Chance of showers today, tonight and tomorrow across PEI..

Tuesday, Sept 19th 8:45am.. An area of high pressure located over Newfoundland this morning will ridge back westward towards the Maritimes today. This feature will play an important role in keeping Hurricane Jose south of the Maritimes. Hurricane Jose is located east of Norfolk Virgina this morning moving northward. Jose is expected to weaken to a tropical storm tomorrow then turn eastward before reaching Cape Cod on Thursday. Another area of high pressure will build down from the north forcing Jose back to the south. This area of high pressure is then expected to remain over the area through Saturday. On Sunday, a weak frontal system drops south from the north which introduce some cloud and showers on Sunday, otherwise high pressure holds into Tuesday of next week with mainly dry weather.

Precipitation.. A moist airmass in place now hence all the cloud. Just a chance of a shower today. Better chance of showers tonight into early tomorrow. Dry for Thursday through Saturday. Chance of showers early Sunday associated with that weak cold front then basically dry for Monday through Wednesday.

Temperatures.. Above normal and muggy today and tomorrow. Normal on Thursday then slightly above normal begins on Friday. No cold air in sight..

Wind.. Light SE today and tomorrow shifting to NE late tomorrow evening which then continue into Thursday. Light easterlies on Friday shifting to Saturday then back to the North on Sunday behind that weak cold front.

Potato Harvest.. Fairly dry for the next week-10 days but watching some moisture peeling off Hurricane Jose which may move across the island tonight. If this happens then the island could see 5-10 mms.

Hazards.. Wet driving conditions in any showers over the next 24 hours.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time.

Forecast..

Today.. Mainly cloudy with chance of a shower, light SE winds, highs muggy 22

Tonight.. Cloudy with chance of showers, light SE winds, lows 19

Tomorrow.. Cloudy with chance of showers, light SE winds, shifting to NE late afternoon, highs 21

Thursday.. Clearing, light-brisk NE winds, highs 18

Friday.. Sunny, light east winds, highs 20

Saturday… Sunny, light south winds, highs 22

Sunday… Sun and Cloud,  chance of showers, light-brisk north winds, highs 18

Monday.. Sun and cloud, light south winds, highs 19

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Cloudy skies and chance of showers expected across PEI next couple days..

Monday, Sept 18th 8:10am.. A stationary front is currently located NW-SE across PEI and is expected to drift northward tonight. Cloud, showers and patchy drizzle are accompanying this feature. Hurricane Jose located off the coast of Cape Hattaras, NC is moving northward and is expected to approach Cape Cod then slow down and actually loop around to the east then back south again mid week. High pressure then builds down from the north which will limit Jose northward progression towards the Maritimes. This area of high pressure is expected to hold firm through the weekend.

Precipitation. Some showers/drizzle expected today. Right now models are backing away from the significant rain band for Wednesday. Most models, except for the American, are keeping the heavy rains off the coast and south of NS while the American model is pushing 25 mms rain across the island. So we will have to wait and see how this model handles the new update later today. High pressure is expected to build in behind Jose on Thursday setting the scene for 4-5 days of dry weather.

Temperatures.. Should be a few degrees above normal and muggy today through Wednesday. Cooler air arrives on the front side of the high pressure system for Thursday and Friday then warmer again for the weekend.

Wind.. Light easterlies now but should become southerly once the front drifts north of the island tonight. Light southerlies tomorrow into early Wednesday then shift light-brisk NE for Wednesday night into Thursday. Light easterlies on Friday.

Jose… Hurricane is currently located east of Cape Hattaras and is moving northward at 15 KM. Jose is expected to weaken as it moves over cooler ocean waters and high shear environment becoming a tropical storm as it passes New Jersey tomorrow afternoon. Jose should then slow down and turn back to the east then SE over the next 1-2 days. High surf along the coast of NS expected over the next few days with the wind and rain expected to remain off shore. (Although the American model does bring a band of heavy rain across the island tomorrow night into Wednesday morning.) For detailed information on the effects of Jose for the Maritimes then I urge you to consult the Canadian Hurricane Center (CHC) website which can be found here. http://weather.gc.ca/hurricane/index_e.html

Hazards.. Wet driving conditions in any showers.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time.

Forecast…

Today.. Cloudy with showers or patchy drizzle, light E-NE winds, highs muggy 21

Tonight.. Cloudy with showers or patchy drizzle, light SE winds, lows 16

Tomorrow.. Cloudy with showers or patchy drizzle, light-brisk SE winds, highs muggy 22

Wednesday.. Cloudy with showers ending pate n the day, light SE winds shifting to NE late in the day, highs muggy 21.

Thursday.. Sunny, light-brisk NE winds, highs 18

Friday..Sunny, Light east winds, highs 18

Saturday.. Sunny, Light SW winds, highs 24

Sunday.. Cloudy, Light south winds, 21

Chance of a shower next couple days across PEI..

Sunday, Sept 17th 10:00am.. A cold front moved across the island late yesterday afternoon which ushered in those cool temperatures on a northerly wind. That front is now stalled in an east-west orientation over northern NS. The front will actually begin to lift north later today putting the island back on the warm side of things for tomorrow. Cloud and a chance of showers possible along this frontal boundary over the next couple days. Tuesday is kinda in between systems so mix of sun and cloud. All eyes then shift to Hurricane Jose which will be approaching the Cape Cod Wednesday afternoon. This storm is expected to then turn eastward staying offshore south of NS but we could get some rain and brisk winds from this system. A large are of high pressure then dominates the region from Thursday through Sunday with sunshine and light winds.

Precipitation.. Not expecting much rain other than some showers for the next couple days. Some tropical moisture form Jose is likely to spread across the island Tuesday night through Wednesday afternoon and it could be significant. Just too early to tell where the heaviest rain bands will set up.Another dry spell from Thursday through Sunday.

Temperatures.. Cool today as PEI is on the wrong side of the front. Warmer air returns tomorrow as the front moves back north again. Few degrees above normal tomorrow through Wednesday. Cooler normal air for Thursday and Friday. Warmer again for next weekend.

Wind.. Light easterly today shifting to southerly tomorrow increasing to light-brisk southerlies on Tuesday. Winds then shift to NE for later Wednesday and into Thursday.

Tropics.. Hurricane Jose is currently located eat of Cape Hatteras, NC and is moving northward towards New England. Jose is expected to weaken to a tropical storm as it passes abeam NYC then turn eastward as it approaches Cape Cod Wednesday night passing south of NS on Thursday. The Maritimes should see some tropical rain but wind impacts will be minimal. Large surf with pounding waves expected along the Atlantic coast of NS as it passes through. Also watching Marie and Lee as they move westward across the tropical Atlantic.

Hazards.. Nil.

Watches/warnings... None for PEI at this time..

Forecast..

Today.. Cloudy with chance of a shower, light east winds, highs 16

Tonight.. Cloudy, light east winds, lows, 14

Tomorrow.. Cloudy with slight chance of a shower, light south winds, highs 23

Tuesday.. Mix of sun and cloud, chance of a shower, light-brisk south winds,  highs 22

Wednesday.. Rain at times heavy ending brisk NE winds, highs 20

Thursday.. Sunny, 16

Friday.. Sunny, 18

Saturday.. Sunny, 22

 

 

 

Showers expected to spread across PEI today..

Saturday, Sept 16th 7:00am.. A frontal boundary basically oriented east-west is currently draped across the northern Gulf this morning.  Cloudy but warm and muggy conditions are expected across the island south of this front. The front is expected to drop south during the day with associated showers spreading across the island as the front approaches. Tomorrow the front will be located south of the island with much cooler temperatures expected on the other side. The front will stall out then begin to move back to the north tomorrow night putting the island back on the warm side once again on MOnday but unfortunately cloud and showers will hang around. Tuesday is not looking too bad as the island will be between systems so there could be a few sunny breaks. The fun begins on Wednesday as Hurricane Jose approaches from the south. Jose is expected to remain offshore passing south of NS o Wednesday night into Thursday morning. High pressure expected to build in behind Jose Thursday night and extend into the weekend with dry weather.

Precipitation.. Showers will be spreading across the this afternoon and continue through tomorrow and Monday. Tuesday looking fairly dry then a rain event is possible beginning Tuesday night ending Thursday morning. The rainfall amounts will  be governed by how close the Jose tracks to us and how large the system will be, so can’t really put a number on it right now but there is the potential for a significant amount.

Temperatures.. Will be up and down for the next 36 hours as the front moves back and forth across the island. Initially warm and muggy today then cool down tomorrow then back to warm and muggy for on Monday. This warmth continues into Tuesday and Wednesday followed by a cool down on Thursday.

Wind.. Again wind will fluctuate between north and south as the front slides back and forth across the island. Initially light southerly shifting to light-brisk northerly this afternoon then easterly tomorrow then back to southerly on Monday. Light -brisk southerlies for Tuesday then increasing Tuesday night as Jose approaches shifting to NE Wednesday night as the storms slides away to the SE.

Thunderstorms.. Can’t rule out some thunder Tuesday night through Wednesday associated with Jose.

Tropics..Hurricane Jose is currently located south of Bermuda and is expected to track NNW just brushing the coast near Rhode Island Tuesday night. Jose should weaken to a tropical system by this time. Jose should then turn ENE passing south of NS near dawn Thursday morning.  Jose should bring some rain and wind to the Maritimes but the exact impacts are uncertain at this time since we don;t know the exact track or how strong the system will be as it tracks by south of NS. 2 more areas of disturbed weather are also located in the tropical Atlantic that are being monitored for development.

Hazards... Wet driving conditions in any showers beginning this afternoon and continues through Monday. Possible rain event Tuesday night through Wednesday night as well as some wind.

Watches/warnings..None for PEI at this time but rainfall warnings may be required for Tuesday night/Wednesday morning.

Forecast..

Today.. Fog lifting to some sunshine this morning then clouding over with showers this afternoon, light south winds shifting to light-brisk Northerlies this afternoon, highs muggy 24 then falling with the winds shift.

Tonight..Cloudy with few showers, light-brisk north winds, lows 13

Tomorrow.. Cloudy with a few showers, light east winds, highs 17

Monday.. Cloudy with a few showers, light south winds. highs muggy 24

Tuesday.. Mix of sun and cloud becoming cloudy with rain late, light -brisk SE  winds, highs muggy 22

Wednesday.. Rain,  Brisk NE winds, highs muggy 23

Thursday.. clearing, brisk NE winds, highs 17

Friday.. Sunny, brisk north winds, highs 18

Saturday.. Sunny, light-brisk north winds, highs 14

More sunshine expected today across PEI..

Friday, Sept 15th 7:10am... A weakening cold front oriented NE-SW is currently located just west of PEI. This front will become stationary then dissipate. The Remnants of Irma are tracking south of NS today with some associated showers grazing southern regions. Another cold front draped E-W will sag south across the island later tomorrow then lift back north again as a warm front on Sunday. This means some cloud and chance of a shower for the weekend. Cloud and showers continues into Monday with that warm front just north of the island. Some sunshine possible on Tuesday with a ridge of high pressure over the Maritimes. This feature plays an important role on the track of Tropical Storm Jose. Lots of uncertainty among the various weather models with respect to this system. At any rate, Jose continues to lurk off the east coast into next week.

Precipitation.. Few showers should begin tomorrow afternoon and continue through Monday. Tuesday looks dry then are cards are on the table for mid week with Jose off the coast.

Temperatures.. Slight;y above normal today. Warm and muggy tomorrow then cooler for Sunday. Above normal again for Monday Tuesday and Wednesday.

Wind. Light NE winds this afternoon becoming SE later today. Very light SW tomorrow also shifting to NE late in the day. Light easterlies on Sunday, southerlies on Monday and Tuesday.

Hazards.. Nil today,

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time

Forecast..

Today.. Sunny, very light NE winds, highs 20

Tonight. Few clouds becoming cloudy with chance of showers n the afternoon, light SW winds, lows 14

Saturday.. Cloudy with chance of showers, light SW winds shifting to NE, highs 25

Sunday. Cloudy with chance of showers, light SW winds shifting to NE, highs 16

Monday.. Cloudy with chance of showers, light east winds, highs 24

Tuesday.. Sunny, light South winds, highs 23

Wednesday..  ??? all depends on Jose !!

Thursday.. ??? depends on Jose !!

Warm and muggy conditions expected today across PEI..

Thursday, Sept 14th, 7:00am.. A weak cold front oriented E-W is currently draped across northern NB/Gaspe regions. This front will drop south crossing then island late this afternoon with some cloud and slight chance of a shower. The remnants of Irma are currently located south of the Great Lakes and will drift eastward passing south of the Maritimes tomorrow. The bulk of the cloud and any associated shower activity should remain confined to southern NS with high pressure in place across PEI. Another cold front oriented E-W will sag south across the Maritimes Saturday night with some cloud and slight chance of a shower. The chance of showers continues into Sunday with the frontal trough draped E-W across the region. Monday and Tuesday remain unsettled with the frontal trough in the area. Hurricane Jose just wont go away and still threatens the Maritimes on Wednesday as it continues to lurk off the coast.

Precipitation.. A very slight chance of a shower tonight. Chance of a shower night and Sunday. Chance of showers Tuesday and Wednesday.

Wind.. Light SW winds today shift to NE tonight with the cold frontal passage which continue through Friday. Winds shift back to the south on Saturday but shift once again back to the NE on Sunday. Easterlies on Monday then SE for Tuesday.

Temperatures.. At or above normal today through Saturday then a cool down for Sunday and Monday. Back to normal for Tuesday and Wednesday.

Tropics.. The remnants of Irma( Clouds and showers) will slide by south of NS on Friday. Hurricane Jose still lurks off the east coast threatening the east coast from NJ to Newfoundland. Most models keep this system out in the open ocean but a few models do bring the system to the east coast Wednesday or Thursday. So Jose requires monitoring.

Hazards.. fairly quiet with just a chance of showers.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time.

Forecast..

Today.. Sunny with cloudy periods, light SW winds, highs 25

Tonight.. Cloudy periods and slight chance of a shower, light NE winds, lows 13

Tomorrow.. Cloudy periods, light NE winds, highs 21

Saturday.. Sunny start becoming cloudy with chance of showers towards evening, light-brisk SW winds, highs 25

Sunday.. Showers, NE winds, highs 17

Monday.. Cloudy periods chance of showers, SE winds, highs 18

Tuesday.. Cloudy periods chance of showers, south winds, highs 21

Wednesday.. Cloudy chance of showers, 19

Sunny and warm today across PEI..

Wednesday, Sept 13th 8:30am.. A ridge of high pressure oriented NE-SW is currently stretching  through NB. This feature will give another day of sunshine to the island as it moves eastward today. Some clouds may spread across the island with a slight chance of a shower as a weak cold front oriented E-W drops down from the north. This front will then lift back to the north on Friday as the remnants to Irma slide off the east coast south of NS. It looks like some showers may just scrape southern tip of NS while just some cloud and slight chance of a shower expected across PEI. Another cold front sweeps through Saturday night into Sunday morning with more cloud and showers. More unsettled weather continues into Monday with a warm front draped E-W to our north.

Precipitation..A very slight chance of shower tomorrow night. Chance of a shower again on Friday as Irma slides by south of NS. Chance of showers again Saturday night into Sunday morning then again on Monday.

Temperatures.. Above normal today through Saturday. Cooler for Sunday and Monday..

Wind.. Light westerly today becoming light-brisk SW tomorrow. Light easterlies on Friday shifting to southerlies on Saturday.

Tropics.. The remnants of Irma move south of NS on Friday. We could get a passing shower from this system . Jose is expected to pass east of NS Tuesday of next week.

Hazards.. Nil

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time.

Forecast..

Today.. Sunny, light west winds, highs 23

Tonight.. Clear, light west winds, lows 16

Tomorrow.. Sunny start cloudy periods and chance of a shower late, light-brisk SW winds highs 25

Friday.. Cloudy with chance of a shower, light east winds, highs 22

Saturday.. Cloudy with chance of showers late, light SW winds, shifting to NE, highs 25

Sunday..Cloudy, light east winds, highs 18

Monday.. Cloudy with showers, light SE winds, highs 15