Mild today and Tomorrow…Turning cold on Monday.

Saturday April 15th 10:20am.. An area of high pressure has slipped to the SE of the Maritimes now and will continue to move away to the SE, meanwhile a warm front oriented NW-SE is located across Maine and will move NE today resulting in increasing clouds. There could also be a stray shower from this. Tomorrow a low pressure system form the Great Lakes will ripple NE along the warm front and is expected to track through central NB in the evening then across PEI during the overnight hours. This system will give more in the way of some organized rain to the island. The associated cold front will sweep across the island near dawn on Monday ushering in some cold air. Temps will respond by falling through the day on Monday with even some flurries or periods of snow in the NW winds off the cold Gulf waters. Tuesday remains cold but sunny as an area of high pressure crests over the island. Wednesday will see increasing clouds as another low pressure system from the Great Lakes approaches with rain developing before dawn on Thursday. The rain may initially begin as snow but should change over to rain before noon on Thursday. The system weakens and moves eastward along the Atlantic coast of NS this keeping the island on the cold side. High pressure briefly builds in for Friday giving some cold sunshine followed by yet another low pressure system from the Great Lakes for next weekend.

Precipitation.. Chance of a shower tonight. Organized rain begins near midnight tomorrow night ending near dawn on Monday. Flurries or light snow expected Monday afternoon once the cold NW winds kick in. Tuesday and Wednesday should be dry. Snow begins after midnight Wednesday night changing to rain before noon on Thursday then ending later Thursday afternoon. Friday should be dry then showers begin Saturday.

Temperatures..Normal today, above normal tomorrow. Cold on Monday and Tuesday. Normal on Wednesday then slightly below normal for Thursday and Friday.

Wind..Light-brisk WNW now shifting to southerly tonight which will continue through tomorrow. Winds then shift to the NW with the passage of the low and cold front before dawn on Monday morning. Northerlies then continue for the remainder of Monday into Tuesday dropping off to calm Tuesday night. Southerlies develop on Wednesday.

Hazards.. Short term None identified… Long term, could be some ice roads Monday night into Tuesday morning.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time.

Forecast..

Today.. Increasing clouds, light-brisk NW winds, highs 9

Tonight.. Cloudy with chance of a shower, light south winds, lows 4

Tomorrow.. Cloudy with rain developing towards midnight, light-brisk south winds, highs 14

Monday.. Cloudy with rain ending early, snow developing near noon, light-brisk north winds, temps steady near +1 then falling below zero overnight.

Tuesday.. Cloudy periods, light north winds, highs +1

Wednesday.. Sunny start, increasing clouds with snow towards midnight, highs 8

Thursday.. Snow changes to rain then ends, highs +3

Friday.. Sunny, +6

Saturday.. Showers, +5

Sunshine expected today across PEI.

Friday April 14th 9:00am.. An area of high pressure will approach from the west today then passing south of NS on Saturday giving mainly dry conditions to the island although a weak upper air disturbance will cross northern NB tonight into tomorrow morning which could give some cloud and chance of a shower. Clouds will be on the increase on Saturday as a warm front begins to approach from the west with rain developing by early evening. The associated low pressure system then passes across the island Sunday night into Monday morning. A cold front will then drop south of the island near dawn on Monday ushering in much cooler temperatures. High pressure then approaches from the west cresting over the island Tuesday night. Clouds will once again be on the increase Wednesday morning as a low pressure system from the lower Great Lakes approaches. Rain from this system should spread across the island before noon on Thursday. The low is expected to track south of PEI along the Atlantic coast of NS keeping the island on the cold side thus a cold rain expected.

Precipitation.. Could be a shower tonight otherwise dry conditions. Showers begin tomorrow evening which should continue through Monday morning. The showers may change over to flurries Monday afternoon as the colder air pushes in ending Tuesday noonish. Dry for Wednesday then rain begins before noon on Thursday.

Temperatures.. At or above normal today through Monday morning. The cold air arrives Monday noonish with temps falling below normal through the day. The cold continues into Tuesday. Back to normal on Wednesday then cool again on Thursday and Friday.

Wind..Light NW winds today and tomorrow becoming southerly on Sunday then shifting to NNE on Monday and Tuesday.

Hazards.. None

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time.

Forecast..

Today.. Sunny, light NW winds, highs 8

Tonight.. Cloudy periods and chance of a shower, light NW winds, lows 0

Tomorrow.. Sunny start, increasing clouds with showers towards evening, light NW winds, highs 9

Sunday.. Showers, south winds, highs 12

Monday.. Showers changing to flurries in the late afternoon, south winds early shifting to NE near dawn, highs will occur before dawn near 9 then fall through out the day +2 by noon, 0 near suppertime.

Tuesday.. Morning flurries then clearing, NE winds, highs 0

Wednesday. Sunny, south winds, highs 8

Thursday.. Rain, 5

Friday.. Cold rain and or wet snow, 2

Some sunshine expected across PEI later today..

Thursday April 13th, 6:30am..  A broad area of low pressure centered north of PEI this morning will continue to move off to the NE today. This will set up a cool NW flow of wind off the water. Combine this with strong heating from the sun and we have the recipe for low level instability which should result in cloud and chance of a shower. A large area of high pressure approaches from the west over the next couple days drifting south of the Maritimes Saturday afternoon. Clouds will begin thickening by dawn Sunday morning as a warm front approaches with some rain by noon Sunday. The associated low pressure system will track eastward from Quebec right across NB and into PEI Sunday night into Monday morning. As the low continues to move eastward across Cape Breton, a cold front extending back to the west will drop south sweeping across PEI Monday night. This frontal passage will be the leading edge of some cold air which will cold result in some flurries on Tuesday.  High pressure then dominates the region through Thursday night with fair weather.

Precipitation… Could be a lingering shower around early this morning but the trend will be for drying. A few showers begin to develop again tonight and could be off and on during tomorrow. Dry for Saturday. Rain develops before noon on Sunday taper to showers before noon on Monday. Flurries Monday night into Tuesday morning. Dry for Wednesday and Thursday.

Temperatures.. Normal today, slightly below normal tomorrow and Saturday. Back to normal for Sunday and Monday. Cold for Tuesday.

Wind… Light westerlies today shifting to northerlies tonight which continue through the day tomorrow. Winds shift back to the west on Saturday increasing to brisk southerlies on Sunday.

Hazards.. None expected.

Watches/warnings... None for PEI at this time.

Forecast..

Today.. Cloudy with sunny breaks, light west winds, highs 9

Tonight.. Cloudy with a few showers, light north winds, lows 2

Tomorrow.. Cloudy with a few showers, light north winds, highs 7

Saturday..Mix of sun and cloud, light NW winds, highs 6

Sunday.. Rain developing by noon, brisk south winds, highs 10

Monday..showers, NW winds, highs 10

Tuesday.. Morning flurries, 1

Wednesday.. Sunny, 6

Thursday.. Sunny, 8

Showers possible today and tonight across PEI..

Wednesday April 12th 7:00am.. A broad area of low pressure located in Maine this morning will intensify and track NE today tracking across western PEI late tonight then in to Newfoundland tomorrow. Cloud and showers will accompany this system as well as a slight risk of thundershowers. Cloudy skies and a slight risk of a shower continues tomorrow as a upper air disturbance swings through. High pressure approaches on Friday then drifts SE of the Maritimes on Saturday. Sunshine should accompany this feature. Clouds will begin to invade the region late Saturday evening as a warm front approaches from the west with a few showers possible by Sunday afternoon. This system moves off to the NE later on Monday allowing high pressure to approach the Maritimes on Tuesday. The high will crest over the island Wednesday evening.

Precipitation.. Showers are currently falling across Prince county and are expected to cross the remainder of the island later this morning. Chance of showers tonight and into tomorrow. There is a risk of some freezing rain this morning and again tonight across northern Prince county. Dry for Friday and Saturday with rain spreading across the island Sunday evening tapering to showers by Monday morning. Showers/flurries possible again on Tuesday in the cool unstable air.

Temperatures.. At or slightly above normal today through Monday. A cool down expected on Tuesday lasting through the remainder of next week.

Wind..Easterly today, becoming southerly tonight then westerly tomorrow. light NW winds for Friday and Saturday shifting to brisk southerly on Sunday.

Hazards.. the only hazard I see is a slight risk of freezing rain for northern Prince county early this morning and again tonight.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time.

Forecast..

Today.. Cloudy with chance of showers, light east winds, highs 10

Tonight.. Cloudy with chance of showers, light south winds, lows 6

Tomorrow.. Cloudy with chance of showers, light west winds, highs 10

Friday.. Sunny, light NW winds, highs 6

Saturday.. Sunny, light NW winds, highs 9

Sunday.. Increasing clouds with showers by mid evening, brisk south winds, highs 10

Monday.. Showers, 12

Tuesday.. Cloudy with chance of flurries, NW winds, highs 1

Wednesday.. Cloudy, 3

Unsettled weather continues across PEI..

Tuesday April 11th, 6:00pm. A gorgeous day across PEI today as high pressure slipped away to the SE. Early afternoon temps peaked at 17.5 here in the New Haven area just after 2:00pm. A frontal trough oriented NE-SW across the northern half of the Maritimes then drifted south and slowly moved across the island during the afternoon. This resulted in a wind shift to the north followed by falling temperatures. A low pressure system is expected to later tonight south of New England then ripple NE along this stalled frontal boundary right into NB early tomorrow then across western PEI late tomorrow night.  Areas to the north of the low track could see a freezing rain event and as a result a freezing rain warning is in effect for northeastern NB. The best chance to see any of that activity on PEI would be northern Prince county (O’leary and north). This system pulls away to the NE on Thursday allowing for cold moist northerly flow which will continue into Friday. A large area of high pressure will approach later Friday then slide south of the Maritimes Saturday night with sunny but cool weather. Clouds thicken up on Sunday ahead pf a warm front with maybe some rain later n the day. The associated cold front then sweeps through Monday afternoon with more in the way of rain. The long ranger into next week shows Arctic high pressure dominating in the Tuesday-Thursday time frame giving sunshine but cold/cool weather.

Precipitation.. Chance of a shower tonight, better chance tomorrow and tomorrow night. Now there is slight risk of some freezing rain over northern Prince county tomorrow night if temps fall below zero. Friday through Sunday looks fairly dry with lots of sunshine on Saturday. Showers on Monday. There could be some flurries on Wednesday.

Temperatures..  Have now cooled off and we can say good-bye to the recent bout of warm weather. At or slight below normal now til Sunday. Monday maybe be a one-day warm-up then things turn cold for Tuesday and continue cold through for at least the remainder of next week. So an extended cold spell in the works beginning next week.

Wind.. Light northerlies tonight shifting to easterlies tomorrow then NW on Thursday through Saturday. Southerlies develop on Sunday.

Hazards. None except a slight risk of freezing rain over northern Prince county tomorrow night.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time..

Forecast..

Tonight.. Cloudy with chance of a shower, light north winds, lows 3

Tomorrow.. Cloudy with showers. More extensive up west where it could change to freezing rain tomorrow night, light east winds,  highs 8

Thursday.. Cloudy with chance of showers, light NW winds, highs 8

Friday.. Mix of sun and cloud, light NW winds, highs 6

Saturday.. Sunny, light NW winds, highs 8

Sunday.. Cloudy, light-brisk south winds, highs 10

Monday.. Showers, brisk south winds, highs 13

Tuesday.. The beginning of the cold snap…. cloudy, NW winds, highs 2

 

Stays mild today and tomorrow across PEI..

Monday April 10th 8:00am.. A ridge of high pressure is currently passing south of NS  and will continue away from the region today, meanwhile cloud has already invaded western areas ahead of a low pressure system and frontal trough currently located in the Great Lakes. The warm front extends NE from this low towards the Maritimes and will give a few showers later today as it approaches. The low ripples NE along this front and is expected to pass north of the island during the overnight hours tonight. The cold front will remain draped in a SW direction towards the Great Lakes where another low pressure system is brewing. This system will also track NE along the frontal boundary which is still oriented NE-SW but now a little further south. This 2nd system tracks a little further south and is expected to move right through the Maritimes Wednesday and Thursday. The low moves away to the NE Thursday night allowing high pressure to build in for Friday and Saturday giving sunshine but cool weather. Clouds and rain approach on Sunday as the next system approaches from the west.

Precipitation. Can’t rule out a shower later today as the warm front approaches. Rain expected on Wednesday and Thursday as the low tracks through. Dry for Friday and Saturday. Rain on Sunday.

Temperatures.. A bit of a change from previous posts as the cold front is expected to drop through earlier than expected. Above normal today and tomorrow. Cooler conditions expected now on Wednesday but still near normal. Thursday and Friday should be cool and below normal. Back to slightly above normal for the weekend.

Wind.. Light-brisk southerlies today into tomorrow morning then a shift to the north as the cold front drops through. Winds then turn easterly as the 2nd low pressure area ripples towards the region. Winds shift to northerly again once the low tracks through later Thursday. Cool NW winds continue on Friday becoming westerly on Saturday and southerly on Sunday.

Thunderstorms.. Slight risk of storms Tuesday night/early Wednesday.

Hazards.. Not identified.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time.

Forecast..

Today.. Cloudy with chance of a showers, light-brisk south winds, highs 12

Tonight.. Cloudy periods, light south winds, lows 6

Tomorrow.. light-brisk SW winds shifting to NW in the afternoon, highs 15 which occurs before noon then falls with the wind shift,

Wednesday. Cloudy with rain developing, light east winds, highs 12

Thursday.. Showers, west winds, highs 5

Friday..  Sun and cloud, NW winds, highs 4

Saturday.. Sunny, NW winds, highs 8

Sunday.. Rain developing, 7

 

 

Mild but unsettled weather expected to continue across PEI..

Sunday April 9th, 8:40am…  A weak area of low pressure is currently moving east over the northern Gulf vicinity Anticosti Island and will give cloud and few showers to the island today, meanwhile a ridge of high pressure is trying to build into the western Maritimes and will give clearing skies later tonight. A frontal boundary with then set up in an east-west orientation over the northern Gulf later tomorrow. A number of Low pressure systems from the Great Lakes will then ripple eastward along this frontal boundary keeping things unsettled across the island. The first one is actually tracking through now, the 2nd one tomorrow night into Tuesday morning and the 3rd one ripples through on Wednesday. This 3rd one on Wednesday will actually drag a cold front through with it’s passage Wednesday afternoon. This frontal passage will usher on some cooler air for Thursday and Friday but another warm-up develops on the weekend. Yesterday the models were hinting at a possible low passing just south of NS on Friday with the possibility of snow. The models are handling this system quiet differently as it tracks over New England. Some take it further south with now impact while others take it across Maine. Will have to keep an eye on this to see the models handle this system is future model runs. High pressure now approaches on Saturday passing south of the Maritimes on Sunday.  Rain pushes across the region on Sunday.

Precipitation.. Few showers today, chance of showers again Monday night with the 2nd low, The 3rd low on Wednesday actually tracks a little further so more in the way of rain with that. Thursday looks dry then need to wait and see how the models handle the Friday system. Saturday mild and dry. Rain on Sunday.

Temperatures.. Slightly below normal today due cloud cover, Well above normal tomorrow Tuesday and Wednesday. Cool down begins Wednesday night and continues for Thursday and Friday. Warm-up for the weekend.

Wind.. Light westerly today, Light-brisk southerlies tomorrow, light northerlies on Tuesday which then continue into Wednesday through Friday,.

Hazards.. Fairly quiet over the next few days..

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time.

Forecast..

Today.. Cloudy with chance of showers, light west winds, highs 5

Tonight.. Partial clearing, calm winds, lows 0

Tomorrow.. Sunny start becoming cloudy, light south winds, highs 13

Tuesday.. Cloud showers, south winds shifting to northerly, highs 14

Wednesday.. Rain, light northerly, highs 12

Thursday.. Sunny, north winds, +3

Friday.. Cloudy, +4

Saturday.. Sunny, 8

Sunday.. Rain, 10