More rain begins this evening across PEI..

Saturday, October 27th 8:20am..  A ridge of high pressure oriented East-West is currently cresting over the island and will drift off to the east later today. Clear skies and calm winds are accompanying this feature. Clouds will invade the island later this morning as the next system approaches. This system is an area of low pressure currently organizing off the US mid Atlantic coast vicinity Cape Hatteras. This low will intensify and track NE along the coast to about NYC  just after midnight tonight then turn northward and begin to weaken as it tracks inland into eastern Quebec by early tomorrow evening.  A secondary are of low pressure then develops near NYC Monday morning and tracks NE across the Maritimes MOnday night into Tuesday morning then moves into the Gulf by later Tuesday morning. A significant rainfall threat exist as a result of these 2 systems. It will also be quite windy especially with the first system tomorrow. Skies will begin to clear Tuesday afternoon as high pressure briefly approaches and is expected to crest across the island Tuesday night. Cloud will once again spread across the island Wednesday morning as a cold front approached front the west. The front will lie south of the Maritimes early Thursday morning then begin to lift northward again as a warm front later Thursday bring more rain. The front will then stall across the region and allow several low pressure systems to ripple NE along this stalled frontal boundary across the Maritimes  for Friday Saturday and Sunday. So a wet stormy but rather mild week of weather ahead for the island.

Precipitation.. Precipitation will start this evening across PEI and could even begin as some snow before changing quickly to rain. The best chance of this will be up west. The rain becomes heavy at times and continues all day tomorrow. Could be a brief break between late tomorrow night and Monday afternoon then rain redevelops later Monday ending before dawn Tuesday morning. Total rainfall in the 40-50 mm range with 30-40 falling with the first system and another 10 mms with second. Dry for Tuesday. Slight chance of showers on Wednesday with the cold front. Rain redevelops later Thursday as the front returns then looking at rain for Friday Saturday and Sunday as several areas of low pressure move through over the weekend.

Temperatures.. Today should be the last cool day until late next weekend. Temps will be mild especially Sunday afternoon through MOnday morning then again next Friday.

Wind.. Calm winds this morning will become light easterly this afternoon increasing to brisk-strong tonight peaking near noon tomorrow then diminishing to light SE by tomorrow night. Light-brisk SW on Monday shifting to NW on Tuesday, westerly on Wednesday and Thursday.

Hazards.. Wet driving conditions in rain beginning this evening and lasting through Tuesday morning with a significant rainfall threat. There could be restrictions on the Confederation Bridge beginning early tomorrow morning through the mid afternoon.

Watches/warnings.. Special weather statement still in effect for a significant rainfall threat beginning tonight.

Forecast..

  • Today.. Sunny early becoming cloudy, light east winds developing, highs 4
  • Tonight.. Rain beginning mid evening,could begin as snow up west. Winds further increasing to brisk easterly by dawn, temps steady near 4 then rising slowly overnight.
  • Tomorrow.. Rain, brisk-strong East winds peaking near noon then diminishing to light SE by evening, highs 16
  • Monday.. Morning showers, could see some afternoon sunny breaks then rain redevelops by late evening, brisk SW winds highs 16
  • Tuesday.. Morning showers.. Clearing, brisk NW winds, highs 8
  • Wednesday.. Sun and cloud, brisk west winds, highs 11
  • Thursday.. Sun and cloud, brisk west winds, highs 10
  • Friday..  Periods of rain, brisk south winds, highs 17
  • Saturday.. Light NW winds, highs 6
  • Sunday.. Showers, light NE winds, highs 7
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