Category Archives: pei

Warm-up begins today across PEI..

Monday, October 23rd, 6:40am...  Clear skies and calm winds allowed the temps to fall to the coldest of the season so far but clouds spread across the island after midnight with the approach of a warm front. Some sunshine is expected this morning as the front moves east. A southerly surge of warm air will now engulf the Maritimes for the next few days with temps expected in the 20’s. A frontal boundary oriented north-south currently stretches from the Gulf of Mexico to Hudson’s Bay. A strong low pressure system will develop in the Central US and move northward along this frontal boundary late tomorrow night. This will then force the front to move eastward with some showers beginning overnight Wednesday night into early Thursday morning. This rainfall will be heavy at times with it’s tropical origin but still a bit early to go into details on where the heaviest bans will be and how much will fall. At any rate, this disturbance shifts east of the Maritimes by Thursday night. High pressure builds in for Friday and Saturday with sunshine. Cloud and showers may end out the weekend as a trough of low pressure approaches from the west.

Precipitation.. Rain begins Wednesday night ending Thursday evening. Significant amounts are possible. Dry for Friday and Saturday. Showers possible again on Sunday.

Temperatures.. Well above normal today through Thursday. Slightly above normal Friday through Monday.

Wind...An increasing southerly flow expected today through Thursday dropping off to very light on Friday.

Hazards.. Nil for the next few days..

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time but rainfall warnings maybe required for Thursday.

Forecast..

Today.. Becoming sunny, light SW winds, highs 15

Tonight.. Few clouds, light SW winds, lows 11

Tomorrow. Cloudy periods, light SW winds, highs 21

Wednesday.. Cloudy, light-brisk SW winds, highs 21

Thursday.. Rain at times heavy, light-brisk SW winds, highs 19

Friday… Sunny, light north winds, highs 13

Saturday.. Sunny, light east winds, highs 14

Sunday.. Cloudy with chance of showers, highs 15

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Warm-up begins tomorrow across PEI..

Sunday, October 22nd, 8:15am..  A north-south oriented ridge of high pressure is located over New England this morning and is drifting eastward. This feature should crest over the island later this evening then slowly move east into the Atlantic on Monday. Sunshine and light winds will prevail today and some high cloudiness and increasing south winds tomorrow. A frontal trough will slowly move eastward through Ontario and Quebec on Tuesday and Wednesday. A strong surge of warm tropical air will engulf the Maritimes allowing temps to climb well above normal. Warm dry conditions but increasing clouds will continue though Wednesday into Thursday. A surge of rain is expected on Friday as the trough of low pressure slowly crosses the island with possibly significant amounts of rain. The trough moves east on Saturday allowing for some clearing but temps will cooler as high pressure builds in for the weekend.

Precipitation.. Dry conditions expected for the next few days. Rain should begin Thursday night and continue through Friday. Early indications are that this could be a significant dumping of rain.

Temperatures.. Slightly below normal today then a surge of warm air develops tomorrow with well above normal temps for Monday through Thursday. A cool down back to normal for Friday through Sunday.

Wind. Very light northerly winds today drop off to calm again tonight then southerlies develop tomorrow morning. These southerlies will continue through Thursday becoming brisk-strong as the week progresses. A winds shift to the north will occur on Friday with the passage of the front.

Hazards.. None for the next few days.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time. Rainfall warnings maybe required for  Friday.

Forecast..

Today.. Sunny, very light north winds, highs 8

Tonight.. Clear, calm cool, lows near 0

Tomorrow.. Sunny, light south winds, highs 16

Tuesday.. High cloudiness, light-brisk south winds, highs 20

Wednesday.. High cloudiness, light-brisk south winds, highs 20

Thursday.. Cloudy, brisk-strong south winds, highs 20

Friday.. Heavy rain, light winds, temps falling to 13

Saturday.. Sunny with cloudy periods,  light north winds, highs 13

Sunday.. Sunny, light winds,  highs 13

 

 

 

The extended period of dry weather continues for PEI..

Saturday, October 21st, 8:00am..  A ridge of high pressure centered along the US mid Atlantic coast this morning will drift east ward today cresting over the Maritimes tomorrow evening. Sunshine and brisk NW winds today will accompany this feature. Tomorrow the winds drop diminish to light as the high begins to move across the island then drop off to calm tomorrow night. Southerly winds will develop on Monday once the high pressure system shifts east. These southerly winds will usher in much milder conditions with temps expected to run well above normal through at least Thursday. when the next weather system approaches with some cloud and showers.

Precipitation.. The next chance of rain appears to be Thursday of next week.

Temperatures.. Slightly below normal today and tomorrow then well above normal Monday through Thursday. Interesting that the American model continues to show above normal temps right through to almost the end of the month whereas the Canadian model cools the island back to normal by Friday of next week then remains normal through the end of the month. So will be interesting to see which model gets it right.

Wind.. Brisk NW winds today diminish to light tonight and tomorrow then shift to SW on MOnday. SW winds then continue Through Thursday becoming westerly on Friday.

Hazards.. Nil

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time..

Forecast..

Today.. Few clouds down east with a very slight chance of a shower, light-brisk NW winds, highs 9

Tonight.. Clear, light NW winds, lows 5

Tomorrow… Sunny, light NW winds, highs 9

Monday.. Sunny, light-brisk southwest winds,  highs 18

Tuesday.. Sun and Cloud, light SW winds, highs 20

Wednesday.. Sun and cloud, light-brisk south winds, highs 21

Thursday.. Cloud and showers, light-brisk South winds, highs 20

Friday.. Sunny, light west winds,  highs 15

Slight chance of a shower across PEI this morning..

Friday, October 20th 7:15am.. A cold front is currently moving across NB and will sweep across from west to east over the next few hours. SW winds out ahead of the front will shift to the NW in its wake. Cloud and chance of showers will accompany this feature. NW winds will continue through Saturday which may bring some cloud and showers to eastern areas ion these onshore winds off the Gulf. High pressure will then build in from the west and crest over the island Sunday morning. Winds will drop off to calm as Saturday night and remain light through Sunday morning as this feature crests over the island. This area of high pressure will then drift east and onshore itself east of NS where it will continue to dominate the weather across PEI with warm sunshine. A flow pressure system is then expected to move northward out of the deep south passing through Quebec late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Brisk south winds will prevail across the region maintaining warm temperatures across the Maritimes. The associated cold front is then expected to finally sweep across the island on Thursday with some cloud and rain.

Precipitation.. Slight chance of a shower this morning, slight chance of a shower down east tomorrow. Rain develops on Thursday.

Temperatures.. Remaining slightly above normal today, slightly below normal tomorrow, normal on Sunday then well above normal Monday through Thursday.

Wind.. light-brisk SW this morning but will shift to the NW this afternoon and continue NW tomorrow. Winds drop off to calm tomorrow night into Sunday morning then shift to the south during the day on Sunday as the high pressure area drifts east. Light-brisk South winds then persist Monday through Thursday.

Hazards. Nil

Watches/warnings... None for PEI at this time..

Forecast..

Today.. Cloudy this morning with a slight chance of showers, SW winds shifting to the NW, highs 13

Tonight.. Few clouds, light NW winds, lows 7

Tomorrow.. Cloudy periods with slight chance of a shower down east, light-brisk NW winds, highs 9

Sunday..Sunny, very light winds, highs 10

Monday.. Sunny, brisk south winds, highs 19

Tuesday… Cloudy, brisk south winds, highs 19

Wednesday.. Cloudy, brisk south winds, highs 20

Thursday.. Rain, 20

Sunny and warm conditions expected today across PEI..

Thursday, October 19th 7:20am..  A warm front oriented SE-NW is currently moving across NB this morning. Some high clouds associated with this front may invade the island this morning but more importantly, the front will bring a surge of warm air to the region. The associated cold front then sweeps across the island mid morning tomorrow. A bit more in the way of cloud and slight chance of a shower with this front. Winds will shift into the NW with the frontal passage bringing a temporary end to the warm weather. The warm waters of the Gulf may result in some cloud development for down east areas and can’t rule out an isolated shower. High pressure will build during the day tomorrow cresting over the island near dawn on Sunday morning. Generally clear skies are expected with this feature.  A frontal system will then approach and stall west of NB on Tuesday. A couple of strong areas of low pressure should then ripple northward along this stalled frontal boundary. At this time it appears that the Mariitmes will be spared the worst of this weather keeping the region on the warm side.

Precipitation.. Slight chance of a shower tomorrow associated with the cold front. Slight chance of a shower continues for eastern areas in the onshore NW winds off the Gulf. The next chance for some rain appears to be mid week.

Temperatures.. well above normal today, slightly above normal tomorrow followed by some cooler weather on Saturday. Well above normal then expected for Sunday through Friday of next week.

Wind.. Calm winds now will become light southwesterly. Winds then shift to NW behind the cold front tomorrow morning. NW winds continue through Saturday dropping off to calm Saturday night through Sunday morning. Winds become SW Sunday afternoon then continue through mid week.

Hazards. Nothing stands out.. fairly quiet.

Watches/warnings.. None for PEI at this time.

Forecast..

Today.. Few clouds, light-brisk SW winds, highs 17

Tonight.. Clear, light SW winds, lows 13

Tomorrow.. Cloudy with slight chance of shower, SW winds shift to the NW near noon, highs 13

Saturday.. Sunny, light NW winds, highs 9

Sunday.. Sunny, light SW winds, highs 15

Monday.. Sunny, light-brisk SW winds, highs 19

Tuesday.. Sun and cloud, light-brisk SW winds, highs 20

Wednesday.. Cloudy, SW winds, highs 20

Cloudy and cool today across PEI..

Tuesday, October 17th 6:30am.. A ridge of high pressure oriented NE-SW is currently located through New England. This feature will move eastward today cresting over the island later this evening. Brisk NW winds out ahead of the ridge will continue to generate cloud off the warm waters of the Gulf along with isolated shower. Generally clear skies will accompany this ridge this evening but clouds will redevelop after midnight as a warm front approaches with a chance of showers. Another ridge of high pressure builds in for later Wednesday into Thursday with sunshine. Clouds and chance of showers return on Friday morning associated with a cold front then back to sunshine for Saturday Sunday and Monday. Clouds and wind begin to increase with the approach of the next weather system for Tuesday.

Precipitation.. Chance of a shower today and again tomorrow morning. Dry for later tomorrow through Thursday. Chance of showers again on Friday morning. Dry later Friday through Monday. Rainy on Tuesday.

Temperatures... Cool today then at  or above normal for tomorrow and Thursday. Normal again on Friday, cool on Saturday then above normal Sunday through Tuesday.

Wind.. Light-brisk NW winds today diminish to calm tonight then shift to the SW tomorrow morning. Winds diminish to calm Wednesday night then back to light-brisk SW for Thursday. Winds shift to the NW Friday afternoon and continue through Saturday. Southwest winds develop on Sunday.

Hazards.. Wet driving conditions in any showers today and tomorrow morning.

Watches/warnings… None for PEI at this time.

Forecast..

Today.. Cloudy with a chance of a shower, light-brisk NW winds, highs 8

Tonight.. Becoming clear this evening then clouding over after midnight with chance of showers towards dawn, calm winds , lows 5

Tomorrow… Cloudy with showers early then clearing, light-brisk SW winds, highs 13

Thursday..Sunny, light-brisk SW winds, highs 17

Friday.. Chance of showers early then clearing, SW winds shifting to NW near, highs 12

Saturday.. Sunny, light-brisk SW winds, highs 10

Sunday.. Sunny, light SW winds, highs 17

Monday.. Sunny, light-brisk SW winds, highs 19

Tuesday.. Cloud and showers approach, 20

Turning much cooler this afternoon across PEI..

Monday, October 16th 6:45am.. A low pressure system located in the northern Gulf of St Lawrence this morning continues to move eastward. A cold front extending back to the WSW from this low will sweep across the island near noon today. This front will usher in much cooler temperatures accompanied by a sudden wind shift to the NW. Cloud and a few showers will accompany the frontal passage today. Cloud and a few showers continue tomorrow as well due to unstable conditions developing in the cold NW winds over the warm waters of the Gulf. A warm front moves through on Wednesday giving some cloud and chanced of a shower but more importantly, temps will rise with the arrival of the warm air on beginning in Thursday. High pressure then dominates the region through early next week with generally clear skies.

Precipitation. Chance of showers til about noon today associated wit the cold front. Chance of showers tonight and tomorrow especially down east due NW winds off the Gulf. S light chance of a shower on Wednesday with the warm front then basically dry through Monday of next week.

Temperatures.. The warmest temps are actually right now and will hold fairly steady til about noon then begin to fall in the wake of the cold frontal passage. Below normal tomorrow then above normal for Wednesday Thursday and Friday. Slightly below normal for the weekend then above normal for Monday and Tuesday.

Wind.. The winds never got quite as strong as I had thought but still managed to get in to gusts in the 60 KMH range overnight. These SW winds will shift to NW near noon today then diminish to light NW tonight and tomorrow. Light-brisk SW winds on Wednesday and Thursday shifting back to the NW for Friday through Sunday.

Hazards.. Wet driving conditions in any showers today and tomorrow. Winds did not become as much of a factor as originally thought.

Watches/warnings. None for PEI at this time.

Forecast..

Today.. Cloudy with few showers becoming partly cloudy this afternoon. Brisk SW winds shifting to NW near noon, temps hold steady near 17 then fall with the wind shift to 10 by suppertime.

Tonight.. Cloudy and slight chance of a shower, light NW winds, lows 7

Tomorrow. Mostly cloudy with chance of a shower, light NW winds, highs 9

Wednesday.. Mostly cloudy and slight chance of a shower, light-brisk SW winds, highs 15

Thursday.. Sunny, SW winds highs 16

Friday… Sunny, NW winds, highs 14

Saturday.. Sunny, NW winds, highs 9

Sunday… Sunny, NW winds, highs 11

Monday.. Sunny, 17

Tuesday.. Showers, 17