Saturday February 25th 6:15am.. A warm front is draped east-west across PEI now and is giving freezing rain to the island. The front will begin to lift northward this morning putting the island back into the warm sector this the freezing rain should change to rain. A large area of low pressure will move put of the Great Lakes today and track NE into Labrador tomorrow. The associated cold front will then sweep eastward across PEI near noon on Sunday bring and end to the rainfall and falling temperatures. A weak upper air disturbance will then cross the region on Monday with some showers or flurries. A ridge of high pressure then crests over the island with sunshine. Another large area of low pressure will come out of the Great Lakes Wednesday night and track NE along the St Lawrence river valley into the Gaspe Region by Thursday afternoon. This should once again put the Maritimes on the warm side making for a rain event.Colder air moves into the region on Friday behind this low. Another low moves south of NS on Friday night/Saturday morning which will need to be watched for a possible snow event.
Precipitation.. Rain begin yesterday evening as the front approaches from the north and changed over to freezing rain in the Charlottetown area about 3am. This happened sooner up west and later down east. The freezing rain will change back to rain this morning as temps climb above zero. Again southeastern PEI will be the first while Charlottetown should see a change over about mid morning. Up west will see the longest period of freezing rain with the change over not expected til noon time. Showers expected through the day and into tonight. Flurries on Monday. Dry on Tuesday. Rain begins Wednesday evening and continues through Thursday. Friday dry.
Temperatures. Will climb back above zero during the morning becoming well above normal this evening through noon tomorrow then fall with the cold frontal passage tomorrow afternoon dropping to -1 by suppertime. Mild again on Monday and Tuesday. another warm up on Thursday. Looks like normal temps return for Friday and then cold for the weekend.
Wind. Light north now but will shift back to the south with the warm frontal passage. Southerly winds then increase to brisk tonight into tomorrow morning shifting to westerly tomorrow afternoon with the cold frontal passage. Brisk westerlies continue into Monday.
Thunderstorms.. Could be a rumble of thunder Sunday morning with the passage of the cold front.
Hazards.. ice build-up due freezing rain this morning. refreeze tomorrow night..
Watches/warnings.. Freezing rain warning remains in effect for all of PEI this morning.
Today.. Freezing rain shifting back to rain this morning then tapering to showers by noon. winds shifting back to southerly, temps rising to +3 by suppertime.
Tonight. Showers, brisk south winds, temps continue to rise to +7 by midnight.
Tomorrow. Showers and chance of a thundershower near noon, brisk south winds shifting to westerly near noon, temps near +10 mid morning then falling with the windshift to +1 by suppertime and -2 by midnight.
Tuesday.. Sunny, +1
Wednesday.. clouding over, +4
Thursday. rain, +10.
Saturday.. Cloudy, -10