Thursday, January 11 8:20am.. A warm front moved north across the Maritimes overnight hence the milder temps this morning. The frontal boundary is now draped NE-SW along the St Lawrence River Valley today and will begin to slowly moves east as several low pressure systems ripple NE along it. The associated weather shifts from snow to the west the frontal boundary, freezing rain and ice pellets along it to rain and very mild temps to the east. Initially, PEI will be east of the boundary thus the very mild conditions expected. A low pressure system in the American mid west will ripple NE along this front to be located in the Bay of Fundy Saturday afternoon. This low will then continue to track NE crossing PEI by suppertime. This will drag the front east across PEI changing the rain over to freezing rain as the colder air moves in. High pressure in control for later Sunday through Tuesday with basically dry weather then watching a potential low pressure system on Wednesday in the Maritimes.
Precipitation.. some light rain showers through today and tonight. Rain begins late tomorrow and becomes heavy on Saturday. The rain should change over to freezing rain through Saturday afternoon further changing over to some light snow or flurries late Saturday night. The challenge is the timing of the freezing rain on Saturday. Flurries possible on Sunday and Monday.
Temperatures.. Have now climbed above zero and should remain above zero until Saturday morning. Temps begin to fall up west then this cooling trend moves east as that cold front moves through. Temps will climb into the double digits Friday night into dawn Saturday morning. Cooler temps return on Sunday but no Arctic blast. Temps should remain normal through the remainder of the period.
Wind.. Brisk SW winds today tonight and tomorrow becoming northerly near noon on Saturday as the cold front sweeps through. Light northerlies then expected Sunday through Tuesday.
Hazards.. Some rain today may freeze to the cold roads. The main threat will be the heavy rain Friday night into Saturday which could lead to local flooding. The the threat of freezing rain Saturday afternoon once the colder air begins to return.
Watches/warnings... Environment Canada continues with a special weather statement addressing the rain and freezing rain threat for Friday and Saturday.
Today…Cloudy chance of showers, light-brisk SW winds, temps climbing to +5 by this evening.
Tonight..Cloudy periods chance of a shower, light-brisk SW winds, temps rising to +7 by dawn.
Tomorrow.. Rain at times heavy beginning in the afternoon, brisk SW winds temps climbing to +12 by late evening.
Saturday.. Rain changing to freezing rain near noon then ending late evening. Brisk SW winds initially shifting to North near noon, morning temps near 13 then fall quickly to zero by noon then steady.
Sunday.. Flurries, north winds, -3
Monday.. Flurries, north winds, -5
Tuesday..Flurries, north winds, -5
Wednesday.. Snow possible