Saturday, October 14th, 9:00am.. The area of high pressure that gave the sunshine to the region over the last few days has shifted eastward is now centered south of Newfoundland. Clouds have invaded the island ahead of a frontal boundary which will stall over the region tonight. Showers are associated with this frontal boundary. A “Colorado” Low has developed SW of the Great Lakes and will intensify as it tracks NE and is expected to pass along the St Lawrence River Valley. This first Fall storm should be located near Gaspe Bay early Monday morning. The associated cold front will then sweep across the sweep across the island near noon on Monday.. Strong SW winds will develop tomorrow ahead of the low and front later Sunday and into Monday morning. Showers should end Monday afternoon with the frontal passage but much cooler air will also invade the region. Clouds should hang around though Monday and Tuesday as the cold air moves over the warmer waters of the Gulf. Few showers again on Wednesday as an upper air disturbance moves through. High pressure slides off the east coast on Thursday setting up a SW flow of warmer air for the weekend.
Precipitation. Few showers expected today and tomorrow and into Monday. The heaviest rains will occur Sunday night through Monday morning as the strong cold front moves through. The rain will be convective in type giving variable amounts but looks like 5-10 mms. Showers again on Wednesday then dry through the weekend.
Temperatures.. Above normal today through Monday afternoon then fall behind that strong cold front.. Tuesday will be cold and windy. Back to normal on Wednesday then an extended period of above normal beginning on Thursday.
Wind.. Brisk SW winds today ahead of the frontal boundary diminishing to light tonight then redeveloping again tomorrow morning. Increasing south winds through the day tomorrow peaking around midnight tomorrow night 50G80. The strongest winds will be along the south facing shores and atop higher elevations (Bonshaw hills etc) Winds will shift to the NW Monday afternoon then slowly diminish on Tuesday. Southerly winds develop on Wednesday and persist for a few days.
Thunderstorms. Chance of a storm Sunday night into Monday morning.
PEI Marathon.. Generally cloudy with a few showers developing in the morning. Temps will be in the 12-13 range. Winds are expected to be light-brisk easterly becoming SE as the morning goes on.
Hazards.. Wet driving conditions in any rain. The strongest winds are expected Sunday evening til about dawn on Monday morning peaking near midnight. This could cause some tree damage and possible power issues. There may be travel restrictions for high sided vehicles later tomorrow on the Confederation Bridge.
Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time.
Forecast..
Today.. Cloudy with chance of showers, Brisk SW winds, highs 15
Tonight.. Cloudy with chance of showers, light west winds, lows 12
Tomorrow.. Cloudy with chance of showers, increasing SW winds becoming strong with gusts to 80 late tomorrow evening, highs 19 (late evening)
Monday.. Showers, brisk SW winds shifting to NW in the afternoon, highs in the morning near 18 then falling through the day to 15 by noon then 10 by suppertime.
Tuesday… Cloudy, light-brisk NW winds, highs 7
Wednesday… Cloudy with chance of showers, light SW winds, highs 12
Thursday..Sunny, light-brisk SW winds, highs15
Friday.. Sunny, light west winds, highs 16
Saturday.. Sunny, light west winds, highs 17
Sunday.. Sunny, light south winds, highs 20
peistormchaser 
