Turning mild again today across PEI..

Saturday February 25th 6:15am.. A warm front is draped east-west across PEI now and is giving freezing rain to the island. The front will begin to lift northward this morning putting the island back into the warm sector  this the freezing rain should change to rain. A large area of low pressure will move put of the Great Lakes today and track NE into Labrador tomorrow. The associated cold front will then sweep eastward across PEI near noon on Sunday bring and end to the rainfall and falling temperatures. A weak upper air disturbance will then cross the region on Monday with some showers or flurries. A ridge of high pressure then crests over the island with sunshine. Another large area of low pressure will come out of the Great Lakes Wednesday night and track NE along the St Lawrence river valley into the Gaspe Region by Thursday afternoon. This should once again put the Maritimes on the warm side making for a rain event.Colder air moves into the region on Friday behind this low. Another low moves south of NS on Friday night/Saturday morning which will need to be watched for a possible snow event.

Precipitation.. Rain begin yesterday evening as the front approaches from the north and changed over to freezing rain in the Charlottetown area about 3am. This happened sooner up west and later down east. The freezing rain will change back to rain this morning as temps climb above zero. Again southeastern PEI will be the first  while Charlottetown should see a change over about mid morning. Up west will see the longest period of freezing  rain with the change over not expected til noon time. Showers expected through the day and into tonight. Flurries on Monday. Dry on Tuesday. Rain begins Wednesday evening and continues through Thursday. Friday dry.

Temperatures. Will climb back above zero during the morning becoming well above normal this evening through noon tomorrow then fall with the cold frontal passage tomorrow afternoon dropping to -1 by suppertime. Mild again on Monday and Tuesday. another warm up on Thursday. Looks like normal temps return for Friday and then cold for the weekend.

Wind. Light north now but will shift back to the south with the warm frontal passage. Southerly winds then increase to brisk tonight into tomorrow morning shifting to westerly tomorrow afternoon with the cold frontal passage. Brisk westerlies continue into Monday.

Thunderstorms.. Could be a rumble of thunder Sunday morning with the passage of the cold front.

Hazards.. ice build-up due freezing rain this morning. refreeze tomorrow night..

Watches/warnings.. Freezing rain warning remains in effect for all of PEI this morning.

Forecast..

Today.. Freezing  rain shifting back to rain this morning then tapering to showers by noon. winds shifting back to southerly, temps rising to +3 by suppertime.

Tonight. Showers, brisk south winds, temps continue to rise to +7 by midnight.

Tomorrow. Showers and chance of a thundershower near noon, brisk south winds shifting to westerly near noon,  temps near +10 mid morning then falling with the windshift to +1 by suppertime and -2 by midnight.

Monday.. Flurries/showers,+4

Tuesday.. Sunny, +1

Wednesday.. clouding over, +4

Thursday. rain, +10.

Friday. Flurries,-1

Saturday.. Cloudy, -10

Sunday..Sunny, -3

Freezing rain expected tonight across PEI..

Friday February 24th 6:20pm.. sunshine and mild temperatures prevailed across PEI today as an area of high pressure slipped of the coast of NS. A weak cold front will drop south tonight sliding south of PEI during the overnight hours. The front will then stop and reverse direction moving back north again as a warm front tomorrow. Showers will develop ahead of the front tonight then change over to freezing rain once the front slips south of the island and our temps falls in the colder air. The freezing rain will change back to regular once the front moves north of the island and temps once again climb above zero. Hence a freezing rain warning is in effect for all PEI including central and northern NB. A large area of low pressure will then move out of the Great Lakes tracking NW into Labrador by early Sunday. An associated cold front will then sweep across the island near noon on Sunday which will bring an end to the recent bout of mild spring weather. A few flurries possible on Monday as another weak cold front sweeps through bringing a reinforcing shot of cold air. High pressure builds in for Tuesday then a couple of systems approaching on Wednesday bringing a mix of rain and/or snow to the region.

Precipitation.. Showers develop this evening changing to freezing rain after midnight then back to regular rain after breakfast tomorrow then ending by noon. Showers redevelop late tomorrow night ending near dawn on Sunday morning. Could be some thunder…. Flurries on Monday. Rain or snow on Wednesday.

Temperatures.. Will fall this evening dropping below the freezing mark after midnight hence the freezing rain. Temps climb back above zero before noon tomorrow then staying mild through Sunday noonish. Temps then begin to fall Sunday afternoon falling back below the freezing mark by late Sunday evening. Another mild day on Monday then closer to normal on Tuesday but still staying mild. Above normal temps continue into Wednesday and Thursday. Cool for Friday and Saturday.

Thunderstorms.. Could be an outside chance of some thunder Saturday night into Sunday morning.

Wind.. Very light SW this evening shifting to North tonight with the passage of the cold front then shifting back to the south tomorrow afternoon as the front slips north again. Winds increasing to brisk southerlies Saturday evening and continue into Sunday.

Hazards.. Wet roads freezing tonight with falling temps. Freezing rain 3am-9am resulting in ice build-up on surfaces. Rain and snow melt on Sunday may cause water issues. Refreeze Sunday night..

Watches/warnings. Freezing rain warning in effect for all of PEI..

Forecast..

Tonight.. becoming cloudy with showers developing,light SW winds.. Rain changing to freezing rain as temps fall below zero after midnight. Winds shifting to north, lows -1

Tomorrow.. Freezing rain early changing to rain near breakfast then ending by noon, temps rising to +1 by noon then +7 by late tomorrow evening. increasing south winds.

Sunday.. Rain early then clearing. Brisk South winds shifting to westerly, highs +8/+10 near breakfast then falling after lunchtime. +5 by suppertime, -2 by midnight.

Monday.. Flurries, +2

Tuesday.. Sunny, 0

Wednesday.. Rain and/or Snow..

 

Mild conditions expected across PEI next few days.

Thursday February 23rd 8:20am.. A ridge of high pressure stretching north-south is currently located across the Maritimes and is giving sunshine and light winds to the island. This feature will drift off to the east tonight. A low pressure system will move east today out of Quebec tracking across the northern Gulf tonight. The associated cold front will then sweep across the region during the morning tomorrow. This will result in a mil day today under the high. cloud and a few showers tonight into tomorrow morning. The sun returns near noon tomorrow as high pressure returns. Clouds will be in the increase Friday night as the next weather system approaches from the Great Lakes, This large low pressure system is expected to track NE into Labrador Saturday night into Sunday morning. Very mild air will flood north across the Maritimes on Sunday as well as a burst of rain. The rain will change over to flurries as cold air returns with the passage of the cold front later Sunday afternoon. High pressure builds in for Monday then some snow expected on Tuesday as a low pressure system pass south of NS.

Precipitation.. Few showers overnight tonight ending before dawn. Few showers again tomorrow evening may change over to ice pellets or freezing rain for a while before dawn on Saturday. Showers again on Saturday becoming rain by at times heavy Sunday noonish. Rain changes to flurries Sunday evening ending Monday morning. Light snow possible on Tuesday.

Temperatures..At or above normal through the period. Mild days today and again on Sunday.

Wind.. SW today and tomorrow. SE on Saturday, southerlies on Sunday then shifting to westerly later Sunday with the passage of the cold front.

Hazards..Rain and melting snow over the next few days may give water issues especially in the city.

Watches/warnings..None for PEI at this time.

Forecast..

Today.. Sunny, light SW winds, highs +4

Tonight. Cloudy with a few showers, light SW winds, temps steady near +2

Tomorrow… Sunny start becoming cloudy with showers late, light SW winds, highs 3

Saturday.. Ice pellets or freezing rain early changing to rain showers, light-brisk SW winds, highs +2

Sunday.. Rain, brisk SE winds, highs +10 then falling through the afternoon. Flurries by evening.

Monday.. Flurries early, sunny later, +2

Tuesday.. Flurries

Mild weather continues across PEI..

Wednesday February 22nd 4:15pm..  A ridge of high pressure stretching NE-SW is currently lying across NS and will drift eastward tonight. A low pressure system will approach the region tomorrow tracking across the northern Gulf late on the day. The associated warm front extending southeastward from this low will lift north across the Maritimes putting the island in the warm sector. This will result in mild conditions across the island. There cold be a sprinkle of rain with the warm frontal passage early tomorrow. The cold front is expected to drop south across the island before dawn on Friday morning resulting in a return to seasonal cool temps. Skies will clear before noon on Friday as a ridge of high pressure approaches. The ridge will crest over the island late Friday night. Clouds will be on the increase after midnight as the next weather system approaches. Actually this will be a warm front which will spread some ice pellets and freezing rain across the island near dawn Saturday morning. The front will lift north of the island later Saturday as a large area of low pressure tracks NE out of the Great Lakes. This system should track into Labrador by Sunday afternoon with it’s associated cold front sweeping eastward across the island by early Sunday evening. Any left over rain will shift back to flurries as colder air invades Sunday evening. High pressure builds in for Monday then more cloud and flurries on Tuesday as the next weather system passes south of NS.

Precipitation.. Few showers begin tomorrow evening as the low and warm front approach. The showers could become more widespread during the overnight hours ending by Friday morning. Few more showers Saturday morning as the second warm front moves through. More substantial rain expected Saturday night into Sunday morning with 15-20 mms possible. Showers shift to flurries Sunday evening Dry on Monday. Flurries on Tuesday.

Temperatures.. No cold air around so temps should be at or above normal through the period. Mild days expected tomorrow and Sunday.

Wind.. Light SW tonight, tomorrow and Friday dropping off to calm Friday night. Southeasterlies on Saturday.

Hazards.. Rain and snow melt on Sunday may cause some flooding issues.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time..

Forecast..

Tonight.. Cloudy, light SW winds,  lows 0

Tomorrow. Cloudy with a few showers towards evening, light SW winds, highs +4

Friday.. Mix of sun and cloud, light west winds, highs 0

Saturday.. Showers, +1

Sunday.. Rain early, brisk south winds, highs +8

Monday.. Sunny, 0

Tuesday. Flurries, -2

Sunshine expected today across PEI..

Tuesday February 21 7:30am.. An upper level disturbance crossed the island yesterday and gave the cloud, flurries and freezing drizzle. This system is now SE of NS. A ridge of high pressure oriented North-south stretches all the way from northern Labrador down to South Carolina.  This feature is drifting eastward and will crest over the island later this evening. Sunshine and very light winds will accompany this system. A weak occluded front will then cross the region early tomorrow morning with some cloud and chance of a flurrie. High pressure then redevelops to our south later tomorrow allowing for some clearing. Another weak low pressure system will then approach from the west on Thursday passing through the central Gulf. This will keep the island on the warm side resulting in some rain showers.Another ridge of high pressure crosses the island on Friday with sunshine and light winds. The weekend is looking rather wet and mild as a large area of low pressure moves out of the Great Lakes and tracks through Labrador on Sunday. This will keep the entire Maritime region on the warm side and a significant threat of rainfall. This heavy rain when combined with rapid sow melt could result in flooding issues for the city area as well as water issues for others. Will see a change over to flurries by Sunday evening as colder air returns behind the cold front.Flurries persist into Monday then high pressure  dominates for Tuesday with sunshine.

Precipitation. Could be a few flurries around tomorrow as the weak occluded front goes through. Rain showers develop on Thursday. More showers late Friday night which become rain at time heavy on Sunday then change over to flurries Sunday evening which persist into Monday.

Temperatures.. Normal today, above normal begins tomorrow and continues right through until Monday.

Wind.. Very light NW winds today dropping off to calm this evening then southerly tomorrow increasing to brisk southerlies on Thursday. Brief shift to the NW on Friday morning before back to the south on Friday evening. Southerlies on the weekend.

Hazards.. No real big issues over the next few days but a significant rain threat and melting snow could cause some local flooding on Sunday. Prepare this week.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time.

Forecast..

Today.. Sunny, light NW winds, highs -3

Tonight.. Clouding over before dawn, calm winds, lows -14

Tomorrow.. Cloudy with chance of a flurrie, light south winds, highs 0

Thursday.. Cloudy with rain showers, brisk south winds, highs +1

Friday.. Sunny start becoming cloudy with showers late, highs +1

Saturday.. Showers, +2

Sunday. Rain , +10…. Colder with flurries by evening.

Monday.. Flurries, -1

 

 

 

Light snow expected today across PEI..

Monday February 20th 8:25am.. An upper air disturbance currently north of Gaspe Bay is drifting SE and will cross the region today. Cloud and some light snow is expected with this feature. A ridge of high pressure oriented north-south is stretching all the way from Hudson’s bay to Florida. This feature is also drifting eastward and will crest across the island tomorrow afternoon. Sunshine and light winds expected with this feature. A weak occluded front is then expected to move into the Maritimes late Tuesday into early Wednesday with some cloud and chance of flurries. Another low pressure system will track across the northern Gulf late Thursday into early Friday bringing mild air and rain to the island. High pressure crests over the island later Friday then all eyes then shift to the west as a large area of low pressure comes out of the Great Lakes Saturday morning. This system is expected to track NE  passing through Quebec/Labrador on Sunday. This means a significant push of warm air across the Maritimes along with some rain which when combined with snow melt may cause water issues for some areas. Colder air returns Sunday evening with the passage of a cold front which will then mean a freeze of any left over water. Long range models are hinting at a possible noreaster for the last day of February (Tuesday night) but only one model brings it into the Maritimes. The other models are keeping it well south with no impact. Will watch this over the upcoming  days. Should be interesting how it is handled.

Precipitation..Flurries or light snow today giving 1-2 cms ending this evening. Flurries possible late Tuesday then showers late Wednesday into Thursday . Rain on Sunday.

Temperatures.. Normal today and tomorrow. Above normal Wednesday through Sunday.

Wind.. Light-brisk NW/N today and tomorrow shifting to southerly for Wednesday and Thursday then back to westerly on Friday.

Hazards.. Light snow today giving a light dusting on the roads especially rural areas. Possible rain event on Saturday night into Sunday which could cause some local flooding especially when combined with snow melt as temps climb into the 8/10 range. Good chance to prepare over the next few days by clearing away water catch basins and down spouts/spillways around your house.

Watches/warnings. None for PEI at this time.

Forecast..

Today.. Cloudy with some flurries or light snow, light north winds, highs -2

Tonight. Cloudy, light north winds, lows -5

Tomorrow.. Mix of sun and cloud, light NW winds, highs -4

Wednesday.. Cloud and chance of flurries, light south winds, highs 0

Thursday.. Showers, light-brisk south winds, highs 0

Friday.. Sunny, 0

Saturday.. Showers developing, +1

Sunday.. RAIN, +10

Monday.. Flurries, 0

 

Quiet weather pattern continues across PEI..

Sunday February 19th 8:40am.. A weak low pressure system located just north of eastern PEI this morning will continue to move east today. A cold front extending back to the west will sweep across the island later today with some flurries. A large area of high pressure will then begin to build in from the west cresting over the island Tuesday night. A couple of weak weather system will then begin to effect the Maritimes with the first one on Wednesday and the second one on Thursday with either flurries or rain showers. High pressure returns for Friday. Our eyes then shift to the weekend as a large area of low pressure approaches from the west. This system is expected to track well to our northwest on Saturday purring the Maritimes on the warm side. The problem is that we could also see a significant rain event combined with the melting snow could result in water issues.I would suggest that anyone that is prone to water take measures this week to prepare or reduce the impacts.

Precipitation.. Chance of flurries or showers today or this evening. Flurries again tomorrow in the onshore north winds but generally dry through Tuesday. Could be a few flurries on Wednesday with the first weak system. Showers on Thursday with the 2nd system. Dry for Friday then the rain begins near dawn on Saturday.

Temperatures. At or slightly above normal through Saturday of next week. So no cold arctic air.

Wind..Light NW later today increasing to light-brisk tomorrow diminishing back to light on Tuesday. Light-brisk southerlies on Wednesday and Thursday.

Hazards.. No real big hazards except for the melt/freeze cycle may result in wet roads freezing over at night.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time.

Forecast..

Today.. Cloudy with chance of a shower or flurrie, light NW winds, highs +1

Tonight.. Cloudy with chance of flurries, light north winds, lows -3

Tomorrow.. Cloudy periods and chance of a flurrie, light-brisk north winds, highs -3

Tuesday.. Sunny, light NW winds, highs -4

Wednesday.. Chance of flurries, light south winds, highs 0

Thursday.. Rain showers, light south winds, highs 0

Friday.. Sunny, 0

Saturday. Rain, +3