Thursday, November 15th 6:45am.. The system that brought the wind, rain and snow to the island is now located off the east coast of Newfoundland. This powerful storm continues to move slowly to the east which is now allowing a ridge of high pressure to build on from the west. Strong NW winds that have pounded the island will diminish to calm overnight tonight as the ridge crests over the island. Another storm will be developing along the US mid Atlantic coast near Cape Hatteras later this morning. There is still some uncertainty in the exact track of this system but is expected to move into the Gulf of Maine tomorrow afternoon then along the spine of NS Friday evening to be located in the Northumberland Strait between PEI and Cape Breton by midnight Friday night. Snow will begin across the island Friday morning as the storm approaches then change over to rain later in the day as some warm air wraps around the storm. Western PEI has the best chance to stay colder longer thus more snow is expected up there. The st9rm pulls away towards southern Newfoundland Saturday morning allowing things to begin to calm down bit cloud and flurries expected on the colder onshore NW winds. High pressure crests over the island again Sunday night into Monday morning. Long range models are out of sync for later Monday into Tuesday as another potential low pressure system tracks east out of Quebec. Some models are bringing a mix of snow and rain across the island while other models are forecasting a much weaker system with less precipitation..
Precipitation.. Onshore flurries continue to fall across the eastern half of the island especially the Mount Stewart-Montague corridor. This activity will taper off as winds drop off later tonight. Snow redevelops province wide near 8am tomorrow morning and should transition over to rain near suppertime. Up west will stay colder longer resulting more snow there. Snowfall amounts ranging from 15 cms up west dropping to 10 cms Charlottetown area and 2-5 eastern Kings. Rainfall amounts 15-20 mms Queens and Kings dropping to 5-10 up west. So 20-30 mms precipitation is expected province wide, most will fall as snow up west while down east most will fall as rain. Charlottetown half/half. Flurries on Saturday.. Snow and/or rain on later Monday into Tuesday.
Temperatures.. We are in a cold pattern right now. with only a couple of brief warm-ups to normal expected over the next week-10 days.
Wind.. Diminishing NW winds today dropping off to calm tonight then increasing SE winds tomorrow morning shifting to the north by midnight tomorrow night. Brisk W-NW winds on Saturday and Sunday.
Hazards.. Flurries at times heavy continue down east this morning but should taper off as winds drop off later today. Local blowing and drifting snow making hazardous driving conditions. more accumulating Snow tomorrow.
Watches/warnings.. Wind warning remains in effect for Kings county this morning but expected that to be lifted soon. Special weather statement issued province wide for potential snow tomorrow.
- Today.. Sunny up west, flurries central/eastern, brisk-strong NW winds giving local blowing/drifting snow, highs -2
- Tonight.. Becoming cloudy after midnight, winds dropping off to calm, lows -8 near midnight then slow warming with the increasing cloud cover.
- Tomorrow.. Snow developing 8am changing to rain by late afternoon, brisk SE winds, highs +4 by mid evening
- Saturday.. Flurries ending, brisk W-NW winds, highs 0
- Sunday.. Sunny Brisk W-NW winds, highs 0
- Monday.. Sunny start, clouding over snow/rain late. +5
- Tuesday.. Sunny, brisk west winds, highs -4
- Wednesday.. Flurries, brisk NW winds, highs 0