs 27

Thursday.. Sunny, light north winds, highs 22

Friday.. Sunny, light north winds, highs 16

Saturday.. Sunny, light west winds, highs 23

Sunday.. Showers possible later in the day, 26

Cloud and showers today, sunny and cooler tomorrow across PEI..

Monday August 31st 6:45am... A very weak cold front crossed the region yesterday and basically just brought some clouds. A second cold front will cross the region later today bringing more clouds and a chance of showers. Cooler high pressure will build in tomorrow with lots of sunshine then yet another cold front approaches and crosses the Maritimes on Wednesday with showers and risk of thundershowers. High pressure then slowly crosses the region Thursday through Monday giving an extended period of nice weather.

Precipitation.. Showers this afternoon into this evening. Dry for tomorrow, showers again for Wednesday into Wednesday night. Dry for Thursday afternoon through Monday.

Temperatures.. Above normal today, cool tomorrow, above normal for Wednesday, cool for Thursday and Friday then above normal for the weekend into early next week.

Wind.. Light-brisk SW today shifting to NW this evening with the passage of the cold front. Diminishing NW winds tomorrow becoming calm by evening. Light-brisk SW again on Wednesday shifting again to NW late in the day with the passage of that cold front. Light northerlies for Thursday and Friday then westerlies for the weekend.

Thunderstorms.. Next chance appears to be on Wednesday.

Tropics.. Hurricane Fred located continues to move westward through the Cape Verde islands then expected to weaken over the tropical Atlantic.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time.

Forecast..

Today.. Cloudy with showers developing, light-brisk SW winds, highs 26

Tonight.. Cloudy with showers ending then clearing towards dawn, light-brisk NW winds, lows 15

Tomorrow… Sunny, diminishing NW winds, temps steady near 17.

Tomorrow night.. Clear with increasing high clouds towards dawn, calm winds becoming light southerly by dawn, lows 9-12 inland near midnight then turning warmer with the south winds.

Wednesday.. Becoming cloudy with showers and possible thundershowers, light-brisk southwest winds, highs 25

Thursday.. Morning cloud and showers then clearing, light north winds, highs 21

Friday.. Sunny, light-brisk north winds, highs 18

Saturday… Sunny, light west winds, highs 23

Sunday… Sunny, light west winds, highs 25

Monday.. Sunny, light west winds, highs 27

Chance of showers today and tomorrow across PEI..

Sunday August 30th 9:45am..  A couple of cold fronts are expected to cross the Maritimes over the next 24-36 hours resulting in mostly cloudy skies and chance of showers. High pressure will build in for Tuesday with sunshine then yet a third cold front crosses the region Wednesday with cloud and showers. High pressure should dominate the area for Thursday through Saturday with lots of sunshine and seasonal temps.

Precipitation... Few showers possible today, tonight and tomorrow with only light amounts. Dry for Tuesday then few more showers on Wednesday. Dry for Thursday through Saturday.

Temperatures.. Above normal today and tomorrow. Below normal for Tuesday then at or above normal beginning on Wednesday. So just a one day cool down on Tuesday.

Wind.. Light-brisk SW winds today, tonight into first half of tomorrow shifting to NW tomorrow evening. Diminishing north winds on Tuesday dropping off to calm by Tuesday evening/overnight which will set the stage for the coolest night in quite a while across the island with temps dipping in to the single digits inland low lying areas. Light southerlies develop on Wednesday then back to the north for Thursday and Friday.

Thunderstorms...Could be slight chance through NB today and tomorrow.

Tropical... Erika dissipated yesterday after its trek across Cuba and is now just an area of disturbed weather south of Florida. This area is moving westward into the Gulf of Mexico and continues to be monitored for redevelopment. Tropical Storm Fred as developed off the west coast of Africa and is moving westward through the tropical Atlantic.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time.

Forecast…

Today.. Cloudy chance of showers. light-brisk NW winds, highs 25

Tonight.. Mainly cloudy, light SW winds, lows 17

Tomorrow… Cloudy with chance of showers, light-brisk SW winds, highs 26

Tomorrow night.. Clearing, light-brisk NW winds, lows 14

Tuesday.. Sunny, diminishing North winds (calm by late afternoon into the overnight), cool with lows 9-12 inland.

Wednesday.. Cloudy with showers, light south winds, highs 25

Thursday-Saturday.. Sunny , highs 22-24

Sunshine expected for the next couple days across PEI..

Friday August 28th 5:00pm.. Sunshine and comfortable temperatures and humidities prevailed across PEI today as a large area of high pressure centered just south of the Great Lakes drifts eastward. This feature will pass south of the Maritimes tomorrow with more sunshine expected. A weal cold front will begin to drop down from the north late Saturday night and should  push some cloud and showers into the island by Sunday. This front is fairly weak so only expecting some light showers if anything at all. The front will actually stall over the region into early next week maintaining clouds and a threat of showers through Monday. High pressure builds back in for Tuesday with sunshine then another cold front will cross the area Wednesday with cloud and showers. High pressure returns for Thursday with slightly cooler temps.

Precipitation... Next chance of rain appears to be Sunday morning as showers then becoming more frequent during the day ending Monday afternoon. Tuesday should be dry then more showers on Wednesday. Thursday and Friday should be dry.

Temperatures... Should be at or above normal through Friday.

Wind.. Generally light W/NW winds expected tonight and tomorrow increasing to light-brisk SW on Sunday. Winds briefly shift to the NW late Sunday or early Monday with the passage of that cold front. Westerlies on Monday, northerlies on Tuesday.

Thunderstorms... Nil expected at this time.

Watches/warnings..None in effect for PEI at this time.

Tropical.. Still watching Tropical Storm Erika. The storm is  passing south of the Dominican Republic now then turn NW tracking along the north coast of Cuba tomorrow then into Florida Monday morning. The storm may not survive the trek across Cuba with some models showing the storm dissipating before reaching Florida. At any rate, interests along the east coast should monitor the progress of this system.

Space... Conditions are favorable for northern lights again tonight across PEI with clear skies but the bright moon will hinder viewing.

Forecast..

Tonight.. Clear, light west winds, lows 15

Tomorrow.. Sunny, light West winds, highs 25

Sunday.. Cloudy with showers developing, light-brisk SW winds, highs 24

Monday.. Cloudy with showers, light-brisk SW winds, highs 24

Tuesday.. Sunny, light north winds, highs 20

Wednesday.. Cloudy with showers, 24

Thursday.. Sunny, 22

Friday.. Sunny, 24

Another significant rain event across PEI today..

Thursday August 27th 5:30pm… A slow moving trough of low pressure oriented north-south is located across eastern PEI late this afternoon and is moving very slowly eastward. This feature gave significant amounts of rainfall to the island today with flooding reported on parts of Charlottetown. I recorded 80 mms rain here in the New Haven area as of 5:00pm. As mentioned the trough of low pressure is drifting slowly eastward allowing high pressure to build in for tomorrow and Saturday with lots of sunshine. A weak cold front will then begin to drop down from the north late Saturday with cloud and showers expected for Sunday. High pressure returns for Monday and Tuesday but could see some afternoon cloudiness and associated local showers. A cold front pushes through on Wednesday with a more organized threat for showers.

Precipitation.. The heaviest rains have pushed NE of the island but can’t rule out some lingering showers this evening. Friday and Saturday should be dry. Showers for Sunday then a slight chance of showers for Monday and Tuesday. Showers on Wednesday.

Temperatures... Running at or above normal through the period. Monday night could see the coolest overnight temperatures in a while with readings possible in the single digits under clear sky and calm winds. Much cooler weather moves in for Thursday.

Thunderstorms.. Storms today have moved off to the NE but still can’t rule out more development this evening.

Wind.. Light SW winds this evening will shift to the NW later tonight, light NW winds tomorrow then W/SW for Saturday and Sunday. Winds shift to the NW on Monday then southerly on Tuesday.

Tropical... Still watching Tropical Storm Erika which is now located just SE of Puerto Rico and moving NW. This track is proving very difficult to nail down but over all the storm is expected to approach the east coast of Florida as a hurricane Monday morning then turn northward along the coast. Still too early to go into details beyond that but interests all along the coast up to Newfoundland need to monitor the progress of this system.

Watches/warnings.. Severe thunderstorm warnings were in effect today for parts of PEI but have since been dropped.

Forecast..

Tonight.. Cloudy with chance of s shower or thundershower clearing after midnight, light NW winds, lows 16

Friday.. Sunny, light NW winds, highs 23

Saturday.. Sunny, light West winds, highs 25

Sunday.. Cloudy with showers, light SW winds, highs 25

Monday.. Sunny but chance of afternoon cloudy periods and a shower, light NW winds, highs 23

Tuesday.. Sunny, light SW winds, highs 25

Wednesday.. Cloudy with showers, 25

Thursday.. Sunny, 16

Rain, at times heavy expected tonight and tomorrow across PEI.

Wednesday Aug 26th 5:35pm...  Cloudy skies and warm muggy temperatures prevailed across PEI today ahead of a slow moving cold front moving across NB. This front is dumping heavy amounts of rain along the Fundy coast of NB and Environment Canada has issued a heavy rainfall warning for that area. Rain will spread across PEI overnight tonight and continue through tomorrow as the front slowly crosses the island. The front will move away to the east tomorrow night allowing high pressure to build in for Friday with sunshine. A weak frontal boundary may bring some cloud to the region late Friday night into Saturday then lingering into Sunday. A slight chance of showers and /or thundershowers will accompany this feature becoming more organized on Sunday. Lots of sunshine expected for Monday and Tuesday as high pressure crosses the region. Cloudy and showers on Wednesday and another frontal boundary pushes into the area.

Precipitation.. Showers spreading across the island from west to eat beginning this evening becoming steady rain tomorrow ending tomorrow evening. Long duration heavy downpours possible giving locally significant amounts with up to 30 mms possible in places. Dry for Friday then chance of showers on Saturday with a better chance on Sunday. Dry for MOnday and Tuesday then showers for Wednesday.

Temperatures...At or above normal through the period.

Wind.. Light-brisk SE winds tonight and early tomorrow shifting to NW tomorrow evening with the passage pf the cold front. Light NW on Friday, light westerlies on Saturday, light-brisk SW on Sunday becoming northerlies on Monday.

Thunderstorms.. Risk of storms tonight and tomorrow.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time but need to watch potential heavy rainfall.

Hazards.. Locally long duration heavy downpours resulting water on roads.

Tropical.. Watching Tropical Storm Erika approaching the Leeward Islands. This system is expected to become a minimal hurricane just prior of landfall in Florida Monday morning.  With any tropical system, the exact track is still uncertain and interests all along the eastern Seaboard for Florida the Newfoundland will need to monitor the progress of this system next week.

Forecast..

Tonight.. Cloudy with showers beginning overnight at times heavy especially up west. Light-Brisk  SE winds, lows 18

Tomorrow.. Cloudy with rain at time heavy ending in the evening from west to east, light-brisk SE winds shifting to NW by evening, highs 20

Friday.. Sunny, light NW winds, highs 23

Saturday.. Mix of sun and cloud, slight chance of a shower, light west winds, highs 25

Sunday.. Cloudy with showers, light-brisk SW winds, highs 23

Monday.. Sunny, north winds, highs 22

Tuesday.. Sunny, light south winds, highs 25

Wednesday.. Cloud and showers, 26

Some sun expected today into early tomorrow across PEI..

Update 10:35am..  The NE wind is bring in some moisture in the form of low clouds and drizzle off the Gulf. This will be intermittent and should end wind the wind shifts more easterly.

Tuesday August 25th 8:50am...The sub-tropical low pressure system that formed near Bermuda over the weekend is passing east of Cape Breton this morning slowly moving slowly eastward. Rain associated with this system is falling over Cape Breton, meanwhile a north-south ridge of high pressure is located across PEI and will also drift to the east today. This feature should give a mix of sun and cloud to the region today but a cold front approaching from the west should bring cloud and showers to the island later tomorrow and continues into Thursday as it slowly pushes east across the island.  High pressure builds in for Friday with sunshine and lower humidities. The weekend is uncertain as the long range models are offering up different scenarios. One model has a cold front crossing n Saturday with cloud and showers and sunshine for Sunday while another model is keeping the high pressure system over the region through Saturday with sunshine then a system spreading clouds and rain for Sunday. So will need to see how things play out for the weekend.

Precipitation.. Today into first half of tomorrow is looking dry. Showers should spread across the island from west to east beginning later in the afternoon ending later Thursday giving rainfall amounts in the 10-20 mm range. Friday looks dry then half of the weekend looks dry just not sure yet what day.

Temperatures...Are expected to remain at or above normal through the period.

Wind... Light NE/E winds today shifting to SE tomorrow and Thursday. Winds then shift to the NW late Thursday afternoon with the passage of that cold front. Light NW winds continue on Friday then will need to wait to see what the systems do for the weekend.

Thunderstorms…Could be a few storms in NB today but the NE/E wind should keep things quite here.

Tropical..  Hurricane Danny dissipated a couple days ago,  now we have Tropical storm Erika located east of the Leeward island ind is expected to intensify into a Hurricane while tracks west then northwest. Early Track guidance has the storm passing just north of Puerto Rico late Thursday night then into the Bahamas late Saturday night.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time.

Forecast..

Today.. Mix of sun and cloud, light E/NE winds, highs 25

Tonight.. Cloudy, light E/SE winds, lows 18

Tomorrow.. Becoming mostly cloudy with showers possible later in the day, Light-brisk SE winds, highs 24

Thursday.. Showers ending in the afternoon then clearing, South winds shifting to W/NW late afternoon, highs 22

Friday… Sunny, light W/NW winds, highs 23

Weekend.. ???  not sure yet.. see above.