Sunshine today, snow tomorrow across PEI..

Monday, January 22nd 8:50am.. A ridge of high pressure oriented NW-SE is currently located over the Maritimes and will give sunshine and light winds to the island for today. All eyes then shift to the Great Lakes where a low pressure system is moving into this area. The low has a warm front extending to the SE and will approach the Maritimes overnight tonight with snow will develop across the island before dawn tomorrow then change to rain later in the day as temperatures climb. The low itself will move NE out of the Great Lakes crossing northern NB near dawn on Wednesday morning keeping the island on the warm side until the the associated cold front sweeps across the island late Wednesday afternoon which will usher in the cold temperatures. High pressure in control Thursday through Saturday with relatively cold quiet weather. Another frontal system approaches Saturday night with snow developing which should change over to rain on Sunday.

Precipitation.. Snow will spread across the island near dawn tomorrow changing over to ice pellets mid afternoon then freezing rain then finally rain by tomorrow evening.The rain ending Wednesday morning. Snowfall amounts should be in the 5 cms range followed by 10 mms rain. Flurries develop late Wednesday with the arrival of the colder air. Flurries on Thursday and Friday where NW winds blow onshore. Snow redevelops late Saturday which changes to rain for Sunday.

Temperatures.. Cold today, temps climbing tomorrow then staying mild through Wednesday afternoon. Temps will then start falling late tomorrow afternoon with the cold frontal passage. Cold for Thursday and Friday then another warm-up for Saturday, mild on Sunday.

Wind.. Light-brisk NW winds today dropping off to calm this evening then becoming southeasterly by dawn tomorrow. Increasing south winds tomorrow becoming brisk-strong by evening shifting to SW Wednesday afternoon then westerly Wednesday night. NW winds for Thursday and Friday.

Hazards.. 5 cms snow tomorrow. Freezing rain threat tomorrow late afternoon into the evening. Rainfall and melting snow may give local street, ditch and field flooding tomorrow night into Wednesday. Freeze Wednesday evening. Wind may also cause Confederation bridge restrictions later tomorrow.

Forecast..

Today.. Few clouds, light-brisk NW winds, highs -10

Tonight.. Clear initially with calm winds. Increasing clouds after midnight, light SE winds developing, lows -14 then slowly rising with the cloud cover overnight.

Tomorrow.. Snow (5cms) beginning near dawn then changing to ice pellets > freezing rain > rain by evening, increasing SE winds becoming brisk-strong late in the day, temps rising to +5 by midnight.

Wednesday.. Rain ending before dawn then sunny periods, brisk SW-W winds, temps near 5 then falling in the afternoon.

Thursday.. Sun and cloud, flurries, brisk NW winds, highs

Friday.. Sun and cloud, flurries, light-brisk NW winds, highs

Saturday… Sunny start increasing clouds with snow by evening, calm winds becoming light Southerly, temps rising to +1 by evening.

Sunday.. Showers, +4

 

 

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Sunshine expected across PEI next couple days..

Sunday, January 21st 8:45am.. Snow fell across the island yesterday as a low pressure system moved eastward across the northern Gulf of St Lawrence with only light accumulations recorded.The island was on the warm side hence the mild temperatures later yesterday afternoon into the evening. The associated cold front swept across the region just after midnight last night ushering in the colder temperatures.  High pressure will now begin to build in from the west and should crest over the island tomorrow evening then shift east. Things then start to warm-up as a warm front begin to lift north across the Maritimes later Monday with some snow developing before noon on Tuesday. The snow changes to rain Tuesday afternoon as milder air surges north under brisk south winds. The parent storm will be moving out of the Great Lakes passing north of the island on Wednesday. This once again puts the region on the warm side hence the milder air and rain. The associated cold front will then sweep across the island late Wednesday afternoon once again bring a return to colder conditions. A large area of high pressure then takes over with relatively quiet cold weather Thursday through Saturday. The next system looks to spread another round of snow/rain across the region on Sunday.

Precipitation.. Snow returns near dawn on Tuesday changing to rain by noon ending near dawn on Wednesday. Models at this point are hinting at just light amounts of snow followed by 20 mms rain. Could be a few onshore flurries Thursday and Friday. Snow begins again late Saturday night changing to rain on Sunday.

Temperatures.. Cold today and tomorrow, warm-up through the day on Tuesday peaking Tuesday night into Wednesday morning near 8. Cool down through the day on Wednesday especially later in the afternoon once the cold front has gone through. Cold for Thursday Friday and Saturday. Warm-up again on Sunday.

Wind.. Light-brisk NW winds today and tomorrow dropping off to calm tomorrow evening. Increasing southerlies on Tuesday becoming quite brisk by evening. Winds shift to westerly Wednesday afternoon in the wake of the cold front.

Hazards.. Quite next couple days.. Light snow Tuesday morning. Heavier rain Tuesday night combined with mild temps and snow melt may lead to some local minor street or field flooding.

Forecast..

Today.. Sunny, light-brisk NW winds, highs -6

Tonight.. Generally clear, light NW winds, lows -15

Tomorrow. Sunny, light NW winds dropping off to calm by evening, highs -10

Tuesday.. Snow early changing to rain by noon, brisk south winds, highs +1 by suppertime, +5 by late evening.

Wednesday.. Rain ending by noon. brisk south winds initially but shifting to westerly in the afternoon, temps near 8 at dawn then falling through the day to -1 by evening.

Thursday.. Sun and cloud, chance of flurries, NW winds, highs -9

Friday.. Sun and cloud, chance of flurries, NW winds, highs -12

Saturday.. Sunny start, increasing clouds with snow possible late, Winds becoming southerly, temps rising to -7 by evening.

Sunday.. Snow changes to rain, +5

Light snow expected today across PEI..

Saturday, January 20th 6:45am..  A north-south ridge of high pressure crossed the island overnight and is now located across Cape Breton. This feature gave the clear skies and calm winds overnight. A warm front extending eastward from a low in central Quebec will spread some light snow across the island today. The low will move eastward to be located in the northern Gulf this afternoon. This puts the island on the south side of the track resulting in a mild day today. Unfortunately a cold front extending southwestward from the low will sweep across the island near midnight tonight bringing a temporary  end to the mild weather. A ridge of high pressure crosses the region Sunday night. Clouds will begin to spread across the island by Monday morning as another warm front begins to approach with snow beginning Tuesday afternoon. Another mild day expected resulting in a change-over to rain by Tuesday night. The associated low pressure system is then expected to move across NB on Wednesday with the attendant cold front sweeping across the island Wednesday afternoon. This frontal passage ushers in much colder air for Thursday Friday and Saturday.

Precipitation.. Light snow will spread across the island this morning and may briefly change over to rain before ending this afternoon giving about 5 cms. Few flurries possible on Sunday and Monday in the onshore NW flow.  Snow begins again on Tuesday but changes to rain as the warmer air moves in ending Wednesday afternoon. Could see another 5 cms here. Dry for Thursday and Friday. Snow possible late Saturday as the next system approaches.

Temperatures.. Mild today, cold for Tomorrow and Monday. Warm-up through the day on Tuesday. Mild on Wednesday then cold for Thursday through Saturday.

Wind.. Increasing SE winds today shifting to brisk westerly this afternoon. Diminishing NW winds tomorrow, light westerlies on Monday. Increasing south easterlies on Tuesday.

Hazards.. 5 cms snow today giving snow covered roads. Increasing winds may give some drifting. Any rain will tend to dampen this down this afternoon. Wet surfaces will  begin to freeze after midnight tonight as colder air floods in.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time.

Forecast..

Today. Snow beginning this morning which may change over to rain this afternoon giving 5 cms. Brisk SE winds shifting to westerlies this afternoon, temps rising to +1

Tonight. Cloudy.. Flurries developing after midnight, temps steady near 0 then falling after midnight dropping to -9 by dawn.

Tomorrow.. Cloudy with a few flurries, brisk west winds, highs -8

Monday.. Sun and cloud, chance of a flurrie, light west winds, highs -8

Tuesday.. Clouding over with sow in the afternoon changing to rain late, increasing SE winds, temps rising to 0 by midnight.

Wednesday.. Rain ending by dawn, SW winds, highs +8 then falling in the afternoon.

Thursday.. Sun and cloud, -8

Friday.. Sun and Cloud, -7

Saturday.. Snow late.. -7

More snow expected tomorrow across PEI..

Friday, January 19th 8:20am.. High pressure over the Maritimes this morning will give sunshine and light winds to the island today. Clouds will begin to increase later tonight as a low pressure system approaches from the NW. This system is expected to track SE out of central Quebec and into the northern Gulf by tomorrow afternoon. Snow and milder temperatures are expected across PEI as this system moves through. The associated cold front will then sweep across the island later tomorrow night with some cloud and a few flurries. This cold front will also usher in a colder airmass for Sunday as high pressure approaches. Things then start to get interesting again on Tuesday as a large area of low pressure approaches from the Great Lakes. There is some disagreement amongst the various models on how this is going to play out. Some models are tracking this system across the northern Gulf which would put the island on the warm side resulting in mild and rainy conditions for Tuesday while other are tracking it further south or even redevelopment over Maine and tracking this new system right across the Maritimes. This scenario would be slightly cooler and more of a snow/rain event. In any event, looks like a rain or snow event possible for Tuesday. Should have a better handle on this in a few days. The system pulls away later Wednesday allowing much cooler air to invade the region for Thursday as high pressure takes over. Clouds thicken up on Friday as a warm front approaches.

Precipitation.. Snow should spread across the island near dawn tomorrow ending mid afternoon giving about 5 cms. Few flurries Saturday night with the cold frontal passage. Dry for Sunday and Monday then a wintery mix or rain and/or snow begin on Tuesday. Flurries on Thursday followed by some light snow on Friday with the warm front.

Temperatures.. A roller-coaster ride for temps over the next week as several systems will be tracking across the Maritimes. Cold today, mild tomorrow, cold for Sunday and Monday, warm-up on Tuesday, mild Wednesday, Cold again for Thursday Friday and Saturday.

Wind..Very light NW winds today, calm tonight, Brisk southerlies tomorrow shifting to westerlies tomorrow afternoon then NW on Sunday which continue into Monday. Southeast winds on Tuesday.

Hazards.. Quiet today, light snow tomorrow combined with brisk winds resulting in drifting snow on the roads. Turning cold overnight tomorrow night so any wet surfaces will freeze up.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time..

Forecast..

Today.. Sun and cloud, light NW winds, highs -7

Tonight.. Increasing clouds with some light snow towards dawn, calm winds initially then becoming light southerly, temps dropping -14 this evening then rising after midnight to -7 by dawn.

Tomorrow.. Light snow ending mid afternoon, brisk south winds, temps climbing to +1.

Sunday.. Sun and cloud, chance of a flurrie, light-brisk NW winds, highs -7

Monday..Sunny. light NW winds, -10

Tuesday.. Cloudy with Snow and/or rain developing late, brisk SE winds, highs 0 / +5

Wednesday..  Cloudy, 0

Thursday.. Sun and cloud, flurries, NW winds, highs -9

Friday.., Light snow

Snow expected today and tonight across PEI..

Wednesday, January 17th 8:20am.. A low pressure system located just south of Cape Cod this morning will move NE into southern NS this evening then across eastern PEI overnight then into western Newfoundland tomorrow. This system will bring snow today with a risk of freezing rain and rain to central and eastern PEI overnight tonight. As mentioned, the low pulls away tomorrow morning allowing high pressure to build in for later Thursday and Friday with sunshine. Clouds will thicken up during the day on Friday as a warm front approaches from the west with some light snow on Saturday as the front passes through. High pressure in control for Sunday and Monday with sunshine. Another low pressure system will then approach from the Great Lakes Monday night but is expected to pass north of the region on Tuesday. This will put the region on the warm side resulting in a mild rain for Tuesday. The associated cold front sweeps through early Wednesday morning.

Precipitation.. Snow has already spread across mainland NS and should move into PEI over the next few hours. Snow will continue all day becoming mixed with freezing rain/ice pellets tonight then possibility over to rain for eastern half of the island overnight then back to snow tomorrow morning ending by noon. Snow amounts should be highest across central and eastern PEI with lower amounts across western PEI as they will be further from the low. Amounts of 15-20 cms for Kings, 10-15 cms for Queens and 5-10 cms for Prince. Few flurries or light snow on Saturday associated with the warm front then rain on Tuesday.

Temperatures.. Will slowly climb today reaching near 0 overnight tonight and remain steady tomorrow. Cooler on Friday then a warm-up for Saturday and Sunday. Monday chilly then another warm-up for Tuesday and Wednesday.

Wind.. Wind not expected to be an issue with this snow event but some ground drifting expected. Light-brisk SE winds today shifting to westerlies for tomorrow and Friday. Southerlies on Saturday.

Hazards.. snow covered roads today and tonight. Risk of freezing rain tonight. Wind should not really be a factor other than for some drifting snow.

Watches/warnings.. Snowfall warnings are in place for Queens and Kings county where the heaviest snows expected. Special weather statement for Prince county.

Forecast..

Today.. Snow developing, light-Brisk SE winds, temps rising to -5 by suppertime.

Tonight.. Snow, risk of ice pellets or freezing rain with a chance of a change over to rain for Kings county, light-brisk east winds, temps rising to 0 overnight.

Tomorrow.. Snow or rain ending in the morning then clearing, light west winds, temps steady near -1

Friday.. Sunny, light west winds, highs -8

Saturday.. Cloudy with flurries/light snow, light south winds, highs +2

Sunday.. Sun and cloud, +1

Monday.. Sun and Cloud, -9

Tuesday.. Rain, +8

More snow expected tomorrow across PEI..

Tuesday, January 16th  8:30am..Snow spread across the island overnight as a low pressure system approached from the South. This system is now located east of Cape Breton and continues to move away to the NE. High pressure will briefly crest over the region tonight as another area of low pressure develops just off the mid Atlantic coast near Cape Hatteras. This system will intensify and move NE tracking into the Bay of Fundy Wednesday night  then cross the island Thursday morning as it moves into the Gulf. With this particular track, I am expecting milder air on the east side of the track resulting in a mix or change over to rain for the eastern half of the island which will lower snowfall amounts considerably. This system pulls away to the NE later Thursday allowing high pressure to build in for Friday. Av warm front crosses the region on Saturday with some cloud and flurries/showers. High pressure returns for Sunday with warm sunshine then a low pressure system passes well north of the Maritimes early next week bringing another shot of mild air to the Maritimes. Cold front sweeps through on Tuesday with rain changing to flurries as colder air rushes back.

Precipitation..Any left over snow should end by noon. Snow redevelops near noon on Wednesday changing to rain near midnight then back to snow near dawn on Thursday morning. Early Snowfall amounts of 10-15 cms followed by 5-10 mms rain. Western PEI which will be on the cold side will see more snow/less rain. Yesterday, I talked about 2 possible systems. The Canadian forecast model continues to show this but now tracks that 2nd system further offshore well east of NS with no impact. The American model never had 2 separate systems but rather just combined the 2 into one. Dry in Friday. Flurries or rain showers on Saturday. Dry for Sunday and Monday.

Temperatures..Bit of a roller coaster over the next week or so but don’t see any real cold air in fact fairly mild air for Thursday then again for Saturday through Tuesday..

Wind..Light northerly today, calm tonight, very light SE tomorrow morning but increasing through the day. Brisk westerlies for Thursday and Friday.

Hazards.. Snow covered roads this morning. Snow for the Wednesday afternoon into the evening giving 10-15 cms making the drive home fun.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time..

Forecast..

Today.. few flurries ending then sun and cloud, light NW winds becoming westerly, highs -3

Tonight.. Clear becoming cloudy towards dawn, calm, lows -12

Tomorrow. Cloudy, snow beginning near noon changing to rain for Queens/kings near midnight, increasing SE winds, highs -2 but rising to +3 overnight hence the rain..

Thursday..Any rain back to snow near dawn then flurries, brisk west winds, Temps near 3 at dawn but falling through the day.

Friday.. Sunny, west winds, highs -6

Saturday.. Cloudy with flurries or showers, +2

Sunday.. Cloudy, 0

Monday..Cloudy, +5

Tuesday.. Rain changing to snow, temps near 4 then falling..

 

 

Light snow expected tonight across PEI..

Monday, January 15th 8:30am.. PEI is caught between High pressure centered just west of NB and a frontal boundary draped NE-SW off the east coast of NS. The N-NE wind between these systems is maintain cloud and flurrie activity across the island as it blows in off the open waters of the Gulf. The area of high pressure will drift off to the NE today and an area of low pressure will form along the frontal boundary off Cape Hatteras. This low will ripple NE along the front and pass near Sable Island near dawn tomorrow. This system will bring snow to NS where heavy snowfall warnings have been posted for eastern NS and Cape Breton. This area of snow will just scrape the island giving 2-7 cms snow with the heavier amounts in eastern Kings county which will be close to the storm track. The system pulls away tomorrow allowing high pressure to crest over the island late tomorrow night into early Wednesday morning. Things then start to get interesting again. The models are having the energy developing off the east coast mid week with a couple of low pressure systems developing and tracking NE into the Maritimes. The challenge is the track and intensity. The first system tracks into NS Wednesday with snow developing across the island near noon. The second potentially more powerful system tracks east of NS on Friday with another round of snow for the island. The weekend is looking good right now with high pressure in control.

Precipitation.. Flurries fell yesterday and overnight across the island in the N-NE flow but amounts were quite light. Snow begins late tonight ending tomorrow afternoon. Eastern Kings county will get the most with 5-7 cms. Lesser amounts further west with Charlottetown 2-3 cms and a dusting up west. With low confidence, The next 2 systems could bring 10-15 cms each falling on Wednesday then again Thursday night into Friday morning. As mentioned earlier, the various models are having difficulty handling these 2 systems so expect changes as more data comes in and the models begin to come more in line. Stay tuned.

Temperatures.. Are fairly close to normal until the end of the week with no real cold air around.

Wind.. Light-brisk N-NE winds today and tomorrow. Calm tomorrow night into Wednesday morning then light southerlies develop on Wednesday.

Hazards.. Light snow tonight across eastern half of the island tonight into tomorrow morning. Some blowing and drifting snow expected as well across eastern PEI where more snow accumulations expected. Snow on Wednesday and again on Thursday night into Friday.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time.

Forecast..

Today.. Flurries this morning then sun and cloud, light NE winds, highs -6

Tonight.. Snow developing giving, light-brisk NE winds giving some local blowing and drifting snow, lows temps steady near -6.

Tomorrow. Any snow ending early then cloudy, brisk N-NE winds, highs -4

Wednesday.. Snow developing near noon, brisk NE winds, highs -3 by evening.

Thursday.. Cloudy with flurries, Snow redeveloping late, light north winds, highs -2

Friday.. Snow tapering to flurries, brisk north winds, highs -6

Saturday.. Sun and cloud, south winds, +3

Sunday.. Sun and cloud, west winds, +2