Rain and wind expected across PEI today..

Monday, October 30th 8:00am.. A low pressure system developed near Cape Hatteras yesterday and absorbed the remnants of Tropical Storm Philippe as it moved northward. This intensifying storm is now located near Montreal and continues to move north., A cold front extending southward from this low will sweep across the Maritimes today bringing rain and very strong winds. Temperatures will also climb well above normal with the warm southerly flow ahead of the front. High pressure will begin to approach from the west cresting over the island Wednesday evening. Clouds will thicken up during the day on Thursday as the next weather system approaches with some rain developing by Thursday night. This system moves east late Friday but leaves a frontal system stalled across the region oriented on an east-west fashion resulting in cloud and showers lingering into the weekend.

Precipitation.. Rain should spread across the island early this afternoon ending this evening. Dry for Tuesday Wednesday and Thursday. Rain begins Thursday night ending Friday night. Cant rule out some showers or flurries on the weekend.

Temperatures..  Well above normal today, a little cooler tomorrow but still above normal. Wednesday and Thursday will be back to normal then another one-day warm up on Friday. Below normal for the weekend then at or slight above normal for the beginning of next week.

Wind.. Very strong southerly winds developing today peaking mid-late afternoon with gusts to 90 KMH. These winds will begin to slowly diminish this evening and overnight with a shift to the SW. Brisk-strong SW winds continue tomorrow then further diminishing to brisk westerly on Wednesday then light on Thursday. Southeasterlies develop late Thursday increasing to brisk on Friday.

Halloween.  Continues to look good.. Few clouds, brisk SW winds with late afternoon temps near 11.

Hazards.. Very strong south winds peaking mid-late afternoon with gusts to 90 KMH make cause some tree damage, power outages a possibility. Secure or stow outside items. The strongest winds will be along the south facing coastlines and higher exposed hilltops. Bridge restrictions are also anticipated on the Confederation bridge today. These winds will also occur on the rising high tide along the south shore so possible higher than normal water levels may also be an issue accompanied by pounding surf.

Watches/warnings.. A wind warning remains in effect for the entire island with Gusts to 90 KMH expected this afternoon.

Forecast..

Today.. Cloudy with rain developing this afternoon, Increasing SE winds peaking mid-late afternoon with gusts to 90 KMH expected. Highs 18

Tonight.. Cloudy with rain ending this evening, brisk -strong SW winds, lows 10

Tomorrow.. Mix of sun and cloud, brisk-string SW winds, highs 13

Wednesday.. Mix of sun and cloud, brisk west winds, highs 9

Thursday.. Sunny early then increasing clouds with rain late, light winds, highs 10

Friday, Rain, brisk south winds, highs 16

Saturday.. Sun and cloud, chance of a shower/flurrie. highs 6

Sunday.. Sun and cloud  chance of a shower/flurrie highs 5

 

 

High impact wind event expected for PEI tomorrow afternoon

Sunday, October 29th 8:30am… An area of high pressure drifted across the Maritimes late yesterday and is now centered just east of NS. Clear skies and light winds accompanied this feature. Hold on to your hats as things are gonna get interesting… A low pressure system has developed in North Carolina and will intensify as it tracks northward towards southern Quebec. Tropical Storm Philippe has also developed and has now located over the Florida Keys.. This tropical storm will also race northward become absorbed by the system in NC  resulting in a large and powerful fall storm. The storm itself should be located near Montreal tomorrow morning but a cold front extending southeastward from this strong storm will sweep across the Maritimes Monday evening. Rain and very strong damaging winds expected from this system across New England and eastern Canada tomorrow. These very strong south winds will occur at high tide along the south shore PEI causing potential high water levels along with pounding waves and surf. The front sweeps across the island early tomorrow evening  bringing an end to the rain followed by slowly diminishing winds. An area of high pressure then begins to build in from the west cresting over the region late Wednesday into early Thursday. Sunshine and cooler temps. Another frontal system approaches and crosses the island on Friday with clouds and rain. The coldest air of the season is then set to invade the Maritimes on the weekend with the approach of another area of high pressure but clouds and flurries possible as the cold air interacts with the still relatively warm waters of the Strain/Gulf.

Precipitation.. Rain should spread across the island near noon tomorrow ending near midnight with the cold frontal passage. Rainfall amounts in the 10-15 mm range but difficult to get a handle on due to the tropical moisture that will be involved. Could be locally higher in heavy downpours. Basically dry Tuesday Wednesday and Thursday. Rain develops again on Friday. Saturday and Sunday should be dry but can’t rule out a shower or flurrie.

Temperatures.. Above normal today, tomorrow and Tuesday. Cool down for Wednesday with temps slightly below normal. Normal on Thursday, above normal on Friday followed by a cold weekend.

Wind..  Light south winds today but will begin to increase tonight becoming brisk SE by dawn tomorrow. Winds further increasing to strong-very strong with gusts approaching 90 KmH by late tomorrow afternoon. Winds drop off a bit Monday evening with brisk-strong Southwesterlies Monday night. Brisk SW winds then continue through Tuesday diminishing to light westerlies Wednesday afternoon. Very light winds on Thursday.

Hazards..Wind blown rain tomorrow afternoon/evening will make driving difficult especially with leaves blowing. Very strong south winds peaking late tomorrow afternoon with possible tree damage and power outages. Strongest winds should occur along the south facing coasts and higher terrain. High surf along the south coast at high tide which occurs early tomorrow evening. Expect bridge restrictions expected on the Confederation Bridge. Suggest that you secure or store outdoor items today.

Watches/warnings.. No watches or warnings in place for PEI at this time but a special weather statement is in effect and can be found on the Environment Canada’s weather website.

Halloween.. Still looking good for PEI.. Clear skies, brisk SW-W winds and late afternoon temps near 10.

Forecast..

Today,, Increasing highs clouds,  light south winds, highs 15

Tonight..Cloudy, brisk SE winds, lows 10

Tomorrow.. Overcast, rain beginning near noon, increasing SE winds becoming strong with gusts to 90 KMH my mid afternoon. High 18

Tuesday.. Few clouds, brisk SW-W winds, highs 13

Wednesday.. Sunny, light-brisk west winds, highs 7

Thursday.. Sunny start,  increasing clouds light south winds, highs 9

Friday.. Rain, 14

Saturday.. Sun and cloud, chance of a shower/flurrie, 5

Sunday.. Sun and cloud, chance of a shower/flurrie 5

Rain ends this morning across PEI..

Friday, October 27th 6:15am  A stalled frontal band oriented north-south through Maine yesterday brought significant amounts of rain to western NB. A low pressure system then rippled northward along this front enhancing rainfall along its track. Rainfall amounts in the St Stephen area were recorded near 170 mms. The low is now located near Rivière-du-Loup and continues northward, That stalled front than began to move and is in the process of sweep across PEI now which will bring an end to any rain. Skies will begin to clear this afternoon as the front pulls away and high pressure builds in. This feature will crest over the island late Saturday evening then shift east. Clouds will then begin to spread across the island on Sunday as the next weather system approaches.  This next weather system is in fact an intensifying low pressure which will develop off the US mid Atlantic coast and move northward across New England Monday morning then into Quebec. This system will bring a wind event to the island on Monday peaking near noon with southerly gusts to 90 KMH possible along with some rain. High pressure returns for Tuesday-Thursday with sunshine and cooler temps.

Precipitation.. The rain should end across PEI over the next few hours followed by dry conditions through Sunday. Rain develops Monday afternoon ending by midnight. Dry for Tuesday through Thursday.

Temperatures.. Cooler weather ahead but still running above normal for this time of Year. Temps drop back to normal  beginning on Wednesday Nov’1.

Wind.. Winds will shift to SW this morning with the frontal passage and continue to slowing shift to the NW by late this evening. Very light NW winds tomorrow followed by very light SE winds on Sunday.  Now comes the interesting part.. These SE winds will then increase Sunday night becoming strong Monday morning peaking near noon with Gusts to 90 Kmh possible along the south shore and over areas of higher terrain (hilltops) Winds will begin to diminish late Monday afternoon.

Halloween.. Looking great.. Few clouds, light-brisk SW winds and early evening temps near 11.

Hazards.. Wet driving conditions in any leftover rain this morning. Great weekend with very light winds.. Strong winds expected on Monday. This will cause issues for high sided vehicles crossing the bridge and would anticipate restrictions to be put in to place by dawn on Monday morning so plan accordingly.

Watches/warnings... None for PEI at this time..

Forecast..

Today.. Cloudy with showers this morning ending late morning followed by clearing. light-brisk SW > W  winds, highs 15

Tonight.. Clear, very light NW winds, lows 8

Tomorrow.. Sunny, very light NW winds, highs 12

Sunday.. Increasing high cloudiness, light SE winds, highs 15

Monday.. Rain and strong SE winds, highs 19

Tuesday… Sunny, 14

Wednesday.., Sunny, 9

Thursday.. Sunny, 7

Warm and muggy today, rain tonight across PEI..

Thursday, October 26th, 6:20am.. A very slow moving frontal boundary oriented north-south is currently located western Maine. This system is responsible for significant amounts of rain in western NB where in excess of 100 mm is possible. A Low pressure system has developed along this boundary near NYC and will ripple northward passing overnight tonight. This should allow the front to finally move east passing across PEI tomorrow morning. Rain will develop through the day today then end tomorrow morning with the passage of the front. High pressure will build in later tomorrow and persist through Sunday promising a nice weekend across PEI. Skies begin to cloud over later Sunday as the next low pressure system approaches from the Great Lakes with rain developing early Monday afternoon. This system pulls away late Monday then quiet weather for Tuesday and Wednesday.

Precipitation.. Rain should slowly spread across PEI today from west to east beginning this evening and ending tomorrow morning and again it will end from west to east. Models are hinting at 10-15 mms for PEI. Dry conditions expected later Friday lasting through the weekend. Another round of Rain Monday afternoon through Monday evening. Tuesday and Wednesday dry.

Temperatures.. Temps should once again be in the low 20’s as warm humid tropical air surges north. A little cooler tomorrow with the passage of the cold front but still warm for this time of year. Temps continue to cool down for Saturday getting close to normal followed b y another warm-up for Sunday and Monday.  Tuesday remains slightly above normal and normal on Wednesday.. So no real cold air for at least a week.

Wind.. Increasing SE winds today peaking tonight with gusts to 60-70 kmh. Winds shift to the SW with the passage of the cold front near noon then further shift but diminish to light NW for Saturday. Calm Saturday night then very light SE winds on Sunday. Monday looks quite interesting with strong SE winds.. May require wind warnings..

Halloween.. Looking very nice…Few clouds, light-brisk SW winds with early evening temps near 10.

Hazards.. Wet driving conditions in rain developing this evening. Looking very windy on Monday

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time..

Forecast..

Today… Overcast, increasing SE winds, highs 21

Tonight.. Rain developing this evening, brisk SE winds, lows 17

Tomorrow.  Rain ending before noon then clearing, light-brisk SW winds, temps cool down to 14 by mid afternoon.

Saturday..Sunny, light NW winds, highs 11

Sunday.. Sunny with increasing highs clouds later in the day, light SE winds, highs 16

Monday.. Rain in the afternoon, strong SE winds, highs 19

Tuesday..Sunny 13

Wednesday.. Sunny 9

The warm weather continues for PEI…

Wednesday, October 25th 7:50am... A slow moving frontal trough oriented north-south is currently located through central New England. This system will move into NB tonight then stall and weaken as it cross PEI during the day on Friday. Significant amounts of rain are falling from this system due to the fact that it is tapping tropical moisture and it’s forward speed is so slow. The front will finally cross the island early Friday morning with the rain ending by noon. Clearing skies take place Friday afternoon as a ridge of high pressure begins to build in from the west. A great weekend ahead as This feature will crest over the island Saturday night giving sunshine and light winds.  High Clouds will begin to spread across the island during the day on Sunday as the next trough of low pressure approaches from the Great Lakes with rain developing Monday morning/afternoon. High pressure builds in for Tuesday.

Precipitation.. Rain will slowly spread across the island from west to east during the over night hours tomorrow night first beginning up west near midnight. The rain will also end from west to east Friday morning/afternoon. The heaviest rainfall amounts will fall in western NB where 60-100 mms possible. Here on PEI, the highest amounts will be up west where 20 mm possible. Lower amounts further east with generally 10-15 mm. Dry for the weekend. Rain returns during the day on Monday.

Temperatures.. Remaining warm today and tomorrow.. A little cooler on Friday but still well above normal. Slightly above normal temps then continue Saturday through Tuesday. Normal conditions begin on Wednesday.

Wind.. Brisk southerly winds today through Friday shifting to NW Friday evening. Very light NW winds on Saturday becoming very light SE on Sunday. Brisk SE winds on Monday.

Halloween.. At this point, Halloween is looking fantastic but that could change as we get closer but right now models are hinting at generally clear skies,  light-brisk SW winds and early evening temps near 10.

Hazards.. Wet driving conditions in rain beginning near midnight tonight up west and spreading across the island during the overnight hours.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time as the heaviest rain bands are expected to remain through central/western NB.

Forecast..

Today.. Sun and cloud, light-brisk south winds, highs 21

Tonight.. Cloudy periods, light-brisk south winds, lows 18

Tomorrow.. Clouding over from west to east with rain developing up west late, brisk south winds, highs 22

Friday.. Rain ending by noon then clearing, light-brisk SW winds, highs 16

Saturday.. Sunny, very light NW winds, highs 12

Sunday.. Sunny start, increasing clouds, very light SE winds, highs ’14

Monday.. Rain, brisk-strong SE winds, highs 16

Tuesday.. Sunny, brisk SW winds, highs 13

Warm weather continues across PEI..

Tuesday, October 24th 6:50am... An area of high pressure located east of NS will continue to give sunshine to the island today and tomorrow. An elongated trough of low pressure oriented north-south will slowly approach the Maritimes on Wednesday and slowly cross the island during the day on Thursday. This system will tap tropical moisture from the south and because it’s moving so slowly, there is potential for significant amounts of rain for parts of the region. Increasing southerly winds will allow temps to climb well above normal for this time of year. Skies should begin to clear about noon on Friday as the trough finally pushes through and high pressure builds in from the west. This feature should bring sunshine and light winds to the island for the weekend. Clouds will begin to spread across the region later Sunday as the next weather system approaches with some showers late Monday.

Precipitation.. Dry conditions expected for a couple more days. Rain should begin to spread across western PEI early Thursday and slowly spread across the island through the day ending from west to east overnight Thursday into Friday morning. The heaviest rain bands are still unclear but looks like west Prince should see the highest amounts of rain but unable to give amounts at this time. It could be significant. There are special weather statements in effect for NB where 50-100 mms are possible. The rain should end by Noon Friday then be dry for the weekend.

Temperatures.. Well above normal conditions expected today through Thursday with temps getting close to record setting territory all 3 days. Slightly above normal Friday through Tuesday.

Wind.. Increasing southerly winds shifting to westerly on Friday with the passage of the frontal trough. Light northerly winds on Saturday.

Hazards.. None on the short term, possible heavy rain event for Thursday. No is a good time to clear your rain gutters.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time although rainfall warnings may be required for Thursday especially Prince county.

Forecast..

Today.. Becoming sunny, light-brisk SW winds, highs 20

Tonight. Cloudy periods, brisk SW winds, lows 15

Tomorrow.. Sun and cloud, brisk SW winds, highs 21

Thursday.. Rain at times heavy, brisk SW winds, highs 21

Friday.. rain ending in the morning then clearing, winds shift ton the west, highs 15

Saturday.. Sunny, light north winds, highs 12

Sunday.. Sunny, increasing clouds late, light south winds, highs 14

Monday.. Cloudy with possible showers, 15

Warm-up begins today across PEI..

Monday, October 23rd, 6:40am...  Clear skies and calm winds allowed the temps to fall to the coldest of the season so far but clouds spread across the island after midnight with the approach of a warm front. Some sunshine is expected this morning as the front moves east. A southerly surge of warm air will now engulf the Maritimes for the next few days with temps expected in the 20’s. A frontal boundary oriented north-south currently stretches from the Gulf of Mexico to Hudson’s Bay. A strong low pressure system will develop in the Central US and move northward along this frontal boundary late tomorrow night. This will then force the front to move eastward with some showers beginning overnight Wednesday night into early Thursday morning. This rainfall will be heavy at times with it’s tropical origin but still a bit early to go into details on where the heaviest bans will be and how much will fall. At any rate, this disturbance shifts east of the Maritimes by Thursday night. High pressure builds in for Friday and Saturday with sunshine. Cloud and showers may end out the weekend as a trough of low pressure approaches from the west.

Precipitation.. Rain begins Wednesday night ending Thursday evening. Significant amounts are possible. Dry for Friday and Saturday. Showers possible again on Sunday.

Temperatures.. Well above normal today through Thursday. Slightly above normal Friday through Monday.

Wind...An increasing southerly flow expected today through Thursday dropping off to very light on Friday.

Hazards.. Nil for the next few days..

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time but rainfall warnings maybe required for Thursday.

Forecast..

Today.. Becoming sunny, light SW winds, highs 15

Tonight.. Few clouds, light SW winds, lows 11

Tomorrow. Cloudy periods, light SW winds, highs 21

Wednesday.. Cloudy, light-brisk SW winds, highs 21

Thursday.. Rain at times heavy, light-brisk SW winds, highs 19

Friday… Sunny, light north winds, highs 13

Saturday.. Sunny, light east winds, highs 14

Sunday.. Cloudy with chance of showers, highs 15

Warm-up begins tomorrow across PEI..

Sunday, October 22nd, 8:15am..  A north-south oriented ridge of high pressure is located over New England this morning and is drifting eastward. This feature should crest over the island later this evening then slowly move east into the Atlantic on Monday. Sunshine and light winds will prevail today and some high cloudiness and increasing south winds tomorrow. A frontal trough will slowly move eastward through Ontario and Quebec on Tuesday and Wednesday. A strong surge of warm tropical air will engulf the Maritimes allowing temps to climb well above normal. Warm dry conditions but increasing clouds will continue though Wednesday into Thursday. A surge of rain is expected on Friday as the trough of low pressure slowly crosses the island with possibly significant amounts of rain. The trough moves east on Saturday allowing for some clearing but temps will cooler as high pressure builds in for the weekend.

Precipitation.. Dry conditions expected for the next few days. Rain should begin Thursday night and continue through Friday. Early indications are that this could be a significant dumping of rain.

Temperatures.. Slightly below normal today then a surge of warm air develops tomorrow with well above normal temps for Monday through Thursday. A cool down back to normal for Friday through Sunday.

Wind. Very light northerly winds today drop off to calm again tonight then southerlies develop tomorrow morning. These southerlies will continue through Thursday becoming brisk-strong as the week progresses. A winds shift to the north will occur on Friday with the passage of the front.

Hazards.. None for the next few days.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time. Rainfall warnings maybe required for  Friday.

Forecast..

Today.. Sunny, very light north winds, highs 8

Tonight.. Clear, calm cool, lows near 0

Tomorrow.. Sunny, light south winds, highs 16

Tuesday.. High cloudiness, light-brisk south winds, highs 20

Wednesday.. High cloudiness, light-brisk south winds, highs 20

Thursday.. Cloudy, brisk-strong south winds, highs 20

Friday.. Heavy rain, light winds, temps falling to 13

Saturday.. Sunny with cloudy periods,  light north winds, highs 13

Sunday.. Sunny, light winds,  highs 13

 

 

 

The extended period of dry weather continues for PEI..

Saturday, October 21st, 8:00am..  A ridge of high pressure centered along the US mid Atlantic coast this morning will drift east ward today cresting over the Maritimes tomorrow evening. Sunshine and brisk NW winds today will accompany this feature. Tomorrow the winds drop diminish to light as the high begins to move across the island then drop off to calm tomorrow night. Southerly winds will develop on Monday once the high pressure system shifts east. These southerly winds will usher in much milder conditions with temps expected to run well above normal through at least Thursday. when the next weather system approaches with some cloud and showers.

Precipitation.. The next chance of rain appears to be Thursday of next week.

Temperatures.. Slightly below normal today and tomorrow then well above normal Monday through Thursday. Interesting that the American model continues to show above normal temps right through to almost the end of the month whereas the Canadian model cools the island back to normal by Friday of next week then remains normal through the end of the month. So will be interesting to see which model gets it right.

Wind.. Brisk NW winds today diminish to light tonight and tomorrow then shift to SW on MOnday. SW winds then continue Through Thursday becoming westerly on Friday.

Hazards.. Nil

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time..

Forecast..

Today.. Few clouds down east with a very slight chance of a shower, light-brisk NW winds, highs 9

Tonight.. Clear, light NW winds, lows 5

Tomorrow… Sunny, light NW winds, highs 9

Monday.. Sunny, light-brisk southwest winds,  highs 18

Tuesday.. Sun and Cloud, light SW winds, highs 20

Wednesday.. Sun and cloud, light-brisk south winds, highs 21

Thursday.. Cloud and showers, light-brisk South winds, highs 20

Friday.. Sunny, light west winds,  highs 15

Slight chance of a shower across PEI this morning..

Friday, October 20th 7:15am.. A cold front is currently moving across NB and will sweep across from west to east over the next few hours. SW winds out ahead of the front will shift to the NW in its wake. Cloud and chance of showers will accompany this feature. NW winds will continue through Saturday which may bring some cloud and showers to eastern areas ion these onshore winds off the Gulf. High pressure will then build in from the west and crest over the island Sunday morning. Winds will drop off to calm as Saturday night and remain light through Sunday morning as this feature crests over the island. This area of high pressure will then drift east and onshore itself east of NS where it will continue to dominate the weather across PEI with warm sunshine. A flow pressure system is then expected to move northward out of the deep south passing through Quebec late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Brisk south winds will prevail across the region maintaining warm temperatures across the Maritimes. The associated cold front is then expected to finally sweep across the island on Thursday with some cloud and rain.

Precipitation.. Slight chance of a shower this morning, slight chance of a shower down east tomorrow. Rain develops on Thursday.

Temperatures.. Remaining slightly above normal today, slightly below normal tomorrow, normal on Sunday then well above normal Monday through Thursday.

Wind.. light-brisk SW this morning but will shift to the NW this afternoon and continue NW tomorrow. Winds drop off to calm tomorrow night into Sunday morning then shift to the south during the day on Sunday as the high pressure area drifts east. Light-brisk South winds then persist Monday through Thursday.

Hazards. Nil

Watches/warnings... None for PEI at this time..

Forecast..

Today.. Cloudy this morning with a slight chance of showers, SW winds shifting to the NW, highs 13

Tonight.. Few clouds, light NW winds, lows 7

Tomorrow.. Cloudy periods with slight chance of a shower down east, light-brisk NW winds, highs 9

Sunday..Sunny, very light winds, highs 10

Monday.. Sunny, brisk south winds, highs 19

Tuesday… Cloudy, brisk south winds, highs 19

Wednesday.. Cloudy, brisk south winds, highs 20

Thursday.. Rain, 20