Monthly Archives: June 2018

Sunshine today, cloud and showers tonight across PEI..

Saturday, June 30th 8:15am.. A band of strong thunderstorms developed yesterday afternoon in western NB and drifted eastward through the course of the evening. These storms prompted severe thunderstorm watches and warning across portions of NB, NS and PEI but weakened quickly during the evening as the daytime heating ended and they moved across the cold waters of the strait and Bay of Fundy. There appears to be no real organized weather systems effecting the island this period but rather a series of weak high pressure ridges and weak cold fronts. A very warm airmass that is currently in Ontario will shift east into the Maritimes beginning on Monday.

A weak ridge of high pressure will slide by today giving sunshine but clouds and showers will move in overnight as a weak cold front sinks southward.  We may see some sunshine later tomorrow depending on how far south the front gets. The front dissipates later Sunday allowing for a very warm airmass currently in the Great Lakes to shift east on Monday. Another weak cold front then expected to cross the region on Tuesday with more cloud and showers. This front s expected to stall in an east-west line somewhere across the region with the heat to its south and cooler air to the north. So the placement of this front will determine who stays in the heat. Again some cloud, showers and thundershowers possible with the front. The frontal system hangs around through Friday with unsettled weather.

Precipitation.. Chance of showers tonight into tomorrow morning. Few showers again on Tuesday then Thursday Friday and Saturday,

Temperatures.. Normal today, below normal tomorrow then the heat gets turned on Monday. Temps above normal Monday through Thursday.

Wind.. Light west today and tonight becoming northerly tomorrow beg=hind that cold front then southerly on Monday. Light-brisk SW winds then expected through Thursday.

Canada Day.. Morning cloud and showers but sunshine should develop through  the afternoon. North winds should keeps temps a little cool. At this point, the weather looks good for fireworks with some cloud and light NE wind. Take a sweater though, bit cool

Thunderstorms.. Conditions look favorable for thunderstorms next week Tuesday through Friday.

Hazards.. High humidex vales and heat beginning on Monday.

Watches/warnings.. Environment Canada continues with the special weather statement for elevated humidex values which can be found here. https://weather.gc.ca/warnings/index_e.html?prov=pei

Forecast..

  • Today.. Sunny becoming cloudy late, light west winds, highs 23
  • Tonight.. Cloudy with chance of showers, light west winds, lows 16
  • Canada Day.. Morning cloud and showers, sunny breaks developing there after, light north winds, highs 19
  • Monday.. Cloudy, light SW winds, highs 26
  • Tuesday.. Cloudy with chance of showers, light-brisk SW winds, highs 26
  • Wednesday.. Sun and cloud, SW winds, highs 27
  • Thursday.. Cloudy with chance of showers, SW winds, highs 28
  • Friday.. Cloudy with chance of showers, brisk SW winds, highs 22
  • Saturday.. Clearing, NW winds, cooler with highs 18

 

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Some sun expected later today across PEI..

Friday, June 29th 6:45am.. A tough of low pressure oriented basically north-south currently stretched from central Quebec southward through Maine into Cape Cod and is expected to move across the Maririmes this evening. Most of the rain associated with this feature is out ahead of the actual trough so expect the current rain to end early this afternoon with some sunshine developing. The upper air behind this trough is quite cool so expected some late afternoon sho9wers and thundershower to develop especially through NB which could become strong/severe. These storms, if they develop will drift eastward towards PEI so that will be something to watch for later this evening and overnight. Saturday should start out sunny but clouds develop as an area of low pressure approaches from Quebec. This feature is the remnants of a thunderstorm complex which developed in the Dakotas and moved eastward across southern Canada. This feature will bring cloud and showers to the Maritimes late Saturday with a chance of thunderstorms. A frontal system oriented east -west will settled in over the island on Sunday bringing more cloud and chance of a shower. The advertised heat wave will be delayed until the beginning of next week due to the presence of this front. The heat is on the south side.  across southern Maine but this front is expected to begin moving northward Sunday night allowing the heat to surge north into the Maritimes for Monday. The frontal system begins to shift back south through Tuesday and Wednesday but looks to be fairly weak and dry at this time.

Precipitation… The rain should taper off early this afternoon. Showers and possible down pours tonight as some activity develops on NB may slide though. This activity, if develops will be isolated. Possible showers/thundershowers again Saturday night as that thunderstorms complex moves through. Hard to say right now how much activity will be left with it by the times this feature gets here. Possible showers again on Sunday but nothing organized but rather few and isolated. This activity will extend into early Monday. Chance of showers into Tuesday as well. So looks like some showers though the entire period.

Temperatures.. Normal today through the weekend. As already mentioned, the expected heat will be delayed until Monday and Tuesday.

Wind.. Light-brisk southerlies today shifting to NW this evening with the trough of low pressure which will continue though tomorrow. Light and variable winds on Sunday. Light-brisk SW winds on Monday which will herald in the heat and continues through Wednesday. Northwest winds on Thursday.

Canada Day.. Looking ok at this point.. Cloud and slight chance of a shower. Light NE winds and temps in the low 20’s. Fireworks should be a go with some cloud and chance of a shower. Will need to watch the NE winds bringing in some low cloud off the Gulf during the evenings.

Thunderstorms.. Chance of storms tonight and again tomorrow night then again on Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.

Hazards.. Wet driving conditions in any rain. Downpours possible tonight with thunderstorms. The heat is delayed until Monday.

Watches/warnings.. Environment Canada continues with the special weather statement for elevated humidex values for this weekend..

Forecast..

  • Today.. Rain ending then clearing, Light-brisk SW winds shifting to NW later this afternoon, highs 23
  • Tonight.. Chance of a shower/thundershower otherwise partly cloudy, light NW winds, lows 15
  • Tomorrow.. Sunny becoming cloudy with chance of a evening/overnight shower, light NW winds shifting to SE, highs 22
  • Canada Day.. Cloudy with chance of a shower, light NE winds, highs 22
  • Monday.. Becoming sunny, increasing SW winds, warm and muggy,  highs 26
  • Tuesday.. Sun and cloud, chance of a shower/thundershower, SW winds, highs 27
  • Wednesday.. Cloudy, chance of a shower/thundershower, SW winds, highs 28
  • Thursday.. Sunny, light north winds, cooler fresher air,  highs 19

 

Rain develops later today across PEI..

Thursday, June 28th 7:15am.. Skies will cloud over this morning in advance of a low pressure system approaching from the lower Great Lakes. This system is expected to track NE passing  north of the region during the day tomorrow. A frontal system extending southward from this low will sweep across the island will sweep across the island tomorrow with enhanced rainfall and thunderstorms. The weekend is now looking rather unsettled. An upper air disturbance now appears to cross the region with some cloud and chance of showers/thundershowers overnight Friday into Saturday morning followed by another frontal system on Sunday Saturday night into Sunday morning with more cloud and showers/thundershowers. Monday night is hinting at another weakening cold front moving through with cloud showers/thundershowers which appears to stall over the Maritimes for Wednesday. So it is shaping up to be a fairly warm and muggy week of unsettled weather ahead.

Precipitation.. Rain should begin this evening tapering to showers tomorrow afternoon giving amounts in the 20 mm range. Embedded thunderstorms may give rain at times heavy. As mentioned the rain should end tomorrow afternoon then redevelop Friday night ending Saturday morning. Round 3 of showers Saturday night in fact there is a risk of showers right through Wednesday in next week.

Wind.. Brisk S-SW winds today, tonight and tomorrow. Light W-NW winds on Saturday which extends into Sunday. Light southerlies on Monday increasing to brisk SW on Tuesday.

Canada Day.,. Sun and cloud.. Cant rule out a  shower or thundershower. Warm and muggy with highs in the low 20’s.

Thunderstorms.. There will be a chance of thunderstorms right through the entire period.

Hazards.. Wet driving conditions in rain at times heavy beginning this evening. Risk of thunderstorms for the period. Warm and muggy conditions will give elevated humidex values for the weekend.

Watches/warnings.. Environment Canada continues with a special weather statement for elevated humidex values this weekend.

Forecast..

  • Today.. Cloudy with rain developing early this evening, light-brisk SW winds, highs 22
  • Tonight.. Rain at times heavy, chance of thundershowers, brisk South winds, lows 16
  • Tomorrow.. Rain early ending in the afternoon, light-brisk SW winds, highs 21
  • Saturday.. Sun and cloud chance of showers/thundershowers, light north winds, highs 22
  • Canada Day.. Sun and cloud, chance of showers/thundershowers, light north winds, highs 21
  • Monday.. Sun and cloud, chance of showers/thundershowers, light south winds, highs 27
  • Tuesday.. Sun and cloud, chance of showers/thundershowers, light south winds, highs 26
  • Wednesday.. Cloudy with showers/thundershowers, 27

 

Sunshine today, rain later tomorrow for PEI..

Wednesday, June 27th 6:30am.. Some cloud and a few spotty rainshowers across the island this morning as a warm front swept through. This feature is moving off to the east resulting in clearing skies. This front also introduced a warm and muggy airmass which should stay with us for the remainder of the week. An area of high pressure slipping by to the south of NS today should also help to maintain sunshine and a warm muggy SW wind. Clouds will begin to thicken up overnight tonight as a low pressure system approaches from the Great Lakes. This system is expected to track NE along the St Lawrence River Valley tomorrow then lifting north of the Maritimes Thursday night/early Friday morning. Rain from this system should spread across the island Thursday afternoon coming to an end Friday noon as the associated cold front sweeps through with clearing skies expected in its wake. A weaker secondary cold front should move through on Saturday morning with some cloud and spotty showers. High pressure begins to build in once again. This feature will then dominate the Maritimes into early next week with possible record heat and humidity values. There is a chance of afternoon/evening thunderstorm development on Sunday and Monday which will need to be monitored.

Precipitation.. Few spotty showers moving off eastern PEI this morning. Rain begins near suppertime on Thursday ending near noon on Friday. There could be a secondary round of light showers near dawn on Saturday morning. Then basically dry conditions for the remainder of Saturday Sunday and Monday. The exception to this will be if those areas of thunderstorms which are expected to develop over Quebec/NB move across the island on Sunday.

Temperatures.. Warm today then cooler tomorrow due cloud cover and rain. The heat returns for the weekend and lasts into early next week. This could be record setting heat with elevated humidities. So a very warm and muggy weekend ahead.

Wind.. Basically SW flow today and tomorrow. There could be a brief wind shift to the NW on Friday into early Saturday due those couple of cold frontal passages but then back to SW winds for Sunday.

Thunderstorms.. Chance of storms over the weekend.

Canada Day.. Looking warm and humid. Again will need to watch for Thunderstorm development on Sunday afternoon/evening.

Hazards.. Wet driving conditions later Thursday into early Friday.. Possible thunderstorms over the weekend. Warm and muggy air over the weekend with elevated humidex values.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI but a special weather statement is in effect for the weekend regarding elevated humidex values. This statement can be found on the Environment Canada’s weather website at https://weather.gc.ca/warnings/index_e.html

Forecast…

  • Today.. Clouds this morning then clearing, light-brisk SW winds, highs 24
  • Tonight.. Mainly clear, increasing clouds after midnight, light SW winds, lows 15
  • Tomorrow.. Cloudy with rain developing towards late afternoon, brisk SW winds, highs 21
  • Friday.. Rain early ending near noon then partial clearing, light-brisk SW winds shifting to NW, highs 23
  • Saturday.. Morning cloud and showers then clearing, chance of afternoon/evening thunderstorms, light NW winds, highs 27
  • Canada Day.. Sunny, chance of afternoon/evening thunderstorms, light south winds, warm and muggy with highs 28
  • Monday.. Sunny, light SW winds, highs 24
  • Tuesday.. Cloudy, chance of a shower, highs 25

 

Sunshine expected next couple days across PEI..

Tuesday, June 26th 7:10am.. An area of low pressure passed just south of NS yesterday and is now located south of Newfoundland. This system gave significant amounts of rain to the eastern half of the Maritimes including PEI. High pressure centered in Quebec will drift SE passing well south of NS early tomorrow giving sunshine to the region today and Wednesday. Clouds will begin to increase on Thursday as a low pressure system from the lower Great Lakes begins to approach with rain developing by Thursday evening. This system is expected to pass well to the NW early Friday with the rain ending as it pulls away. High pressure builds in for later Friday and lasts through the weekend. Canada Day weather are looking good right now.

Precipitation.. Rain should begin late Thursday ending Friday noon. Could be a shower or two over the weekend.

Temperatures.. Looks like summer is finally arriving.. Still a little cool today especially with those north winds off the cold Gulf. Warm-up begins tomorrow.

Wind… Brisk north winds now will diminish to calm near suppertime today for a few hours then shift to the southwest overnight. Light-brisk SW winds then expected right through next week. Hence the warm summer time temps…

Hazards.. Nil next couple days..

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time..

Forecast..

  • Today.. Becoming sunny, light-brisk NW winds, highs 15
  • Tonight.. Clear, light SW winds, lows 11
  • Tomorrow.. Sunny, light-brisk SW winds, highs 23
  • Thursday.. Increasing clouds with rain late, light-brisk SW winds, highs 21
  • Friday.. Rain early ending near noon then clearing, SW winds, highs 24
  • Saturday.. Sun and cloud, SW winds, highs 27
  • Sunday.. Sun and cloud, SW winds, highs 27
  • Monday.. Sun and cloud, SW winds, highs 27

 

Cool, wet and windy conditions expected across PEI today..

Monday, June 25th 6:45am… A low pressure system developed near Cape Cod over the past few hours and will move ENE passing just south of NS later today. Rain at times heavy will continues across PEI as this system moves by.  Brisk Northerly winds will also makes things quite cool across the island as well. Skies will clear tomorrow as an area of high pressure approaches. This feature will drift by to the south of NS on Wednesday. Skies will cloud over once again on Thursday. This system develops in the lower Great Lakes then tracks NE along the St Lawrence River Valley into the Gulf of St Lawrence by Friday morning. The long range forecast is becoming unclear as the models are coming out of agreement. No real big systems but rather unsettled with sun and cloud and chance of showers through the weekend and into nearly next week. One thing is clear.. Looks like a warmer trend beginning on Wednesday.

Precipitation… Rain at times heavy today with amounts ranging from 10 mms in west Prince increasing to 20-25 across central Queens to as much as 40 mms in eastern Kings. Rain ends tomorrow morning. Rain begins again Thursday afternoon ending Friday morning.  Weekend looking ok but cant rule out some showers.

Temperatures.. Cool today and tonight. Warmer tomorrow with the sunshine but still below normal. The warm weather moves in on Wednesday with temps at or above normal through the remainder of the week.

Wind.. Brisk N-NE winds today and tonight diminishing tomorrow dropping off to calm by late afternoon. SW winds then develop later tomorrow and then basically continue right through nest week.

Canada Day.. Looking warm and muggy. No real organized system but still could be cloudy periods and chance of showers. Hopefully the picture will become clearer over the next dew days..

Hazards.. Poor driving conditions in rain at times heavy today especially across central and eastern PEI. Water ponding on the roads giving risk of hydroplaning…

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time but heavy rainfall warnings are in effect just across the Strait in northeastern NS and Cape Breton..

Forecast..

  • Today.. Rain at time heavy especially down east, brisk NE winds, temps steady near 10.
  • Tonight.. Rain at times heavy ending towards dawn, brisk North winds, lows 7
  • Tomorrow.. Clouds and showers east, clearing, diminishing north winds, highs 16
  • Wednesday.. Sunny, light-brisk SW winds, highs 23
  • Thursday.. Rain developing in the afternoon, brisk SW winds, highs 22
  • Friday.. Rain ending early then becoming sunny, brisk south winds, highs 24
  • Saturday.. Sun and cloud, chance of a shower, light SW winds, highs 26
  • Canada Day.. Sun and cloud, chance of a shower, light SW winds, highs 22
  • Monday.. Sun and cloud, chance of a shower, light SW winds, highs 26

Few showers today, cold rain expected tomorrow across PEI..

Sunday, June 24th 9:15am.. Rain spread across the island overnight with the approach of a low pressure system from the west. This system is now crossing the island a will move east later this morning. A 2nd low pressure system is expected to develop near Cape Cod near midnight tonight and will track NE tomorrow. Rain from this system will redevelop across the island tonight as this system organizes. Clearing skies expected Tuesday morning as this system pulls and high pressure builds. This feature will slide by well south of NS Wednesday. Clouds will once again be on the increase early Thursday with the approach of the next low pressure system from the west with rain developing by evening. This system is expected to pass to our north thus putting the region on the warmer side. Friday looks to be wet with this system moving through. High pressure develops across the area on Saturday with sunshine. The long range into Canada is looking iffy at this point with low pressure approaching. Still way too early for details but right now looking cloudy skies with a few showers for Sunday and Monday.

Precipitation.. Generally between 5-10 mms rain fell across the island overnight. The continues rain is basically over for now although a few isolated showers possible fort he remainder of today. Continues rain redevelops near midnight tonight and continues all day tomorrow tapering to showers late tomorrow then ending Tuesday morning. Rainfall amounts from this 2nd system in the 20 mm range.  Dry for Tuesday afternoon through suppertime Thursday. Rain develops again Thursday evening ending Friday evening. Dry for Saturday followed by a few showers on Sunday and Monday. This Canada day system does not appear to be large at this point so just expecting some cloud and few showers.

Temperatures.. A little cool today, Cold tomorrow with rain and northerly winds off the Gulf. A little warmer on Tuesday but still chilly. The warm-up begins on Wednesday 🙂

Wind.. Light north winds today increasing to brisk tonight and continuing all day tomorrow. Diminishing northerlies on Tuesday dropping off to calm Tuesday night then becoming southerly on Wednesday. Light-brisk southerlies then expected through the remainder of the week.

Hazards.. Wet driving conditions in rain today tonight and tomorrow.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time..

Forecast..

  • Today.. Cloudy with few showers, light north winds, highs 18
  • Tonight.. Cloudy with rain developing after midnight,  light north winds, lows 10
  • Tomorrow.. All day rain, light-brisk north winds, highs 11
  • Tuesday.. Morning cloud and showers >> clearing, diminishing NW winds, highs 14
  • Wednesday.. Sun and cloud, light-brisk SW winds, highs 24
  • Thursday.. Increasing clouds with rain late, brisk SW winds, highs 22
  • Friday.. Cloudy,  rain, brisk south winds, highs 22
  • Saturday.. Sunny, light SW winds, highs 27
  • Canada Day.. Cloudy with chance of showers, brisk SW winds, highs 25
  • Monday.. Cloudy with chance of showers, light-brisk SW winds, highs 23