Heavy rain expected today across PEI..

Saturday, August 18th 8:45am.. An intensifying low pressure system currently located in southern Maine will continue to move ENE tracking  along the spine of NS late this afternoon/ear;y this evening then east of Cape Breton near midnight tonight. This system will bring heavy rain and brisk NE winds. High pressure will then build in form the NW tomorrow and dominates the region through Tuesday with sunny dry seasonal conditions. Clouds will begin to roll in on Wednesday ahead of cold front approaching from the west with some showers by evening. High pressure then returns later Thursday and once again dominates through the weekend.

Precipitation.. Rain has spread across the island this morning and will continue all day ending from west to east beginning mid evening up west, mid-late evening across central and just after midnight down east. The various The heaviest rains will be in a swath stretching from central NW, across northern NS towards Cape Breton. This area will include eastern half of PEI with 40- 60 mms possible. Could be locally higher amounts across the southeast corner of PEI near Murray River/Harbor. Northern PEI (Tignish region) will be furthest from the track of the low, so lower amounts expected there. Dry for tomorrow through Tuesday. Chance of showers Wednesday evening through Thursday morning then dry again later Thursday through the weekend.

Temperatures.. Cool today due cloud cover, rain and brisk NE winds then normal to slightly above normal for the remainder of the period.

Wind.. Increasing NE winds today peaking near midnight tonight with gusts to 60-70 then diminishing tomorrow. Very light and variable winds Monday and Tuesday under strong high pressure. Increasing southerlies on Wednesday further increasing to brisk SW on Thursday followed by a shift to the NW with the cold frontal passage.

Thunderstorms.. Chance of storms today and this evening.

Hazards.. Wet driving conditions in rain today. Localized street/city/ditch/field flooding today especially down east due heavy rain.

Watches/warnings.. Rainfall warnings remain in effect for all of PEI today.

Gold Cup and Saucer race… Not looking too good. The rain will be winding down towards midnight but still could be left over showers. Water saturated track after 40-60mms. Drainage would help the track and infield as there will most likely be water ponding. Temperatures will be near 18 with a brisk NE wind.

Forecast..

  • Today.. Rain at time heavy, chance of thunder, increasing NE winds, highs 18
  • Tonight.. Rain at times heavy ending this evening, brisk NE winds, temps steady near 18
  • Tomorrow.. Cloudy morning… Clearing, diminishing NE winds, highs 21
  • Monday.. Sunny, very light NE winds, highs 23
  • Tuesday.. Sunny, light SE winds, highs 22
  • Wednesday.. Becoming cloudy with showers late, light SE winds, highs 24
  • Thursday.. Showers early then clearing, brisk SW winds shifting to NW, highs 26
  • Friday.. Sunny, light west winds, highs 24
  • Saturday.. Sunny, light south winds, highs 22
  • Sunday.. Sunny, light south wind,s highs 26

 

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Heavy rain expected tomorrow across PEI..

Friday, August 17th 6:30am.. A large area of high pressure is current;y located up and down the eastern seaboard stretching from Newfoundland to Florida. This feature will give some sunshine and light winds to the island today but clouds will begin to rill in later in the day as an area of low pressure currently located over Lake Huron intensifies and moves east. This system is expected to bring rain at times heavy to all the Maritimes on Saturday as it tracks across central Maine and then southern NS. The low pressure system should move east of Cape Breton late Saturday allowing another area of high pressure to build in from the west for Sunday. Things then become complicated… The Canadian forecast model is developing a small ocean low pressure system off the eastern seaboard Saturday night then moving this system out onto the Atlantic. this system then tracks northward into NS Tuesday morning then across Cape Breton into the Gulf Tuesday evening with cloud and rain associated. The American model is much weaker ind keeps this system well to the south of NS without any impact. So confidence is low on Tuesday. Another stronger low pressure system is expected to come out of the Great Lakes on Wednesday spreading more rain across the region Wednesday night. This system pushes east on Thursday with clearing skies. Cool high pressure then dominates Friday through the weekend but afternoon pop up clouds and showers possible.

Precipitation.. Rain should begin about mid morning tomorrow becoming heavy at times ending towards early evening giving rainfall amounts in the 20-40+ mm range. The lower amounts should be up west which will be further from the storm track across southern NS, while the higher amounts across eastern Queens into Kings counties. Sunday and Monday looking dry then showers possible on Tuesday with that ocean system followed by a better chance of showers Wednesday into Thursday morning. Friday Saturday Sunday looking dry but could be a few localized afternoon pop-up showers.

Temperatures.. Near normal conditions expected this period except for Saturday when clouds and brisk northerly winds will keep things on the cool side especially along the north shore.

Wind.. Light northerly winds today becoming calm late this afternoon then southerly tonight. Winds then shift to the E-NE tomorrow afternoon increasing to brisk Saturday night into Sunday. Very light SE winds on Monday and Tuesday.

Thunderstorms.. Can’t rule out some thunder on Saturday.

Hazards.. Rain at times heavy will give hazardous driving conditions on Saturday. Localized street/town/ditch flooding possible on Saturday.

Watches/warnings.. Special weather statement in effect for PEI regarding potential rain event for Saturday.

Gold Cup and Saucer Race Saturday night.. The  rain should be winding down by early evening but track should still be quite wet. Water may still be laying on track and infield. Light-brisk NE winds with evening temperatures near 16.

Oak Island trip.. Rain should begin in southern NS tomorrow morning ending near midnight. The area of heaviest rains should stay north between Halifax and PEI/Cape Breton. Sunday looks cloudy with chance of showers. Light-brisk southerly winds on Saturday shifting to NE winds for Sunday. Afternoon temps near 23 both days..

Forecast for PEI..

  • Today.. Sun and cloud, light north winds diminishing to calm, highs 22
  • Tonight.. Increasing clouds after midnight, light south winds, lows 16
  • Tomorrow.. Rain at times heavy beginning near mid morning giving 20-40+mms, light-brisk NE winds, highs (steady) 16
  • Tomorrow night.. Rain tapers to few showers by early evening, brisk NE winds, lows (steady) 16
  • Sunday.. Morning cloud and chance of showers, clearing, diminishing NE winds, highs 22
  • Monday.. Sunny, light SE winds, highs 23
  • Tuesday.. Cloudy with chance of showers late, Light SE winds, highs 23
  • Wednesday.. Cloudy with rain developing later in the day, light-brisk south winds, highs 26
  • Thursday.. Showers ending then clearing, winds shifting to northerly, highs 23
  • Friday.. Sun and cloud, light NE winds, highs 23
  • Saturday.. Sun and cloud, light west winds, highs 25

 

Clouds and few showers expected today across PEI..

Thursday, August 16th 6:50am.. A cold front oriented NE-SW is currently crossing the island and is now located just east of Charlottetown. Cloud showers and possible thundershowers are associated with the frontal passage. Cooler air will now flood in behind the front on NW winds which will result in clouds and few showers lingering into tomorrow morning. High pressure will build in from the west cresting over the island Friday morning. Clouds will then begin to increase later Friday as low pressure approaches from the west with rain developing before dawn on Saturday. The low is expected to track across central Maine then south of NS Saturday evening. High pressure then dominates the region from Sunday through Wednesday with sunshine but need to watch a potential small area of low pressure passing offshore east of NS on Tuesday.

Precipitation.. Few showers possible this morning especially down east where the from still has yet to go through. Cloud and showers possible in the cool unstable air behind the front today and tonight with a slight chance of a thundershower. Dry for tomorrow then rain at times heavy begins before dawn on Saturday ending near midnight. Rainfall amounts with this system could be significant with 20-30mms possible. Could be a lingering shower Sunday morning with dry conditions then expected Sunday through Wednesday. Watching an ocean low passing south of NS on Tuesday.

Temperatures.. Near normal conditions expected this period except for Tuesday when temperatures will remain quite cool on north winds.

Wind.. Light-brisk north winds today into early tomorrow dropping off to calm tomorrow afternoon. Winds then become light southerly tomorrow evening shifting back to the NE Saturday afternoon.  Light-brisk NE winds continue on Sunday diminishing to light northerlies on Monday. Calm Monday night becoming light southerlies on Tuesday.

Thunderstorms.. Slight chance today, tonight into early tomorrow.

Hazards.. Wet driving conditions in any rainfall. Heavier rainfall on Saturday. Slight chance of lightning today and tonight.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time.

Forecast..

  • Today.. Cloudy with chance of showers, light-brisk north winds, highs 20
  • Tonight.. Generally cloudy with slight chance of showers, light-brisk north winds, lows 16
  • Tomorrow.. Morning cloud with slight chance of a shower followed by afternoon sunshine, light north winds dropping off to calm late afternoon, highs 21
  • Saturday.. Rain at times heavy, brisk NE winds, highs 17
  • Sunday.. Morning clouds then clearing, diminishing NE winds, highs 20
  • Monday.. Sunny, light NE winds, highs 23
  • Tuesday.. Sunny with some high cloudiness, light south winds, highs 23
  • Wednesday.. Cloudy, late day showers, light SE winds, highs 24

Cloud and showers expected today/tonight across PEI..

Wednesday, August 15th 6:45am..  A few interesting things in the surface analysis this morning. First a band of slow moving thunderstorms is tracking across northern NB this morning ans has prompted severe thunderstorms watches and warnings for that part of the region. Secondly, a  weak area of low pressure that was stalled in the Cape Cod area past few days has begun to drift north and is now located in central Maine. This feature will move across the Maritimes today giving cloud showers and risk of thundershowers. Finally, a cold front oriented NE-SW currently extends from Labrador though to the central Great Lakes. This front is moving eastward and will sweep across the island near noon tomorrow. Cloud and showers/thundershowers will accompany this feature as well. Cooler air will then invade the region behind this cold front but unstable conditions will result in cloud and showers continue into the evening and overnight hours. Friday is shaping up to be a nice day under high pressure with sunshine and light winds. Saturday is looking cloudy and quite wet as an area of low pressure moves eastward put of the Great Lakes. The exact track of this system is not clear yet but appears there is a potential for a significant rain event. High pressure returns for Sunday and Monday with sunshine. Long range models are trying to develop an ocean low south of NS on Tuesday but remain sketchy at this point.

Precipitation.. Chance of showers now through noon tomorrow. with the passage of that weak low and cold front. Showers may linger into Thursday evening. Dry for Friday then chance of a significant rain event in Saturday. Dry for Sunday and Monday. Watching for possible rain on Tuesday.

Temperatures.. Warm and muggy today. Bit cooler tomorrow but still muggy. Friday is looking fantastic with seasonal temps sunshine and low humidities. Saturday will feel quite cool with rainfall and brisk north winds. At or slightly below normal conditions continue on Sunday/Monday.

Wind.. Light-brisk SW winds shifting to northerly near noon tomorrow which then continue into Friday. Winds drop off to calm Friday evening the become light southerly Friday night. Winds then shift to NE on Saturday and Sunday.

Thunderstorms.. Chance of storms today through tomorrow.

Hazards.. Wet driving conditions in any rain. Some of these showers could be locally heavy and the slow forward speed of these showers could lead to local heavy amounts. Risk of lightning in any of these slow moving storms today and tomorrow. Elevated heat and humidities today.

Watches/warnings.. Heat warnings remain in place across all of PEI for today.

Forecast..

  • Today… Cloudy with chance of showers/thundershowers, light-brisk SW winds, highs 27
  • Tonight.. Cloudy with chance of showers/thundershowers, light SW winds, lows 19
  • Tomorrow.. Cloudy with shower/thundershowers ending near noon. Chance of afternoon showers developing, light-brisk SW winds early shifting to northerly near noon, highs 24
  • Friday.. Sunny, light north winds, highs 21
  • Saturday.. Rain at times heavy, light-brisk NE winds, highs 18
  • Sunday.. Sun and cloud, light NE winds, highs 22
  • Monday.. Sun and cloud, light SE winds, highs 23
  • Tuesday.. ?? chance of showers,  22
  • Wednesday.. Cloudy with showers, 23

Sunny and warm conditions expected again today across PEI..

Tuesday, August 14th 6:45am.. High pressure over the Maritimes will give another sunny hot day to the Island today. An area of low pressure has been stalled near Cape Cod past few days and will begin to lift north passing across the region later tomorrow. Some cloud showers/thundershowers will accompany this feature. A cold front will then approach the Maritimes from the NW on Wednesday crossing the island Thursday morning.  Cooler and much less humid air will then flood into the area behind this front. With this cooler air in place, can’t rule out a sun shower during the afternoon. Sunshine expected on Friday with high pressure in place then cloud and rain return on Saturday with low pressure crossing the Maritimes. High pressure dominates the region for the Sunday-Tuesday time frame with sunshine and light winds.

Precipitation.. Showers begin this evening then taper off for tomorrow then begin again Wednesday evening ending Thursday morning. Dry for later Thursday through Friday. Rain, at times heavy begins near noon on Saturday ending Saturday evening. Dry Sunday through Tuesday.

Temperatures.. Warm and muggy today and tomorrow. Seasonal for Thursday and Friday. Below normal on Saturday. At or above normal begins on Sunday.

Wind.. Light-brisk SW winds expected today through early Thursday morning shifting to NW with the cold frontal passage Thursday morning. Light NW-N winds expected for the remainder of Thursday into Friday. Brisk NE winds associated with the low pressure system on Saturday and Sunday.

Thunderstorms.. Chance of storms beginning tonight ending Wednesday afternoon then again Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

Hazards.. Wet driving condition sin any rain tonight through Thursday morning. Chance of lightning. Elevated heat and humidity today and tomorrow.

Watches/warnings.. Heat warnings in effect for all of PEI..

Forecast..

  • Today.. Increasing clouds, light SW winds, highs 27
  • Tonight.. Cloudy with chance of showers/thundershowers, light SW winds, lows 21
  • Tomorrow.. Cloudy with sunny breaks, chance of a shower/thundershower, light SW winds, highs 26
  • Thursday.. Cloudy with showers early clearing in the afternoon, light SW winds shifting to NW, highs 21
  • Friday.. Sunny, light NW winds, highs 22
  • Saturday..Rain, brisk NE winds, highs 17
  • Sunday.. Sun and cloud, brisk NE winds, highs 22
  • Monday.. Sunny, light NE winds, highs 22
  • Tuesday.. Sunny, light SW winds, highs 25

Sunny and warm conditions expected today across PEI..

Monday, August 13th 6:10am.. An area of high pressure located east of NS will continues to warm sunshine to the region today, A low pressure system that has been stalled off the mid Atlantic states will begin to lift NE tomorrow introducing some cloud and chance of showers by evening. The cloudy unsettled conditions then continue through the weekend as a series of disturbances then track NE across the Maritimes. In Fact the unsettled weather looks to continue in to next week.

Precipitation.. Showers should begin later tomorrow and persist right through the weekend..The week won’t be a complete right-off but rather just some cloud and chance of showers.

Temperatures..Slightly above normal today through Wednesday then a cool down to normal pr slight below normal on Thursday.

Wind.. Light-brisk SW winds today through Wednesday shifting to NW on Thursday.

Thunderstorms.. Increasing chances on Tuesday Wednesday and Thursday.

Hazards.. Wet driving conditions in any showers beginning later tomorrow.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time..

Forecast..

  • Today.. Sunny, light SW winds, highs 28
  • Tonight.. increasing high clouds, light SW winds, lows 19
  • Tomorrow.. Cloudy with chance of showers late, light SW winds,  highs 27
  • Wednesday.. Sun and cloud,  chance of showers, light SW winds, highs 28
  • Thursday.. Cloudy with chance of showers, light-brisk NW winds, highs 21
  • Friday.. Sun and cloud, light winds, highs 22
  • Saturday.. Rain, 21
  • Sunday.. Showers, 20

 

 

 

Dry conditions expected today and tomorrow across PEI.

Sunday, August 12th 8:45am.. An area of high pressure is currently crossing the Maritimes and is expected to remain in place just though Monday and early Tuesday. A low pressure system off Cape Cod is responsible for the cloud right now but any associated precipitation is expected to remain south of NS. The pattern then becomes quite wet as the storm track then shifts over eastern Canada allowing for a series of disturbances to track across the Maritimes late Tuesday through next weekend giving cloud and showers.

Precipitation.. Chance of showers begins later Tuesday with increasing chances for Wednesday into Thursday. Between systems on Friday then a significant rain event possible on Saturday.  The extra long range continues to show a wet pattern into the following week.

Temperatures.. Slightly above normal today through Wednesday then cooler below normal temps spread across the region on Thursday.

Wind.. Light SW flow today through Wednesday becoming northerly on Thursday hence the lower temperatures.

Thunderstorms.. Next chance appears to be Tuesday and Wednesday.

Hazards.. Fairly quiet next couple days..

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time..

Forecast..

  • Today.. Filtered sunshine/high cloudiness, light SW wind,s highs 26
  • Tonight.. Clearing after midnight, calm winds, lows 17
  • Tomorrow.. Sunny, light SW winds, highs 27
  • Tuesday.. Cloudy with chance of showers, light SW winds, highs 26
  • Wednesday.. Cloudy with chance of showers, light SW winds, highs 26
  • Thursday.. Cloudy with chance of showers, light NW winds, highs 19
  • Friday.. Sun and cloud, light north winds, highs 20
  • Saturday… Rain, brisk NE winds, highs 17
  • Sunday.. Sunny, north winds, highs 20