Rain, at times heavy expected to taper to showers this afternoon across PEI.

Wednesday, October 24th 7:15am..

Synopsis..  A low pressure system redeveloped off the New England overnight and is now intensifying in the Gulf on Maine. This system is expected to track NE towards southern NS then redevelop in the southern Gulf of St Lawrence this evening. This new storm center will then intensify and move slowly northward tomorrow towards Labrador. Rain at times heavy will continue this morning across PEI then taper off to showers this afternoon as the system reorganizes in the southern Gulf. Brisk NW winds will develop this evening as well once the new center gets organized. Cooler air will then flood in changing any showers to change over to flurries which will the continue Thursday and Friday. Saturday will be very nice on the island with lows of sunshine and very light/calm winds although temps a little on the cool side. Clouds begin to invade the island later Saturday as the next weather system approaches from the SW. This will actually be the remnants of Hurricane Willa which slammed into the Pacific coast of Mexico. The hurricane weakens as it crosses the mountains of Mexico and will reemerge in the northern Gulf of Mexico Tonight. The storm, now just a remnant weak low pressure system tracks eastward across the southern States and emerges back into the Atlantic off Cape Hatteras Saturday morning. The system then begins to intensify as a noreaster and turns northward up the coast towards the Maritimes. This is only one possible track of this system with 2 other tracks as plausible. The expected track will become more clearer over the next few days. At any rate, a wind and rain event possible for Sunday into early Monday. High pressure crosses the region on MOnday night into Tuesday then yet another norester for Tuesday night through Wednesday. So the stormy pattern continues across the Maritimes..

Precipitation.. Rain, at times heavy tapering to showers this afternoon with the heaviest amounts down east where 30-40 mm possible. Lower amounts further west with 15-20 for Prince. Flurries develop by dawn tomorrow which continue through Friday. Dry for Saturday. Rain develops after midnight Saturday night and continues through Sunday. Showers on Monday. Rain redevelops Tuesday evening.

Temperature.. Above normal today cooling down tonight and becoming below normal for tomorrow through Saturday. Warm-up back to normal on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday.

Wind.. Brisk-strong easterly winds should peak near noon today then diminish to very light southerly tonight. Winds then shift and increase to brisk Westerly near dawn tomorrow which then continue through Friday. Winds drop off to calm by Saturday afternoon.

Hazards.. Wet driving conditions in rain today. Could be some restrictions on the bridge this morning/afternoon.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time..

Forecast..

  • Today.. Rain at times heavy tapering to showers this afternoon giving 15-40 mms. Could see some sunny breaks this afternoon as well  Brisk Easterly winds peaking near noon then  diminishing, highs 12
  • Tonight.. Cloudy, light south winds shifting to brisk westerly by dawn, lows 5 by dawn
  • Tomorrow.. Cloudy with chance of flurries, brisk west winds, slow fall to 4 through the afternoon.
  • Friday.. Cloudy with chance of flurries, brisk west winds, highs 3
  • Saturday.. Sunny start becoming cloudy through the afternoon. Rain by midnight. Calm winds shifting to light easterly late, highs 3
  • Sunday.. Rain, windy, highs 8
  • Monday.. Sun and cloud, chance of showers, 9
  • Tuesday.. Rain and wind. 12
  • Wednesday.. Showers, 15

 

 

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